
By the early 2020s, 70-72% of older men with severe obesity were on a statin vs 40-48% of normal-weight men, and a new Lancet study shows their non-HDL cholesterol converged.
A study published July 1 in The Lancet, from the NCD Risk Factor Collaboration, pooled 110 national surveys covering close to a million people across seven countries from 1990 to 2024. They compared blood pressure and non-HDL cholesterol between adults with obesity and adults at a normal weight, then tracked how that gap moved over three decades. For adults over 40, it has nearly closed. In the heaviest group, BMI 35 and up, older adults with obesity now have non-HDL numbers about the same as their normal-weight peers, sometimes a little lower.
The authors credit wider, more intensive statin and blood pressure treatment in heavier people, not diet or weight loss. Older US work says the same thing. Between the early 1990s and late 2000s, average total cholesterol fell from 216 to 197 while the share of adults on a lipid-lowering drug went from 1.6 to 12.5 percent, and researchers estimated the drugs, not diet, accounted for about half the drop.
Two guideline changes did a lot of this work, which is the part I'd want anyone tracking their own lipids to know. In 2013 the ACC/AHA dropped the old cholesterol targets and switched to overall risk, and that single move made about 12.8 million more adults statin-eligible overnight. Heavier people crossed the line more often, because obesity drags the risk score up through blood pressure, glucose, and lipids. Then in March 2026 they bolted a 30-year risk estimate onto the 10-year one, built to catch younger people whose 10-year number looks harmless but whose lifetime risk is high. One analysis put that expansion near 20 million more Americans.
One thing to be clear about: this is non-HDL and blood pressure only. It says nothing about Lp(a), and it doesn't touch the metabolic problems that come along with excess weight. Real harm reduction on two numbers, not a green light.
Curious what this sub thinks, especially anyone who watched their own non-HDL or ApoB drop on a statin without much change on the scale. Did the number move the way you expected?