u/Cultural_Fennel3168

Why do we need an emergency fund beyond one month if we have a brokerage account?

I’ve always had a hard time psychologically keeping a large cash emergency fund beyond about one month of expenses. It feels difficult to accept earning ~3% in a money market fund when historically the S&P 500 has returned closer to ~10% annually over the long run.

So I’m trying to understand why it’s commonly recommended to keep 6–12 months of expenses in cash before investing heavily.

For example, in my taxable brokerage account I hold a large amount of SPY accumulated over time. If an emergency happens, why wouldn’t it make more sense to simply sell some shares when needed? The cash settles within a couple of days. Even if I pay 15% long-term capital gains tax, the after-tax expected return still seems much better than parking a large amount in cash for years.

I do understand the sequence-of-returns risk, meaning the market could be down exactly when I need the money. But historically, the S&P 500 has been positive more often than negative over multi-year periods. Because of that, keeping a full year of expenses permanently out of the market sometimes feels irrational to me, especially if that money may sit unused for many years.

Am I underestimating some major risk here? Can someone walk through the math or probabilities and explain why a large emergency fund is still considered optimal despite the long-term return difference?

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u/Cultural_Fennel3168 — 3 days ago

Study permit or work permit for fastest path to PR?

I'm an IMG (internationally-educated medical doctor) who wants to immigrate to Canada and get the Canadian PR as soon as possible. Currently, my CRS score is 435. Seems like I have a decent chance of getting drawn in the healthcare category in the future but I don't want to solely rely on that. I'd like to put extra effort and either get PR in a different way or at least do something to increase my CRS score (e.g., gaining Canadian experience).

So, I'm simultaneously trying to get a student/work permit. Getting a study permit seems to be a bit easier because there are many master's and PhD programs I can apply to. But getting a work permit in a way that is aligned with my interests and long term goals essentially requires finding a "research fellow" position, which is not very common in Canada (and some of them require a PhD). So, my question is this: Should I focus on study or work permit? Which one can lead to a PR faster and how much faster?

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u/Cultural_Fennel3168 — 3 days ago
▲ 0 r/fican

Large capital loss carryover + possible move to Canada: how would you optimize taxable vs retirement investing?

Hi. I have an ~$81K capital loss carryover (~$21K short-term, ~$60K long-term) and am trying to figure out the best way to use it. My earned income is about $150K/year, and so far I’ve only been using the standard $3K/year deduction against ordinary income.

My concern is that at this pace it will take ~27 years to fully use the carryover, and I may not even stay in the U.S. that long. There’s a decent chance (maybe 2 out of 3) that I move from the U.S. to Canada within 2–3 years, likely with somewhat lower income there. I’ll probably need $50K–$100K cash for relocation, car, possible home down payment, etc.

Right now I have:

  • ~$200K in retirement accounts (late 30s)
  • ~$50K in a taxable brokerage account, with mostly short-term gains

Since most of my savings are locked in retirement accounts, I may eventually need to liquidate part of the taxable account to fund the move. Ideally I’d like to use the carryover losses to offset those gains if that makes sense.

The main decision I’m struggling with is this:

Over the next 2–3 years, I can either:

  • invest about $4K/month into taxable accounts, OR
  • defer about $5K/month pre-tax into my 403(b)/457(b)

I can contribute up to ~$49K/year combined to those retirement accounts, and I expect I’ll probably return to the U.S. eventually and retire here. Because of that, I’m hesitant to miss out on tax-advantaged contributions while I still can. But I also value flexibility, especially since there’s a chance I eventually retire early outside the U.S. in a lower-cost country.

So I’m trying to understand:

  • Does having a large capital loss carryover make taxable investing more attractive?
  • Or is it still usually better to maximize pre-tax retirement contributions and slowly use the losses against ordinary income?

My questions:

  1. How would you allocate ~$4K–$6K/month between taxable and tax-deferred investing before a possible move abroad?
  2. How would you strategically use the capital loss carryover?
  3. Are there any cross-border, tax, liquidity, or early-retirement issues I may be overlooking?

Happy to clarify anything if helpful.

reddit.com
u/Cultural_Fennel3168 — 4 days ago

Using up carryover loss through gains?

Hi. I have an ~$81K capital loss carryover (~$21K short-term, ~$60K long-term) and am trying to figure out the best way to use it. My earned income is about $150K/year, and so far I’ve only been using the standard $3K/year deduction against ordinary income. I currently have about 6K in gains in my brokerage account (mostly-short term; 5K in QQQM and 1K in SPY). Does it make sense to sell and re-buy the same assets to reset the cost basis and use up 6K of carryover loss?

reddit.com
u/Cultural_Fennel3168 — 4 days ago

My wife is moving from Asia to Canada, and I’ll likely join her from the U.S. soon. We need to buy a car, but she has no Canadian/U.S. credit history while I have excellent U.S. credit.

I’m trying to figure out whether it makes more sense to:

  • buy the car in the U.S. under my credit and drive/import it into Canada, or
  • buy/finance it directly in Canada.

I suspect buying in the U.S. may be better because:

  • I can likely get promotional financing (0–4% APR),
  • I’m more comfortable negotiating with U.S. dealers,
  • most goods in the U.S. market seems to have cheaper prices and more inventory.

But I’m concerned those savings could be offset by import fees, taxes, fees to transfer title to her, registration, insurance, or other cross-border complications.

The drive itself is irrelevant since I’ll already be driving there anyway. I’m mainly looking for insight into which option is likely to be cheaper and simpler overall.

P.S. From the comments, I now see the issue with a financed car crossing the border. OK, how about if I paid in cash? Even cash deals are probably better in the US.

reddit.com
u/Cultural_Fennel3168 — 15 days ago

Hi. I have an ~$81K capital loss carryover (~$21K short-term, ~$60K long-term) and am trying to figure out the best way to use it. My earned income is about $150K/year, and so far I’ve only been using the standard $3K/year deduction against ordinary income.

My concern is that at this pace it will take ~27 years to fully use the carryover, and I may not even stay in the U.S. that long. There’s a decent chance (maybe 2 out of 3) that I move from the U.S. to Canada within 2–3 years, likely with somewhat lower income there. I’ll probably need $50K–$100K cash for relocation, car, possible home down payment, etc.

Right now I have:

  • ~$200K in retirement accounts (late 30s)
  • ~$50K in a taxable brokerage account, with mostly short-term gains

Since most of my savings are locked in retirement accounts, I may eventually need to liquidate part of the taxable account to fund the move. Ideally I’d like to use the carryover losses to offset those gains if that makes sense.

The main decision I’m struggling with is this:

Over the next 2–3 years, I can either:

  • invest about $4K/month into taxable accounts, OR
  • defer about $5K/month pre-tax into my 403(b)/457(b)

I can contribute up to ~$49K/year combined to those retirement accounts, and I expect I’ll probably return to the U.S. eventually and retire here. Because of that, I’m hesitant to miss out on tax-advantaged contributions while I still can. But I also value flexibility, especially since there’s a chance I eventually retire early outside the U.S. in a lower-cost country.

So I’m trying to understand:

  • Does having a large capital loss carryover make taxable investing more attractive?
  • Or is it still usually better to maximize pre-tax retirement contributions and slowly use the losses against ordinary income?

My questions:

  1. How would you allocate ~$4K–$6K/month between taxable and tax-deferred investing before a possible move abroad?
  2. How would you strategically use the capital loss carryover?
  3. Are there any cross-border, tax, liquidity, or early-retirement issues I may be overlooking?

Happy to clarify anything if helpful.

reddit.com
u/Cultural_Fennel3168 — 16 days ago