
Software-developer employment in the US has continued to increase this year (and has gone up markedly since ChatGPT became popular in 2022)
Note: The dashboard is best viewed on browsers other than Safari, as that one doesn't allow invalid occupation options to get hidden. I plan to update the page's code soon to address this issue.
Despite the popularity of chatbots for programming work, software-developer employment has continued to increase substantially in the past 4 years. This suggests to me that, while companies have tried to substitute LLMs for software developers here and there, this technology has largely failed to replace devs. Amodei's prediction (made back in May 2025) that AI would replace half of white-collar employment is not looking too likely so far.
I'm also wondering how long companies will decide to pay both high API rates for chatbots and high developer salaries. It wouldn't surprise me if many switch to locally-hosted, open-weight tools or (perhaps!) cut back on their AI usage altogether.
You can view the data within this dashboard, which contains employment data from the Current Population Survey through July 2026. The dashboard also lets you compare developer employment by age range, though I wouldn't read too much into fluctuations within those numbers given the likelihood of sampling error.
(And no, I didn't use AI for this project, which has been released under the MIT license. Once I get through my HTML and CSS book, I should be able to make it look a little nicer!)