u/Commentator28

▲ 21 r/nba

You know what makes every match in a competition like the English Premier League so watchable? Lesser teams are almost always incentivized to try their best against the best teams. The race to finish top of the standings will never be distorted by a club like West Ham or Nottingham Forest automatically losing to Manchester City or Arsenal during the title run-in because they want better draft picks.

This article notes that in April, 34% of all regular season NBA games were decided by at least 20 points - by far the highest rate for any month in NBA history. That followed a March in which the blowout percentage was 28% (the second-highest month ever) and a February with a 25% blowout rate (the fifth-highest month ever). How many truly meaningful games, games in which both teams were trying to win and were really incentivized to win, were played after the All-Star Break? My team - the Hawks - won 18 of 20 games between late February and early April to move into the Top 6 in the East; 11 of those 18 wins were against teams which didn't reach the postseason (including Play-In games), and the average margin of victory in those 11 wins was 20.4 points. It was great to watch them go on such a tear, but it sucked how many of those wins were virtually foregone conclusions before the opening tip-off.

I like the proposed anti-tanking proposal for how it mostly eliminates the welfare system that the NBA Draft has become. I like it because it will help force weaker teams to develop their young players better, giving those teams fewer reasons not to surround those players with the best talent possible and get them playing proper team basketball earlier in their careers (another under-discussed aspect of the proposed reforms). But I really like it because it should make many more games involving playoff teams watchable, especially late in the season. The last month of the regular season should have the most exciting games in it, not the fewest, and playoff contenders should have to earn their playoff seeding.

u/Commentator28 — 23 days ago
▲ 57 r/falcons

Guys who study these things for a living get it wrong far more often than they get it right; it would be utter hubris for me to get too positive or negative about anyone and anything so far. Talk to me again in October or November.

reddit.com
u/Commentator28 — 26 days ago