Will it rain in Seoul, South Korea on May 9, 2026?
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So honestly I think it will depend on the first to score. If PSG, then advantage them. If Bayern, advantage Bayern, as both teams will need that motivation. However, supposedly Hakimi has a possible hamstring strain so we'll have to look at that, but if he is out, I doubt whoever is at RB will have any better a time vs Diaz (potentially needing a CB to cover, allowing Kane and Musiala to have more space, Karl too if he plays), and PSG also lose his contribution on the counter. In that scenario, it's favouring Bayern. Assuming Hakimi is healthy, probably 50-50. But imo if it makes it to ET, Bayern have the advantage given just how gassed PSG looked today after just 55-60 mins, and how Bayern will have Bischof and Karl back for the second leg for added (and much needed) midfield depth. Another factor is obviously it's in the Allianz. Yes, we conceded 3 to 'the worst' Real, but one you could argue was an utter fluke, and the other two were referee errors, so I'll just leave that there. Lastly, Neuer. It feels like flipping a coin with him nowadays. Example, Leg 1 against RM, absoultely amazing. Leg 2, horrid first half, made two key saves in the second. Leg 1 PSG, utterly terrible. Part of me hopes Kompany picks Urbig atp, but it's Neuer, still. Overall, I'll still back Bayern here 3-1 or 4-2 (as a Bayern fan ofc, so biased probably but I'm tryna keep it unbiased), but if PSG scores first it could get bad so it's hard to tell, and after all we must respect PSG's threat. Though if we lose I hope it's a goalfest (3-3 or something)