u/Erickooo0

Image 1 — $2.7k win on a small-cap using AI + options flow
Image 2 — $2.7k win on a small-cap using AI + options flow
▲ 605 r/options

$2.7k win on a small-cap using AI + options flow

Preface: Mods removed the post yesterday but had tons of dms about this post so reposting with clarifications that led to removal.

  1. I have some experience developing games. Although it's largely irrelevant since game dev is mostly in rust and this alert was written in python by the AI.

  2. I am not affiliated with Xynth whatsoever. I just thought sharing some insight on how I as a 9-5 retail worker use AI to make money would be pretty insightful for the community. 

  3. The contents of this post is not AI generated. I wrote it myself. The post has to do with using ai to help setup systems to help you trade.

So I've been messing around on this platform that lets you build your own alerts by writing English prompts to it, which the AI turns into code. I don’t have much experience developing finance software. Every-time i tried coding up something, it would be way too expensive for the data sources I wanted o take far too long.  On top of this, watching charts all day was just not feasible for me. Figured I'd bite and build myself a scanner.

The alert was pretty simple: every 5 minutes during market hours, it scanned small/mid-cap stocks for unusual call option activity. Specifically, it looked for cases where call volume was spiking and open interest was building at the same strike, which can sometimes suggest aggressive accumulation.

Again nothing crazy, I’ve been trading these setups for years and so have others on this sub. The bigger unlock was having it run automatically every 5 minutes during trading days, so I don't have to scroll through 8,000 tickers myself.

Timeline

April 24: I got pinged on a name I'd literally never heard of; ESPR (Esperion Therapeutics). Small-cap pharma, ~$650M market cap, trading at $1.83. 

Immediately sussed out because biotech micro-caps are exactly the kind of thing that pumps and dumps you in a week.

To dive deeper, i further to tell me "Why did this alert fire? After looking over the alert data and pulling from a couple of other data sources (cheddar flow, fmp, tradingview).

It came back with:

  • 1300 contracts were traded in a single cluster of 9 trades
  • All betting on $2 strike calls with 05/15 exp
  • 100 percent of the volume on this ticker was bullish
  • Volume / oil ratio was 1.43 so this had been a long accumulation
  • No news or catalysts coming up which signaled that they knew something we didn’t

So at this point the contracts were 0.19 each so I said why not. I bought 30 of them totalling $570. A medium sized position. 

May 1st, 3:00 am ET: News breaks out that ESPR is getting acquired by ARCHIMED for $1.1 billion dollars at 3.38 dollars per share. For reference at the time of purchase the stock was at $1.15. 

May 1st, 9:30 am ET: ESPR gaps up $1.15 -> 3.38 , my options contract gap up to $1.10 form 0.19. I sell my entire position and come out with: Net +$2,730.

I know one win doesn't make a concrete, backtested strategy. I think for me though, its less about using ai to tell me what to trade but instead using it as a tool to help me setup an ecosystem that helps me stay profitable or become more profitable easier. . Before, my workflow was staring at CheddarFlow on my WFH days, hunting for these filters manually. Now it's all automated.

That said,  I still try to exercise as much caution as possible. So with these alerts, I'll get a notification and then message Xynth to deep-research why the alert fired, and it'll either confirm or deny the confluence before I pull the trigger. I never trade it on first notice. 

Excited to see what other plays I can catch in the future.

u/Erickooo0 — 8 days ago

https://preview.redd.it/32cefbshtzxg1.png?width=2048&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d61b1502715462a668e0a6302c2390e58f5cd43

https://preview.redd.it/a8fgfbshtzxg1.png?width=1400&format=png&auto=webp&s=9472bdef5607f2636793980c3af9cdc9897aeaee

TL;DR: I built an algo with Xynth that trades small cap stocks with clustered insider buyers, non-routine insider purchases, and large positional entries on common stock by company executives.

Disclaimer: I built this algo with AI and it's only been running for 4 months so my winrate, drawdown, and profit factor are probably skewed. I'm also iterating the strategy after every trade (it's visible in my PnL everytime i iterate) and still continuing to optimize it. Still figured it was worth posting as I have been fairly profitable, and wanted to provide this for anyone looking to do something similar with AI.

To preface, I've been algo trading with ai for the last year now. Its capabilities in coding are strong enough to create really any strategy but it’s up to you to iterate on them until they are profitable. If you want to build this strategy with Claude, you just need to plug in every data source you’d want through an API.

So the idea of my strategy is fairly simple: Multiple company executives significantly increasing their positions within a similar time frame is a signal that you should do the same. Now as easy as that sounds in principle, there are a lot more steps you need to take to ensure whether a signal really means anything.

After getting tired of prompting this every single time I decided to turn it into an automation or  yeah I guess a signal for a lack of better term.

STEP 1: Filtering for Open Market purchases on Common stock.

The first step filters SEC Form 4 filings for open market purchases of common stock. Open market purchases are basically just insiders buying their own company's stock with personal capital, flagged by transaction code P on the filing. We restrict to common stock because preferred shares, warrants, and convertibles carry more complex signals tied to hedging, and other stuff. I personally only trade off common stock because it just makes the most sense to me (and in my opinion its the easiest to read), but trade at your own volition.

Prompt 1: “Scan SEC form 4 filing for open-market stock purchases. Only look for transaction Code P. Once you have that filter for the common stock purchases”

https://preview.redd.it/mkmyg7shtzxg1.png?width=1099&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee392d3a30071243f4ab682f9ff3cb467b2ec4c6

STEP 2: Market cap.

This next step filters the following stocks for a market cap under 500m. Why? Basically large cap insider buys get picked up almost instantly by institutional algorithms and are priced within minutes. Small caps fly under the radar because big funds literally cannot build meaningful positions due to liquidity constraints on the stock. The smaller the company, the fewer eyes on the filing, and the more edge you’ll have.

Prompt 2: “Filter the following candidates for a market cap of under 500M”

https://preview.redd.it/mlche7shtzxg1.png?width=1196&format=png&auto=webp&s=e4a8295e7c0bb84f004d61df4defd9d9f4c63970

Step 3: Insider Cluster.

This step, by far, is the most important one. If anyone is looking to emulate anything about this strategy this is the only step that is absolutely crucial.

You're basically looking for a unique cluster (2+ minimum) of insiders within a similar time frame (10-14 days is optimal). These insiders have to be C-suite meaning they are, Chief executive officer (ceo), Chief technology officer (CTO), Chief Operating Officer (COO), etc. You then wanna check their form 4 history to determine whether the purchase is just a routine buy or not. If it is a routine buy, it means they are not buying off any special signal.

Note: The larger the cluster and closer the time frame, the stronger the signal. For example: 1 insider purchase on its own means nothing. But when you get multiple insiders buying within the same 14 day window, that's a much stronger signal that something bullish is coming.

Prompt 3: “Filter the following candidates for:

  • C-suite insider purchases
  • 2+ insiders within 14 day time frame
  • Non routine purchases from their form 4 history”

https://preview.redd.it/4avvj5shtzxg1.png?width=890&format=png&auto=webp&s=35c4e1b7bd1bba227ce00927b277fe192f7520ea

STEP 4: Material relativity of Purchase.

This step pulls total annual compensation (salary + bonus + stock awards) from the most recent proxy filing (DEF 14A). You want to do this to get a gauge on how much the insider is actually risking. Basically your asking yourself “What is the strength of the hunch the insider is actually going off of”. In general, the purchase from each insider should exceed 5-10% of there total annual compensation. A CEO making $2M/year buying $150K is meaningful at 7.5% of comp. A CEO making $25M/year buying $150K is weaker at 0.6%.

Also, purchases that increase the insider's total position by more than 10% are the strongest signal. The gold standard is an insider going all-in, concentrating both net worth and career risk into the same stock. Nobody with negative information is gonna do that.

Prompt 4: “Filter the following candidates for purchase from a company executive (CEO, CFO, etc) that exceeds 5-10% of the persons annual compensation (salary + bonus + stock awards), or purchases that increase the executives position by 10%+”

https://preview.redd.it/hzi5c8shtzxg1.jpg?width=906&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ad2c5297c79992ff4939265d26bf71725e5b3b65

STEP 5. Trade setup.

I use a 15% trailing stop. Once the stock moves up 15% from my entry, the stop activates and trails the price. From that point on, I exit the moment it drops 15% below its highest point since entry.

So if I buy at $100 and it runs to $150, my stop sits at $127.50 (15% below $150). If it keeps climbing to $200, the stop moves up to $170. I only get taken out when the price pulls back 15% from whatever the peak is.

I initially used a 10% trailing stop but all my exits happened right before the signal would actually kick in but I think 15% is the sweet spot between risk, and time frame. Again, this is one of those things you could try for yourself, and determine what actually works best for you.

***Prompt 5: “***Give me a trade entry for a trailing stop of 15%”

https://preview.redd.it/axti97shtzxg1.png?width=786&format=png&auto=webp&s=b0d3c442d13ab4ca132d27260373604fb258f889

AGAIN, a lot of this strategy came from and was developed with the use of AI backed by months of paper trading and backtesting. So if you feel that any step/criteria is unnecessary or needs improvement feel free.

Now this strategy really isn’t a complete algo, you're still gonna have to make it into a signal generator that pings you every time a stock passes all the filters. With xynth you can prompt this rather quickly but with claude you’d have to take the code and manually set it up yourself. I do heavily recommend you do set this up though (so your alerted every time your strategy hits) as, at most, you’ll be getting 1-2 viable candidates per week.

Prompt: “have this strategy constantly running in the background and alert my email every time there is a new candidate”

https://preview.redd.it/ziqwvbshtzxg1.png?width=2048&format=png&auto=webp&s=b5e7bb47fb81cb07661f77e6235364ecef7d2e82

I recently saw redditor u.trontonian post a strategy with a very similar thesis as mine. If you wanna see that post, it should be under his profile. (Sorry, mods won't let me link his post)

But apart from that, good luck. I hope this post was informational and helpful to any of you that needed it.

Cheers!

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u/Erickooo0 — 25 days ago

The gig: Need 30-50 people tonight to do a quick 2-minute task. Click a button on a website, take a screenshot to confirm, get paid $1 within 5 minutes via PayPal, Venmo, CashApp, or Wise.

Pay:

  • $1 base per task
  • Bonus pay possible for repeat reliable workers (more tasks coming over the next few days)

The task:

  • I send you a link in DMs
  • You click a button on the page
  • Screenshot your screen showing the button was clicked
  • Send screenshot back to me
  • Get paid within 5 min

That's it. Less than 2 minutes of actual work. Easy money for a quick task.

Requirements:

  • Have PayPal, Venmo, CashApp, or Wise
  • Available right now to do the task in the next 1-2 hours
  • Can take a screenshot and send it back

Why I'm posting here: Tested doing this through microworker platforms and the quality was bad — half the screenshots were fake. Want to pay real people who'll actually do the task properly. If you do a good job, more tasks coming this week and ongoing.

DM me with:

  1. Your country
  2. PayPal/Venmo/CashApp/Wise (which one you prefer)
  3. Confirm you're available right now

I'll respond within 15 min and get the task started.

Pool stays open as long as this post is live. Will not respond to comments — DM only.

Comment "$bid" if you want me to know you're interested (per sub rules).

reddit.com
u/Erickooo0 — 26 days ago