Why Dallas Turner is primed for a breakout statistically
Last season, JG missed 5 games. When Dallas got snaps when JG was healthy, his role was different. As pointed out by Luke Braun, Greenard was the guy that Flores would try to get 1:1 matchups with. Everyone else’s job was to fill a gap to occupy an OL, while JG got the flexibility to go inside or outside of the tackle to get to the quarterback (2-way go).
In the 5 games he missed, that role was given to Dallas Turner. Let’s look at how Turner performed in that sample:
Compared to league average
Pressure Rate: Turner at 19.77% vs. League Average 10.63% (+9.14% above average)
Hurry Rate: Turner at 10.47% vs. League Average 6.82% (+3.65% above average)
Sack Rate: Turner at 5.23% vs. League Average 1.71% (+3.52% above average)
QB Hit Rate: Turner at 9.30% vs. League Average 3.73% (+5.57% above average)
Compared to JG:
Pressure Rate: Turner at 19.77% vs. Greenard at 15.33% (Turner +4.44%)
Hurry Rate: Turner at 10.47% vs. Greenard at 11.11% (Greenard +0.64%)
Sack Rate: Turner at 5.23% vs. Greenard at 1.15% (Turner +4.08%)
QB Hit Rate: Turner at 9.30% vs. Greenard at 4.21% (Turner +5.09%)
Looking at these metrics, it’s clear why we decided not to pay Greenard. Add to all of this that Dallas will be entering year 3, which is a common breakout year for rushers, and he will have another year in the weight room and pass rush move development, I think he has the potential to be a top sack getter because he is great at finishing.