The US is totally losing the Iran war even as defined by their own doctorine and strategy
Operation Epic Fury was obviously designed to capitalise on CIA and Mossad funded and supported and use the shock and awe tactics of mass bombing Tehran and the military assets of Iran to collapse the IRGC and Ayatollahs regime and with guidance from the western intelligence community, install a puppet or friendly government (numerous military figures from the US and Secretary of War Hegseth states as much the goal was to allow a friendly government to take shape and as evidenced by the western media parading around former Shah Reza Pahlavi).
However the US underestimated the unity of the IRGC, its allies willingness to help, and its own capability to trot out the regime + coup change it’s used in the past and Irans ability to close the SoH and use it as a weapon. This falls against key US military doctrine that advises commanders to accurately understand the enemies Morale, strength and disposition of strength and assumed that overwhelming force would be enough against a country planning asymmetric warfare for the past 40 years and also was unable to understand the scale and severity of the global economic implications (yes men don’t make good leaders eg. Hegseth, Rubio etc)
Therefore the US has shifted to operation freedom as an attempt to remedy Irans leverage economically and use negotiations to secure temporary wins while regaining an operational tempo to figure out a fix to Epic Fury (again failing to understand that Iran has strong ideological backing from within to keep fighting as long as possible). US Intelligence now indicates that Iran has been repositioning its remaining drone and military assets.
All in all what is likely next is an attempt of limited military action against Kharg Island, Further air strikes against Irans oil capacity all in an attempt to force some surrender and semblance of victory.
However the US again is left in a dilemma where it can’t pursue ALL of its initial stated goals and objectives, whether it be total regime change (essentially out of the question), de-nuclearisation or Iran (now not happening without total regime change or significant and extremely difficult operations to destroy their nuclear supply chain and enrichment) or even to militarily neuter Iran into a failed state which even that is not happening without achievable but dangerous, extremely unpopular and expensive air and naval strikes on Iranian oil, military and civilian infrastructure which even that would create significant instability in the region and be a significant radicalising force that would severally hurt the US in the short-medium term and be its undoing in the Middle East in the immediate to long term.
Ultimately the US created its own demise here with decades of interference in Iran and the Middle East (and wider world) and completely failed to understand their own standing in the world after years of forever wars, isolating allies and completely neglecting their own domestic situation.