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Help Me Understand Mark Andrews' Current ADP
Mark Andrews is currently sitting at TE16 on FantasyPros consensus ADP.
That doesn't make sense to me. Few things:
- Ravens just gave him a 3 year extension with strong guaranteed money. That front office is not dumb, and they certainly know more than me.
- Ravens just shipped off Isaiah Likely (main competition at receiving TE) and Charlie Kolar. They backfilled Kolar with another blocking TE Smythe who had just a handful of catches last year. That clears out the target competition for Mark Andrews at TE, unless you're worried about their draft picks.
- The draft picks - a 4th and 5th round TE. Both of these guys look like developmental TEs, with strong pass blocking grades but weaker receiving profiles. They do not profile as year 1 breakout demand targets type of guys.
- Health variable change - both Andrews and Lamar will probably be healthier this year.
- TD competition - just looking at that depth chart, who is catching TDs if not Mark Andrews? Why shouldn't he have another 10 with a healthy Lamar?
- The film - watching 2025 film for Mark Andrews I see a slower version of his All Pro self, but I think the decline has been exaggerated. I'm still seeing reps where he creates distance on an LB/Safety, and he is still excellent at finding space and creating on the scramble drill (the latter being more important if Lamar gets healthy).
So what am I missing here?
u/Finmeccanica — 1 day ago