u/Crazy_Cvika_771

> 346 closed positions
> Total P&L: +$2,816
> Largest win: $1,795 (67% ROI)

exclusively weather-related markets:

Buying undervalued contracts (6–57¢) for a specific temperature in a specific city.

The average ROI per deal is 200–900%.

The market consistently underestimates the accuracy of 3- to 7-day weather forecasts.

Someone noticed it before anyone else.

His wallet: https://synthesis.trade/discover?profile=0x3Dd3035809b0969b8D14DCbf2bE8B3e7324dCcaC&ref=gringrand

Do you check the weather forecast for tomorrow?

$13 300 in 6 months
$6 500 every single month
Weather markets only

Same edge. Same setup. Running on repeat 24/7

His wallet

He found a way to turn $10 trades into $1 000 outcomes with the edge stacked in his favor

Here's exactly what he does

Spots exact-temperature markets sitting at 1-7¢
The kind nobody bothers reading because the payout looks small
But forecast data already says they're basically locked

He enters before the market catches up
Collects at resolution
Takes the dog for a walk
Repeats tomorrow

Recent prints:

> $15 → $986 (Seoul, +6 479%)
> $45 → $546 (Qingdao, +1 104%)
> $32 → $364 (Busan, +1 032%)
> $11 → $314 (London, +2 747%)

Four cities. Four 1 000%+ days. Same week

He's still trading these one by one
Small entry. Big print. Move on

deposited $4,100 in november
now sitting at +$19,863 profit

not elections. not sports. not crypto
he predicts on the weather

> will london hit 16°C on feb 24
> will buenos aires hit 26°C on dec 8
> will paris hit 17°C on mar 6

69% of his bets expire worthless
the other 31% pay 10-138x

$38 -> $5,092 on one bet
$33 -> $2,366 on another
$67 -> $1,581 on a third

reading GFS weather models before polymarket reprices

this guy is quietly making 400% on london temperatures
alpha is always where nobody is looking

His profile: https://synthesis.trade/discover?profile=0x2B2866a724E73Bf45af306036f12F20170b4d021&ref=gringrand

He is the cleanest and most disciplined sports trader I’ve seen on the entire platform.

Profile: https://synthesis.trade/discover?profile=0x2005D16a84CEEfa912D4e380cD32E7ff827875Ea&ref=gringrand

His trading logic is exceptionally clear:

> He focuses exclusively on two narrow areas esports and traditional sports, with a particular emphasis on the NBA and League of Legends.

> He strictly avoids markets related to politics, weather, or cryptocurrency.
He executes between 150 and 550 trades per day, all manually, without using automated trading bots.
In total, he has completed 59,000 predictions with a success rate of up to 90%.

> He gradually scales into positions and consistently exits the market in advance, before excessive hype sets in.

The key point many people fail to understand:
His main advantage is not being faster than automated systems.

It’s that he only operates in markets he deeply understands and has studied over a long period of time.

In contrast to others who spread themselves across dozens of categories and incur constant losses, this trader always stays within his area of expertise and steadily generates profit.

He bet $1944 that the temperature would be above 19 degrees Celsius
And won $36,947

He changed the description to his polymarket account
And wrote

"I have not engaged in any market manipulation. My peak profit date does not coincide with the alleged manipulation date at the Paris airport. Irresponsible media coverage has caused me harm."

The same airport
Similar bets

This airport has some mystery because every day certain people
Earn $30k for one deal

What is most interesting is that his PNL chart is growing perfectly
He has losses but over the long haul he is constantly making money
Look at his account and you can try to copy his deals