
13 Investment write-ups to look at
Another batch of company write-ups from Substack authors from within the last week.
Not my work - sourced from Giles Capital's weekly compilation: gilescapital.substack.com
Americas
Elliot's Musings on Snowflake (🇺🇸 SNOW US - ~US$85bn) Stock +37% after Q1 on AI product momentum. Co-founder stepping back mid-June. At 10x forward revenue with GAAP still loss-making, this is a narrative bet, not a value thesis.
LongTermValue Research on VSE Corp (🇺🇸 VSEC US - US$5.3bn) VSE closed a $2bn aerospace acquisition in May while insiders net sold. $900m net debt, 33x EV/EBITDA. The bull case needs acquisition synergies to show up fast.
Rock & Turner Investment Analysis on dLocal (🇺🇾 DLO US - US$3.6bn) Six consecutive quarters of 50%+ payment volume growth; $800m net cash, class action dismissed. Trailing EV/EBITDA is 14x; exit timing by the main investor is the main overhang.
Europe, Middle East & Africa
The Few Bets That Matter on Soitec (🇫🇷 SOITEC PA - ~€6.5bn) Soitec ran from €23 to €186 on AI photonics enthusiasm while revenue fell 30%. Trading at roughly double the average analyst target. The narrative ran far ahead of the business.
Ragnarok Research on Monday.com (🇮🇱 MNDY US - US$4.0bn) Monday.com fell 70% and still trades near 34x earnings, with a securities class action filed. The AI orchestration thesis is plausible. The entry price is not.
S.G.W - From the Front on Wix.com (🇮🇱 WIX US - ~US$3.1bn) Wix deployed $1.6bn repurchasing shares at $92; the stock trades far below that today. Latest earnings missed consensus by 44%. Real cash, real business, real capital destruction.
Schwar Capital Research on Spectra Systems (🇬🇧 SPSY LN - £70m) Adjusted EPS doubled to 37.8 cents; revenue up 30.7%. First follow-on sensor order from a central bank confirmed late May. The technology earns repeat business at 7x forward P/E.
Deep Value Insights on Braime Group (🇬🇧 BMTO LN - £16m) TOP PICK Family business at half book value and under 4x EV/EBIT. 34 straight dividend years; the Braime family owns the shares. Don Electronics adds modest leverage to a spotless record.
Asia-Pacific
Saadiyat Capital on Mari Energies (🇵🇰 MARI PSX - US$2.7bn) TOP PICK Pakistan's dominant gas franchise at 4.6x EV/EBITDA and 11x P/E, with reserves growing faster than production. Debt-free. Military and state shareholders own the majority; hard for foreign investors to buy.
Seraya Investment on NICE Information Service (🇰🇷 030190 KS - ~US$630m) Korea's dominant consumer credit bureau at 10.5x P/E with a 3.4% dividend yield. Market is ignoring it for AI hardware. Analyst consensus sees 34% upside.
Gabriel's Substack on TOYO Co. (🇯🇵 TOYO US - ~US$550m) Solar manufacturer at 7.6x P/E; Houston generates $140m in annual domestic manufacturing tax credits. Vietnam and Ethiopia cell capacity, the rest of the business, is essentially free optionality.
The International Investor on Scicom (MSC) Berhad (🇲🇾 SCICOM KLSE - US$118m) Founder-run, never had debt since founding. Cash return on invested capital at 29%; RM42.6m on the balance sheet. P/E of 21x is the constraint on a cleaner thesis.
S.G.W - From the Front on Reckon Limited (🇦🇺 RKN ASX - A$46m) Business Group alone worth more than A$100m against total EV of A$55m. Six analysts set an average target of A$0.95; the stock trades at less than half that.