u/Christine_Flashy

▲ 186 r/DynastyFF

"One More Year" - When to Give Up on That Rookie You've Been Holding

This article analyzed 410 dynasty rookies from 2017–2023 to answer:

“If a rookie still hasn’t produced by Year 1, Year 2, or Year 3… what are the odds they ever will?”

Some findings:

  • RB odds crater after Year 2
  • WR patience is somewhat justified
  • TEs truly develop slower
  • QBs have a brutal Year 2 cliff

Includes actual hit-rate data by position + dynasty implications.

Full breakdown: https://statchasers.com/when-to-give-up-on-dynasty-player/

statchasers.com
u/Christine_Flashy — 5 days ago