r/PredictionsMarkets

BTC -- 33 Weeks
▲ 30 r/PredictionsMarkets+16 crossposts

BTC -- 33 Weeks

Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar

Measuring from the all time high to May 24^(th) Pentecost/Feast of Weeks/Shavuot.

This is a 50-day count from Resurrection Sunday April 5^(th) and is a highly possible day of the Rapture.

With Biblical knowledge, we can unpack the chart to reveal the story.

The money knows before the event. Biblically, we know that Judas was paid to betray Jesus.

Luke 22:3-6 Then entered Satan into Judas surnamed Iscariot, being of the number of the twelve. And he went his way, and communed with the chief priests and captains, how he might betray Him unto them. And they were glad, and covenanted to give him money. And he promised, and sought opportunity to betray Him unto them in the absence of the multitude.

u/Then_Marionberry_259 — 9 hours ago
▲ 21 r/PredictionsMarkets+13 crossposts

726 (harpazó) -- To seize, snatch

The timeline [image1], [2], [3] is built by the movement of a digital asset against linear time.
The Fibonacci Ring is the representation of specific movements made by the asset, and is used to identify and manifest Biblical language into our current circumstances/reality.
Pentecost/Feast of Weeks/Shavuot - A highly possible day of the Rapture, is a 50-day count from Resurrection Sunday April 5th, landing on Sunday May 24th.
View the Bible not just as historical but live and active; as a guide, speaking into the present and the future.

>Hebrews 4:12 For the word of God is quick, and powerful, and sharper than any twoedged sword, piercing even to the dividing asunder of soul and spirit, and of the joints and marrow, and is a discerner of the thoughts and intents of the heart.

>2 Timothy 3:16 All scripture is given by inspiration of God, and is profitable for doctrine, for reproof, for correction, for instruction in righteousness:

>Isaiah 46:10 Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times the things that are not yet done, saying, My counsel shall stand, and I will do all My pleasure:

u/hairy_zub — 10 hours ago

A trader who barely loses a single trade in last 3,220 trades and has made $4.3m of profit

He bets only on Sports and just keeps winning

His biggest ever win is $963,600

No idea how he is doing it or what his strategy is.

But here is his profile: 0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27

u/towexa — 8 hours ago

Finally fully automated

This finally works, and it’s now fully automated.

I know it’s too early to celebrate, but after 8 days of trying to find both the problem and the solution, I finally made it fully automated. The next step is adding Telegram alerts for every trade it takes, so I can use it on prop accounts as well.

I’m super excited about this. Even if I fail, I still loved every second of the process.

Right now, it’s at 7/9 full TP trades. I didn’t set a break-even function yet, and I probably won’t. And 2/9L

As for the small losing trades — those were just tests to see whether the code worked or not. I had a very hard time figuring out how to make everything fully automated, which is why there are several negative trades.

The last 3 trades are all from my bot.

2L and 7W for now.

u/Temporary_Fun_7973 — 12 hours ago

Who do you think will win champions league? 40% chance of arsenal on opinion lab? Can arsenal win this after winning premier league?

u/Coach_001 — 14 hours ago

He buys BTC and ETH for 5–11¢, sells them for 20-50¢- and turns that into a $487,000 profit.

-> Buys BTC for 5–60¢
-> Results in a 50–600% increase
-> Doesn't last long - it catches a signal for 5–15 minutes

$454 → $2,305 per trade

Bought at 5.2¢, sold at 30¢+ - a 407% return on a single trade.

Pure discipline and speed.

His advantage isn't genius. He reacts faster than others.

His wallet: https://synthesis.trade/discover?profile=0x89B5cDaAa4866c1e738406712012a630b4078BeB&ref=gringrand

u/Rosewood_Rebecca — 1 day ago

Someone just placed a $5M bet on Man City to win

ABSOLUTE CINEMA: Polymarket trader loses $5M betting on Manchester City to win

Potential payout was: $8.2 million

2 days ago he won $5.1M and today he lost it all… left with a balance of $15k

once again proving that sports markets are completely unpredictable

profile link

u/ill_intents — 1 day ago

Need advice from experienced BTC 5-min prediction market traders

Hey everyone,

Me and my friend have been trying to build and test a bot for BTC 5-minute prediction markets for the past few months.

We’ve tested many ideas momentum, early candle direction, gap from strike, reversal setups, entry timing, bankroll rules — but honestly, most of them either looked good in small backtests and then failed later, or lost money in live/paper testingWe’re not asking anyone to give away their full edge or private strategy. I completely understand that nobody owes that.

But if any experienced trader here has even a small hint or advice on what direction we should focus on, it would mean a lot.

For example:

  • Is the real edge mostly in BTC price action?
  • Is it more about execution timing?
  • Should we focus on only high-confidence candles and skip most markets?
  • Are spreads/late entries the main reason small traders lose?
  • Is trying to predict every 5-min candle just a bad idea?

Our capital is very small, so even making something like $5/month consistently would honestly be a big relief and a huge motivation for us.

We’re not trying to get rich overnight. We’re just trying to learn properly, avoid dumb mistakes, and understand what actually matters in these markets.

Any advice, warning, or direction from people who have been through this would be really appreciated.

Thanks a lot

reddit.com
u/Parking_Recover338 — 1 day ago

Avoiding adverse selection on market making

Does anyone have any ideal strategies for effective market making? Every time I deploy my MM bot, I get eaten alive by adverse selection. Whats the best strategy here - widening spread, leaning heavy on “likely winner” side, instantly reselling, etc? Thanks!

reddit.com
u/Weekly-Disk8589 — 1 day ago

NBA Championship Opportunity on Polymarket: Buy Yes on OKC Thunder (42¢) + San Antonio Spurs (37.3¢). That's 79.3¢ combined, covering 79.3% of the probability.

If either wins, you pocket $1, a guaranteed 20.7¢ or 26.1% profit, regardless of which one takes the trophy.

OKC is the reigning 2025 champion. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the best player alive right now. Best defense in the league, deepest roster, proven championship DNA. They're the #1 seed for a reason.

San Antonio has Victor Wembanyama, who is an alien. 30pts, 15reb, 5blk in the playoffs.

The New York Knicks haven't won a title since the 1970s.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are a bottom-10 defense in the entire NBA.

OC: https://x.com/Predictbook/status/2056859357317574882

Hedging + Leverage Trading on Prediction Market

While scrolling around on X I saw this new Prediction Market platform live on BASE and is supported by BASE.

Tried and actually traded a few position and so far I'm having this W

https://preview.redd.it/fme5588wr72h1.png?width=1996&format=png&auto=webp&s=43826cbb3525ee77cd5cfcfb92e5a9e7d74810f9

One of the feature that really caught my attention here is the:

- Hedging. Wherein you connect your Polymarket wallet (which they say is a read-only function to view your trade) and check your positions. Each loss earn you a bit of percentage from it. Haven't experience it yet but it's one of the main event

- Leverage. You can put leverage for a maximum of 5x on your Trade for every Prediction Market you do which is interesting as well imo.

The platform is called OmenX. If anyone is interested would love to share this one as well but you can search it on X

reddit.com

My 5min btc bot is doing well

Been coding my own bot for few months now. After doing all necessary stuff & backtests I deployed it…

Am I ready to quit my job? :D

u/FantasticConcept25 — 2 days ago

Trump announces that his attack on Iran is being postponed for "two or three days" at the request of the Gulf vassals

u/starsol3 — 2 days ago

Are prediction markets starting to move past simple YES/NO setups?

Lately it feels like more people care about managing positions during the event instead of just locking in a side and waiting for resolution.

Especially in sports. Momentum swings so fast now that people immediately start thinking about hedging, reducing exposure, or reacting once sentiment changes mid-game.

Feels very different from the older “buy yes and pray” style prediction markets.

Curious if other people here are noticing the same thing.

https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExeWtrbWNjOWhoM3F5aDdsYzJ6eGZ4M3kxNmpmM295MmpnczZxbm9pZSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/yjZedIjQFzXHaSVmax/giphy.gif

u/ladycryptoniteph002 — 2 days ago

Comment accéder à Polymarket en France ?

Comme le titre l’indique, j’aimerais savoir s’il y a des personnes qui savent comment accéder à Polymarket depuis la France et pouvoir faire des dépôts et des retraits sans problème. J’ai essayé avec le VPN Proton en version gratuite, mais Polymarket m’indique que je ne peux pas faire de dépôts dans ma région. Donc, comment procéder pour ne plus être embêté par cette restriction ?

Faut-il utiliser le navigateur Tor ?
Faut-il changer l’heure de son PC pour la faire correspondre à la région du VPN ?
Faut-il supprimer l’historique du navigateur ou faire autre chose ?
Quel est le meilleur VPN pour cela ?
Y a-t-il une meilleure option que les VPN ?
Comment être sûr de ne jamais devoir renseigner sa carte d’identité ?
Faut-il utiliser Binance ou autre plateforme de crypto pour faire un dépôt et retirer l’argent ?

reddit.com
u/Lower_Arachnid2671 — 2 days ago

Are prediction markets more interesting when embedded into existing products/communities?

Not a typical prediction market post, but I’m curious whether prediction mechanics work better when embedded into existing behaviours rather than generic “betting markets”.

Some concepts I’ve been thinking about:

  • Attention markets → predicting what companies/topics gain momentum
  • Dynamic fantasy sports → player-specific live markets instead of team fantasy scoring
  • Social coordination markets → group chats/communities creating predictions/challenges together

For example, a football app where users build portfolios around player outcomes, form, hype, or tournament stats rather than traditional fantasy teams.

Does this direction actually make sense, or does it just become gambling with extra steps?

reddit.com
u/InspectorAwkward3998 — 2 days ago
▲ 1 r/PredictionsMarkets+1 crossposts

Found an edge ;)

I have found a system for predicting every single 5-minute BTC candle with extremely high accuracy.

Over the past few months, I’ve been experimenting, researching, testing and refining different approaches to short-term BTC price prediction, specifically focused on the 5-minute candles.

After countless hours of testing different models, indicators, market conditions and timing-based setups, I’ve built a strategy that is designed to predict the direction of every single 5-minute candle before it closes.

The goal is simple:

Predict whether the next 5-minute BTC candle will close green or red.

Since there are 12 five-minute candles per hour and 288 candles in a full 24-hour day, this creates a huge number of opportunities every single day.

I’ve been testing this across different market conditions, including high volatility, low volatility, ranging markets, trending markets and major news-driven moves.

The strategy does not rely on guessing or randomly entering trades. It is based on repeatable patterns, probability, momentum shifts, volume behavior and specific market conditions that tend to appear before short-term candle direction becomes more predictable.

Some setups are more aggressive and aim for higher returns, while others are more conservative and focus on consistency and risk management.

The most interesting part is that even a small edge on 5-minute candles can become extremely powerful when applied consistently across hundreds of candles per day.

With proper bankroll management, position sizing and automation, this type of strategy can scale very quickly.

I’m not here to give the full system away, because I’ve spent a lot of time developing and testing it. The strategy is far too valuable to simply post publicly.

But if you’re interested in learning more about how I’m predicting every 5-minute BTC candle, DM me.

u/FantasticConcept25 — 2 days ago