u/DislocationHunterYV

Belle séance aujourd’hui sur Vusion :

✅ +3,3 %

✅ 56k+ titres échangés

✅ Plus haut à 131 €

✅ MM100 (~130,7 €) testée pour la première fois

Techniquement, la configuration devient intéressante.

On a actuellement :

•	MM20 ≈ 125 € → support dynamique court terme

•	MM50 ≈ 116,6 € → tendance intermédiaire redevenue constructive

•	MM100 ≈ 130,7 € → résistance majeure / zone surveillée par les algos

Depuis plusieurs séances, le titre semble évoluer dans une compression entre MM20 et MM100.

Aujourd’hui, Vusion est venue chercher la MM100 à 131 €, sans rejet violent derrière. Et c’est probablement le point le plus important.

Un vrai rejet aurait renvoyé le titre vers 125–126 €.

Au lieu de ça :

•	maintien au-dessus de 128 €

•	clôture solide

•	vendeurs absorbés

•	structure intraday haussière.

Pour moi, ça ressemble davantage à une phase d’accumulation / pression sous résistance qu’à une fin de rebond.

Le marché teste souvent une grosse MM plusieurs fois avant cassure.

Zone clé maintenant : 130–131 €.

Si cette zone saute avec volume, la compression MM20/MM100 pourrait enfin sortir par le haut avec un mouvement potentiellement rapide vers 134–135 €.

Et n’oublions pas que pendant ce temps :

•	borrow rate >7 %

•	dividende à financer

•	la VAD continue de payer pour tenir ses positions.

Pas un conseil financier — juste une lecture technique et du price action.

Curieux d’avoir vos avis

Petit update sur Vusion.

Pendant des semaines on avait des séances mortes avec 5–15k titres échangés. Aujourd’hui on passe déjà ~40k titres avant 14h avec +3% et une vraie activité acheteuse.

Quelques points que le marché semble oublier :

✅ Leader mondial ESL / retail IoT

Walmart, Carrefour, +600M devices déployés, cloud et VAS en forte croissance.

✅ Business en accélération

Le cours a perdu ~60% depuis les plus hauts… pendant que :

•	revenus explosaient

•	cloud install base doublait

•	ARR et services progressaient fortement

•	guidance confirmée.

✅ Valorisation redevenue raisonnable

Forward P/E autour de 10x pour une croissance largement supérieure.

✅ Buyback toujours présent + possibilité d’extension AG

Le sujet du rachat d’actions devient intéressant quand le flottant est tendu.

✅ Borrow rate >7% maintenant

C’est probablement le point le plus sous-estimé.

Passer de ~2–4% à plus de 7% signifie que le coût du short augmente fortement. Ce n’est pas anodin.

Et surtout :

Comment shorts + buyback + retour du volume cohabitent durablement sur un titre avec relativement peu de liquidité ?

Je ne parle pas forcément de squeeze immédiat.

Mais clairement, le rapport risque/rendement devient beaucoup plus intéressant qu’au moment où tout le monde était euphorique à 250€+.

126–128€ devient une zone clé.

Cassure propre avec volume → ça peut aller chercher plus haut rapidement.

DYOR. Long VU. 🚀

[supprimé]

+8% declared short interest.

Borrow fee exploding from 2.2% to 4.9% in a few days.

Buyback program accelerating again this week.

And despite massive pressure… the stock refuses to break below €114-118.

That’s the key signal.

Technically:

•	higher lows forming,

•	rebounds getting sharper,

•	volume increasing,

•	shorts struggling to push the stock lower.

Fundamentally:

•	global ESL leader,

•	AI/data retail exposure,

•	strong growth profile,

•	valuation still ridiculously low compared to US growth peers.

The scary part for shorts?

The stock is already rebounding BEFORE any real panic covering phase.

Low float + rising borrow cost + buyback + 8%+ short interest = potentially explosive setup.

Feels more and more like the beginning of a pressure reversal, not the end of the story. 🚀

+8% declared short interest.

Borrow fee exploding from 2.2% to 4.9% in a few days.

Buyback program accelerating again this week.

And despite massive pressure… the stock refuses to break below €114-118.

That’s the key signal.

Technically:

•	higher lows forming,

•	rebounds getting sharper,

•	volume increasing,

•	shorts struggling to push the stock lower.

Fundamentally:

•	global ESL leader,

•	AI/data retail exposure,

•	strong growth profile,

•	valuation still ridiculously low compared to US growth peers.

The scary part for shorts?

The stock is already rebounding BEFORE any real panic covering phase.

Low float + rising borrow cost + buyback + 8%+ short interest = potentially explosive setup.

Feels more and more like the beginning of a pressure reversal, not the end of the story. 🚀

I don’t usually post, but this setup is getting hard to ignore.

We’re looking at a company that is:

👉 A global leader in digitalizing physical retail with AI

👉 Already deployed at scale (this is NOT a concept stock)

Let’s talk facts.

⸻

🧠 This is AI… but in the real world

Vusion is not just “AI hype”.

They are building the infrastructure layer for AI-driven physical commerce:

•	IoT + smart labels

•	Computer vision

•	Real-time data analytics

•	Retail media inside stores

And it’s already LIVE:

•	75,000+ stores deployed

•	650M+ smart labels installed

👉 This is massive.

⸻

🏆 Recognition is catching up

They were recently named by TIME as one of the most influential companies in retail (TIME100 Industry Leaders).

Let that sink in.

This is not retail investors talking.

This is global recognition.

⸻

📈 Fundamentals are strong

•	2025: strong results

•	Profitability improving

•	Margins recovering

•	2026 guidance:

👉 +15–20% growth still expected

Long-term roadmap intact.

⸻

💰 Now look at what insiders are doing

While the price is going down:

👉 Management / related entities bought ~80,000 shares around €134–136

That’s roughly €10M+ deployed.

Not symbolic. Not PR.

Real money.

⸻

🏦 And the company itself is buying

👉 €30M share buyback program

•	Active in the market

•	Designed to support shareholder value

•	Reducing dilution

So you have:

✔️ insiders buying

✔️ company buying

⸻

📉 Meanwhile, price action…

•	Stock down \~40–50% from highs

•	Back to levels from years ago

•	Despite MUCH stronger fundamentals

And on top of that:

•	\~22% of float sold short

•	Borrow rate rising (\~3%+)

⸻

⚖️ This creates a very unusual setup

You now have:

•	Strong growth + AI positioning

•	Global recognition (TIME)

•	Insider accumulation

•	Active buyback

•	Heavy short pressure

•	Price near major support (\~115–120€)

⸻

🧠 Read this carefully

This is NOT a broken company.

This is a stock under maximum pressure.

There’s a difference.

⸻

🚨 The key point

At these levels:

👉 downside is getting more limited

👉 upside (if sentiment shifts) is asymmetric

No, it doesn’t mean it pumps tomorrow.

But structurally:

👉 this is where setups are built

⸻

🚀 My take

This is starting to look like:

👉 a high-conviction accumulation zone

👉 with a potential rebound catalyst stack

👉 and a crowded short side

⸻

🧩 Final thought

You don’t have to call a bottom.

But ignoring:

•	AI infrastructure leader

•	75k stores / 650M devices

•	TIME recognition

•	€30M buyback

•	insider buying

…because price is down?

That’s exactly how markets misprice things.

⸻

Not financial advice. Do your own research.

But this one is getting very, very interesting.

[ Removed by Reddit on account of violating the content policy. ]

I’m genuinely trying to understand something here.

Because either I’m missing something…

or the market is.

⸻

📊 Let’s look at facts (not opinions)

•	\~9.5% of total shares sold short

•	Float \~42%

👉 That’s roughly:

⚠️ ~22% OF THE FLOAT SHORT

That’s a crowded trade.

⸻

📈 Meanwhile…

•	Borrow rate rising → \~2.87%

•	Insiders buying (multiple transactions around 134–136€)

•	€30M buyback ongoing (\~€20M left)

👉 So:

•	Shorts are increasing pressure

•	Management is buying

•	Company is buying

And price… is holding.

⸻

📉 Today’s session

•	Big flush early

•	Strong rebound

•	Back above 130

👉 Sellers pushed hard

👉 And got absorbed

That’s not what a weak stock looks like.

⸻

🧠 The real question

If this was such an obvious short…

👉 why is price NOT breaking down?

⸻

Because right now it looks like:

•	Shorts are leaning aggressively

•	But buyers are quietly absorbing

And that setup doesn’t usually resolve downward.

⸻

⚠️ I’m not saying “short squeeze tomorrow”

But I am saying this:

👉 This is the kind of structure

that people ignore…

right before it becomes obvious.

⸻

🎯 Debate

So I’m curious:

👉 What’s the bear case on VUSION that justifies

~22% of the float being short?

Because from where I stand,

this looks less like a short…

and more like a crowded trap waiting for a trigger.

⸻

(Not financial advice — genuinely looking for counter-arguments)

I think people are seriously underestimating what’s building here.

⸻

📊 SHORT INTEREST

👉 ~9.5% of total shares sold short

👉 Float: ~42%

⚠️ ≈22% OF THE FLOAT IS SHORTED

That’s extremely high.

⸻

🧠 INSIDERS ARE BUYING

Recent filing:

•	12,000 shares @ 136€

•	33,000 shares @ 134€

👉 ~45,000 shares accumulated right in this zone

⸻

💰 BUYBACK IN PROGRESS

•	Total program: €30M

•	Remaining: \~€20M still to be deployed

👉 That’s continuous buying pressure in the market

⸻

⚡ PUT IT ALL TOGETHER

You now have:

•	🔥 Very high short interest (\~22% of float)

•	💼 Insider accumulation

•	💰 Active buyback (ongoing demand)

•	📈 Proven volatility (+20% move recently)

•	⏸️ Current consolidation phase

⸻

💥 THIS IS HOW SQUEEZES BUILD

•	Shorts increasing

•	Company buying

•	Insiders buying

•	Market stabilizing

👉 Pressure builds silently… until it doesn’t.

⸻

🚀 WHAT TO WATCH

If volume comes back:

•	Shorts will need to react

•	Liquidity is tight

•	Move can be fast and aggressive

⸻

💣 BOTTOM LINE

This is not a “normal” setup.

👉 High short interest + buyback + insiders

👉 = asymmetric risk to the upside

⸻

Not financial advice — just connecting the dots.

Curious who else is watching this 👀

Everyone is still debating Nvidia, compute demand, GPU cycles…

But I think the market is already shifting — and most people are missing it.

👉 The first phase of AI was about infrastructure

👉 The next phase is about monetization

And that changes EVERYTHING.

⸻

🚀 Phase 1 (2023–2026): SELL THE PICKS & SHOVELS

•	Nvidia, chips, datacenters

•	Massive capex cycle

•	Explosive demand for compute

This part is obvious. It’s already priced.

⸻

⚡ Phase 2 (starting now): USE AI TO PRINT MONEY

This is where things get interesting.

Companies are no longer just experimenting with AI —

They are deploying it to:

•	Optimize operations

•	Increase productivity

•	Reduce costs

•	Boost revenue

👉 This is where real ROI kicks in

⸻

💡 Example: VusionGroup (VU.PA)

Most people still think it’s just electronic shelf labels.

That’s outdated.

It’s becoming a full AI + IoT retail platform:

•	🧠 Captana (Computer Vision AI) → real-time shelf monitoring

•	☁️ VusionCloud → recurring SaaS revenues (+60% growth)

•	📡 EdgeSense (Bluetooth + AI) → in-store interaction with customers & staff

👉 Physical stores are turning into AI-driven systems

⸻

🌍 Why this matters NOW

•	Walmart expanding globally (US + Mexico)

•	Carrefour rolling out across France (and Europe next)

•	AI cameras (150k+) being deployed

•	Strong acceleration in recurring AI revenues

👉 This is not hype — this is industrial-scale AI deployment

⸻

📊 The real shift

We are moving from:

➡️ “Who sells the GPUs?”

➡️ to

➡️ “Who uses AI to dominate their industry?”

And the second group is massively underpriced.

⸻

🧠 My take

AI demand will NOT slow down.

But the biggest upside from here is likely:

👉 Not in compute

👉 But in companies applying AI to real-world use cases

Retail. Logistics. Healthcare. Industry.

⸻

💥 Bottom line

The first winners were obvious.

The next winners?

👉 Much less crowded

👉 Much less understood

👉 Much bigger upside

And I think we’re just at the beginning.

⸻

Curious to hear your thoughts —

Are you still all-in on infrastructure, or starting to look at AI users?

Everyone is still trading Vusion like a hardware deployment story.

That’s the mistake.

⸻

What’s actually happening 👇

Vusion is quietly becoming a full-stack Retail AI platform:

•	EdgeSense (Bluetooth infrastructure) → in-store connectivity layer

•	VusionCloud → recurring SaaS backbone

•	Captana (AI + computer vision) → real-time shelf intelligence

•	IoT + data layer → turning stores into measurable, optimizable systems

👉 This is not retail tech anymore.

👉 This is physical retail becoming software-driven.

⸻

And this is now being recognized 👇

🏆 EdgeSense AI just won the 2026 Retail Technology Innovation Award

👉 External validation that Vusion is not just executing…

👉 but actually leading innovation in the sector

⸻

And the timing couldn’t be better 👇

We are entering a sector rotation:

•	Capital is moving from crowded AI software plays

•	→ into real-world AI deployment (IoT + automation + data)

Retail is one of the largest untapped AI markets globally.

⸻

Now add the execution 👇

•	Walmart = global deployment + innovation pipeline

•	Mexico expansion just started

•	Europe re-accelerating (>20% growth)

•	Carrefour = multi-year rollout + exclusivity

•	Captana orders already in the tens of millions

•	VAS growing \~40% (recurring +60%)

👉 This is compounding, not peaking

⸻

The key insight most people miss 👇

Installed base ~50% penetration

Replacement cycle = 5–7 years

➡️ Built-in future revenue engine

➡️ Increasing share of recurring + upgrades

➡️ Structural visibility through 2030

⸻

Now combine with market mechanics 👇

•	\~9% reported short interest

•	\~18% of free float effectively short

👉 Shorts are positioned for a slowdown

👉 Fundamentals are doing the opposite

⸻

2030 projection (if execution continues):

•	Retail AI platform standard

•	Massive recurring revenue base

•	Global multi-client deployment (not just Walmart)

•	AI + IoT becoming core infrastructure

⸻

My view 👇

This is not a trade anymore.

This is a re-rating story in progress.

Short term = volatility

Medium term = acceleration

Long term = category leader

⸻

🎯 Market is still pricing a hardware company

📈 Reality is a Retail AI platform scaling globally

⸻

Not financial advice. Just connecting the dots early.

[ Removed by Reddit on account of violating the content policy. ]