Even with the failed SC race, Georgia shifted to the left as expected, by the same pace as it was since 2008.
Georgia in the primaries voted D+7.3 (roughly), the RCP average right now is D+6.8, in 2024 it voted 0.7 points to the right of the nation.
Which means that this year it has voted pretty much to the left of the current RCP average, which means it has trended left yet again.
This primary is especially reliable because the R primary was slightly more competitive than the already somewhat competitive D gov primary, and adding the fact that GA republican voters are higher propensity relative to the nation, there shouldn't be any weird quirks that affected this result, as democratic enthusiasm has pretty much already been adjusted for.
Ever since 2008 Georgia has shifted about 1 point to the left every year, and always ending up trending about 4 points bluer every presidential election, so far it does not seem to have stopped, as it has voted pretty much in line with the RCP average, and even slightly bluer than the current average (6.8) This is mid 2026 so it should be expected to have trended 1.5 points bluer, which it has pretty much nailed.
Now, if this still continues, by 2028 Georgia will be a D+2-3 state by lean, the GOP should be panicking because of this, but i fear the supreme court election will make them a bit overconfident.
They've lost ground in the legislature since 2016, and the state house has a real risk of flipping this year, if they do, they lose a major piece of leverage in the gerrymandering wars for 2028. I don't think the supreme court race is anything to celebrate as its simply another classic case of deep south racial polarization, instead of anything meaningful, as every other metric shows Georgia continued its march to the left.
People forget that Georgia isn't shifting extremely fast to the left, it's just shifting consistently and slowly, which gives that illusion.