u/Doyouknowdeez

Image 1 — Flame-Flame Fruit prizes vs regional grails
Image 2 — Flame-Flame Fruit prizes vs regional grails
Image 3 — Flame-Flame Fruit prizes vs regional grails

Flame-Flame Fruit prizes vs regional grails

the Doffy art is easily my favorite of the three and one of my favorites in OPTCG fo sure. But with the market down would you buy one of these now or grab a tournament prize at a “discount”?

Some PSA 10 price comparisons:

  • Top 8 Boa: around $8k–9k.
  • Top 8 Luffy (Sky Island): around $9k–10.5k.
  • OG Top 8 Zoro Treasure Cup: sold for $12k in mid-September.
  • OG Top 16 Zoro ~$8k-8.5k

Mexico + Australia still have their Flame-Flame Fruit events in Jan 2027. If they follow the same four-block prize structure, the projected English totals across those four events would be:

  • Top 16 Doffy: 256
  • Top 8 Rebecca: 128
  • Top 4 Lucy: 64

that would be fewer copies of each than serials.

u/Doyouknowdeez — 7 days ago

new ATH sale for OP11 gold sp luffy PSA 10? (28k)

28k paid confirmed sale on eBay for the gold sp OP11 Luffy PSA 10 on August 14th, 2026, for listing https://www.ebay.com/itm/136983902878

Saw the confirmed sale on Terapeak (eBay's product research) which I believe is the most legit way to check confirmed sales.

Now I don't know if someone bought this with the intention to black label, but that is actually insane.... It doesn't even make sense because there is a current listing for $19,888.00 on eBay lol.

u/Doyouknowdeez — 2 months ago

Over $1 Million in One Piece Grails End Tonight Including the 1st Place Trophy and Serial #001 Luffy

Goldin might have the biggest group of One Piece grails I have ever seen ending on the same night (08/09/2026).

I have never personally bought through Goldin... so I cannot speak to the experience firsthand, but I do believe it is a credible marketplace for high-end collectibles. If these sales are completed, tonight should give us some of the newest public comps for the top end of the One Piece market.

The one thing I do not know is how difficult it is to shill bid on Goldin or what happens when a winning bidder does not pay. I’ve only every bought online through eBay 🤷‍♂️ I would still want to see the sales confirmed before treating every final price as a hard comp.

The two monsters of the night:

2024 Chinese Year One World Championship 1st Place Luffy Trophy

The current bid is $500,000, which comes to $610,000 after Goldin’s buyer’s premium.

Simplified Chinese Championship Top Prize ST01-001 Luffy #001/248 — BGS 9.5

The current bid is $250,000, or $305,000 after Goldin’s buyer’s premium.

Those two Luffys alone are already at $915,000 combined, and the auction is not even over.

Some of the other massive grails ending tonight:

  • A sealed Romance Dawn OP01 booster case. Goldin does not say whether it is blue-bottom, so I would not assume that it is.
  • 2023 Championship 1st Place Winner Kaido — BGS Pristine 10
  • English OP09 Gold Manga Gol D. Roger — BGS Black Label 10
  • Serial cards:
    • English ST01-001 Luffy #312/700 — PSA 10
    • Korean ST01-001 Luffy #066/077 — PSA 10
    • English Top Prize Zoro #280/600 — PSA 10
    • Japanese Get Campaign Nami #0837/1200 — BGS Pristine 10
    • Korean Top Prize Shanks #010/200 — PSA 10
  • Champion cards:
    • 2025–26 Top Player Pack Champion Luffy #OP07-109 — PSA 10
    • 2025–26 Top Player Pack Champion Buggy #ST17-003 — PSA 10
    • 2025–26 Top Player Pack Champion Perona #OP10-092 — PSA 10
    • 2025–26 Top Player Pack Champion Chopper #OP07-066 — PSA 10
    • 2025–26 Top Player Pack Champion Portgas D. Ace #ST15-005 — PSA 10

There are also multiple OP13 red mangas, Gold SP Luffys, and a lot more.

So many trophy cards, serials, Champion promos, sealed, Black Labels, and mangas are all ending in the same place on the same night. It’s rare to get this many high-end One Piece auction results at once, and these could become the comps people point back to for a while.

Absolutely insane lineup. Which card are you watching, and where do you think the 1st Place Luffy Trophy ends?

u/Doyouknowdeez — 2 months ago

Collectors Turned Players for OP-17?

Lol how many people were mostly collectors before OP-17 and are now learning how to actually play because of the pre-release?

Feels like this set is pushing a lot of collectors to try the game itself.

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u/Doyouknowdeez — 2 months ago

BGS pauses base and standard submissions

Expected til September 15 unlike PSA with no news on when they’ll unblock it.

u/Doyouknowdeez — 2 months ago

Grail Auction Watch: 15 Auctions Over $5K Ending Today & Tomorrow

Trying something new here :) I noticed today and tomorrow are stacked with some big One Piece auctions, so this felt like a good test run for a recurring Grail Auction Watch which would be a quick look at notable auctions before they close, followed by a recap of the final sale prices.

I know most of us aren’t bidding at these levels but they’re still useful to watch. Why watch?? I believe grail sales show where serious money is actually moving. Strong results can reset comps and change expectations for similar cards. One auction doesn’t define the market. Grade, serial number, seller reputation, timing, or two determined bidders can all distort a result. Think of these as a market sentiment check, not a price index for the entire One Piece market.

Ending tonight

Current bids as of posting. These will likely move before closing.

  1. OP01 Shanks Manga — BGS 10 Black Label — $17,600
  2. Japanese Serialized Nami — Get Campaign 0707/1200 — PSA 10 — $15,200
  3. OP11 Diamond Luffy — PSA 10 — $13,400
  4. English First Anniversary Sequential Set — PSA 10 — $11,200
  5. Chinese First Anniversary Sequential Set with Red Dress Nami — PSA 10 — $10,800
  6. OP01 Pre-Errata Luffy Leader — PSA 10 — $7,800
  7. OP13 Manga Luffy, Non-Red Version — PSA 10 — $7,800
  8. Japanese Serialized Zoro 0571/2700 — PSA 10 — $7,700
  9. EB02 Gold Leader Chopper — PSA 10 — $7,600
  10. OP01 Shanks Manga — PSA 10 — $5,100

Ending tomorrow

  1. English Serialized Zoro 231/700 — PSA 10 — $45,100
  2. English Gear 5 Serialized Luffy 0766/1000 — PSA 10 — $17,700
  3. OP11 Gold Luffy SP — PSA 10 — $17,200
  4. EB02 Gear 2 Manga Luffy — PSA 10 — $13,000
  5. Top 16 Championship Zoro — PSA 10 — $9,050

I pulled auctions that currently have bids above $5,000.

This isn’t a recommendation to bid just a way to track price discovery at the high end of the market. Would you rather see these posts before the auctions close, a recap of the final results, or both?

u/Doyouknowdeez — 3 months ago

Cards I Would NOT Buy Right Now

After looking through the newly announced Championship 26-27 Regionals Season 2 Prize Wall, I realized some cards people are paying thousands for today are about to be distributed again.

https://en.onepiece-cardgame.com/events/regional-season2-side.html

The obvious ones are:

CS25-26 Top 64 OP09-050 Nami, currently going for around $4.5k.

CS25-26 Event Pack cards, including Meme Chopper, which is around $800 in a PSA 10.

I would not buy either at current prices because their supply is reopening, and nobody knows how much additional inventory is coming. What is confirmed:

Nami is returning as a 50-ticket Prize reward. The CS25-26 Event Pack is returning for 30 tickets, with two cards inside each pack. What Bandai has not disclosed:

- How many Namis or Event Packs each tournament organizer will receive.

- Whether every prize will be stocked at every Regional.

- How many players will redeem them.

- How much unused inventory will remain after each event.

The Side Event page also only says that some side events at Regional venues will use the Prize Wall format. So there is no honest way to calculate exactly how many additional copies are coming. The Event Pack cards pack costs 30 tickets compared with 50 tickets for Nami, making it easier to redeem. That could mean more packs opened and more singles entering the market. Could....not guaranteed.

Bandai may have printed very little Prize Wall inventory. Demand for Nami and Chopper may absorb every new copy. Prices could stay exactly where they are, but when I am buying an expensive tournament card, I generally want its distribution to be finished, not reopened with an unknown amount of inventory. Maybe prices stay flat. Maybe they drop 10%....30%..I do not know.

What I do know is this: I would rather buy after the Prize Wall supply reaches the market than before anyone knows how much supply there actually is.

u/Doyouknowdeez — 3 months ago

LETS GET SERIAL

Disclosure: I own one copy and I’m actively looking to buy more, so yeah, factor that bias in

I have been way too deep in the OPTCG rabbit hole for the last few months. Reddit, eBay, Alt, 130point, PSA pops, BGS pops, random Instagram sellers, sold listings, listings I cannot afford, listings I want to get into debt for. After looking at serial cards long enough, one card keeps standing out to me. It stands out to me as being meaningfully undervalued relative to its scarcity, character demand, and grading difficulty:

OP08-106 Nami Serial Numbered Nami Get Campaign Promo

Don’t worry y’all, I’ll post my thesis so this isn’t some pump/shill post without any detail on why. Let’s state the obvious: most One Piece serial cards have very high gem rates.

As of my latest pop check, the Nami Get Campaign serial has:

PSA gem rate: 31.91%

BGS gem rate: 34.24%

(All gem rates are from my latest PSA/BGS pop check, so these can move over time)

That is extremely low for OPTCG, especially compared to the gem rates we usually see across One Piece cards and other serial promos. My view is that this creates a real collector premium over time.

The official Japanese campaign awarded the OP08-106 serial-numbered Nami to 1,000 winners by lottery. The Japanese campaign ran from September 1, 2025 to November 30, 2025. The Asia campaign separately awarded the same OP08-106 serial-numbered Nami to 200 players, with registration running from October 1, 2025 to November 30, 2025. So the officially visible Japan/Asia campaign distribution is 1,200 copies. If you include the Simplified Chinese /265 version, Nami serial total comes out to 1,465 copies.

For comparison, here are the multi-language serial totals I’m using:

ST01-001 Luffy - 1,525 printed across English, Japanese, Korean, and simplified Chinese.

OP12-020 Zoro - 5,450 printed across English, Japanese, Asia, and simplified Chinese.

OP01-120 Shanks - 3,056 printed across English, Japanese, Korean, and simplified Chinese.

OP07-119 Portgas.D.Ace - 4,000 printed across English, Japanese, Korean, and simplified Chinese.

So even before adjusting for condition, Nami is already near the bottom of the serial population list. After adjusting for gem rate, I think the high-grade supply is far more attractive than the market is giving it credit for.

The main counterargument is obvious: this is not valued as high because it has the potential of coming out in English. I do not believe this exact Nami Get Campaign serial will come out in English, and here is why based on the pattern of serial card releases in different languages and regions:

Luffy is the first example. Japan had the ST01-001 Luffy serial through Flagship Battle around December 2022 to January 2023. English had the same ST01-001 Luffy serial in Treasure Cup February 2023. That means English was basically right there with Japan, not some random late release way after the fact.

For Zoro serial, English Treasure Cup had the OP12-020 Zoro serial in November 2025 as a Top 4 prize. Asia did not start its Zoro serial Flagship window until January 1, 2026. Japan did not start its Zoro serial Flagship window until February 1, 2026. So English Zoro was roughly 61 days before Asia and roughly 92 days before Japan.

Now compare that to Nami. Japan’s Nami Get Campaign ended November 30, 2025. Asia’s Nami Get Campaign also ended November 30, 2025. As of July 9, 2026, we are 221 days past the end of both campaigns with no Western English OP08-106 Nami serial announced through Treasure Cup or the same kind of obvious organized play path.

That does not prove English Nami can never happen, but Luffy and Zoro show that when Bandai wants a serial in English, it usually shows up early, around the same window, or even before Japan and Asia. Nami has not followed that pattern at all. That’s why I view OP08-106 Nami less like a delayed global English serial and more like a Japan and Asia Get Campaign serial exclusive.

It’s rare nowadays to see this Nami card being sold online in a 10 at a reasonable price. Lowest listed is around 37k on eBay. I’ve seen Instagram sellers listing BGS 10 around 33k. Recent PSA 10 sales are around the 25k mark. Sealed copies also looked much cheaper a couple months back, around the 9k-10k range from what I was seeing, so the card has already had a major move. But to be fair, a lot of high-end OPTCG has moved too. This is not a cheap entry and I would not call it risk-free at these prices.

Here are the gem rate rankings from lowest to highest. I did not include every serial, but these are the main comps I looked at.

Rank Card Gem Rate
1 OP08-106 Nami Get Campaign 33%
2 Rocket Luffy 64%
3 OP07-119 Portgas.D.Ace 67%
4 2025 One Piece Japanese Mini-Tin Pack Set Vol. 2 Nami Serial 75.90%
5 Blue Dress Nami 76.51%
6 ST01-001 Luffy 78%
7 Red Dress Nami 78.55%
8 OP01-120 Shanks 92%
9 OP12-020 Roronoa Zoro 97%

Thats really the whole thesis. Nami Get Campaign is low print, attached to one of the strongest collector characters in One Piece, and has a gem rate that looks reaaaallly low compared to most other serials. I am not saying it is risk-free OR CHEAP, and I am not saying English can never happen. I am saying compared to the highest-priced serials, Nami in a 10 looks like it has the scarcity, character demand, and condition difficulty to close a lot of that gap over time.

https://preview.redd.it/myq7ljla79ch1.png?width=1728&format=png&auto=webp&s=800e80b51e6f1de72b6eef74e86a1e64ed5a629f

Curious where people disagree :)

reddit.com
u/Doyouknowdeez — 3 months ago

Top 9 One Piece Serial Cards: My Conviction Ranking

Ranking:

  1. OG Serial Luffy
  2. Gear 5 Luffy Serial
  3. Serial Zoro
  4. Japanese Serial Nami
  5. Blue Dress Nami
  6. Serial Shanks
  7. Serial Ace
  8. Red Dress Nami
  9. Serial Yamato

Curious where everyone disagrees. What would your top 9 be?

u/Doyouknowdeez — 5 months ago

Card looks so good in person

Was hoping for 69 or 67 after opening it since 1 and 2 is taken, but I guess Kobe’s birthday is fine with me

u/Doyouknowdeez — 5 months ago

need help can this PSA 9

imagine the front is perfect with centering, surface, edges, and corners. Also to mention this is a really expensive grail.

Do you think I should send to PSA hoping for a 9 or Beckett PRAYING for a 9.5? Curious if it can even hit those grades in this condition.

u/Doyouknowdeez — 5 months ago

Why is English 1st Anniversary sealed more expensive than Chinese?

I’ve been looking at the English and Chinese 1st Anniversary sets, and I’m trying to understand why English sealed is still priced higher.

The most recent sealed comps on 130point I’ve seen are around $5,299 for English and $4,650 for Chinese. I would have expected the Chinese set to be the more expensive one.

My reasoning is that the Chinese set has the serialized Nami chase. From what I found, the Chinese run is estimated at 5,000 total sets, with 4,500 red Nami cards and 500 blue Nami cards.

The blue serialized Nami is also a huge chase card. I’ve seen PSA 10 sales around the $16k–$18k range, and red serialized Nami around 3-4k. On top of that, I personally think the Chinese artwork looks better.

So I’m trying to figure out what I’m missing. Is the English set more expensive mostly because English has a bigger collector base and stronger long-term demand? Is there less sealed English supply than people think? Or is the Chinese set being held back just because it’s not English, even though it has the better chase?

I’m not trying to pump either side. I’m genuinely trying to understand the market logic here. To me, the Chinese anniversary set feels like it should be priced higher because of the serialized Nami upside, but the market seems to disagree.

Would love to hear how others are thinking about English sealed versus Chinese sealed on this one.

reddit.com
u/Doyouknowdeez — 5 months ago

https://preview.redd.it/ieba19pgilyg1.jpg?width=4672&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1420ae360557f35bcd888a424daf4dd4deb6301c

Been slowly building a small carefully picked OP TCG collection without focusing on manga cards. I love the mangas, but they get most of the spotlight, so I’ve been having more fun hunting promos, event cards, character favorites, and slabs that feel a little more unique to me. Gonna crack and resend the 9.5s to PSA. What are yalls favorite non-manga grails?

reddit.com
u/Doyouknowdeez — 6 months ago