u/GalvanizedParabola

Image 1 — The most interesting part of the TSU poll for the TX Senate race (to me)
Image 2 — The most interesting part of the TSU poll for the TX Senate race (to me)
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The most interesting part of the TSU poll for the TX Senate race (to me)

The part of this poll that I find most interesting is what happens to Republican voters in the Senate race. Obviously the vast majority (90/91%) are going to fall in line with whoever wins the primary, but this poll shows that some Cornyn supports would actually be winning to cross the aisle and vote for Talarico while Paxton voters wouldn't. I'd expect any Republicans that are "unsure" after their preferred candidate loses the primary will ultimately fall in line with the party.

Another interesting tidbit that may throw cold water on the Talarico camp is that there's still a large contingent of "unsure" Republican voters that aren't showing up in the top line results. If Paxton wins the primary Talarico may be able to pull a couple percent of those voters but most will be falling in line with the party and giving Paxton/Cornyn a bump.

u/GalvanizedParabola — 21 days ago