u/FightSignal

BSD used to absorb 9.9 strikes a min but now he lands 6.0+. Plus he added ground strikes, went from 0 to 2.0 per min on mat

His KOs went from 0 in his first 2 fights to 5 in his last 9

Pimblett went the other way tho. He used to be a striker who wrestled now he's a wrestler who strikes

His control time jumped from 31 secs to almost 4 min per fight. He went from absorbing 5.66 strikes a min to 3.1 because he's on top holding guys down instead

So Denis is gonna try to stand with you and finish you standing or on the ground

Pimblett's gonna try to take you down and control you for 4 min a round

If Pimblett gets him down he's probably safe. But Denis's pressure and knockout power might be too much to deal with over 15 min

Feel like Saint Denis's offense is just better right now

Kape went from 0% finishes to 50%. His striking output jumped from 3.5 to 5.0+ per min with 56% accuracy and his takedown defense is at 81%

Horiguchi improved his takedown defense from 38.5% to 61.2%. His distance striking went up 45% (1.82 to 2.64 per min)

Plus he added submissions. Went from 0 attempts in his first 5 UFC fights to a legitimate finisher on the ground

So Kape's gonna throw a ton of volume to finish. Horiguchi's gonna control range, stay off his back, and pick his shots

Kape throws way more (5.0+ vs 2.64) but Horiguchi's takedown defense is way better now and he's smart with angles. Plus if Kape shoots, Horiguchi might actually submit him.

Feel like Horiguchi's technique keeps him in it, but Kape's gonna land more

Yadong's striking doubled from under 2.0 to over 4.4 per min. His takedown defense went from 60% to 73%. Plus he can go 5 rounds now, his fights got 3+ mins longer on average.

Figueiredo also doubled his striking from 1.9 to 3.3 per min. But his knockdown rate nearly doubled too, almost 1.1 per fight now.

He stopped spamming submissions (went from 6.0 to 1.7 attempts per fight) and got smarter about his grappling.

So Yadong throws more volume (4.4 vs 3.3) and has better takedown defense. Figueiredo throws less but has way more knockout power.

Pretty straightforward matchup. Yadong's gonna try to out-work him with volume. Figueiredo's gonna look for the big shot.

Whoever's chin holds up probably wins. What’s your take?