Live account results from my AI-assisted trading model since March - up 41%
▲ 16 r/NextMoveStocks+1 crossposts

Live account results from my AI-assisted trading model since March - up 41%

https://preview.redd.it/e1w9twi943ih1.png?width=2585&format=png&auto=webp&s=5930ef6ed4e9c003dacc629c917abdc95951ecbb

Period Holdings
April GEV, LITE, LRCX, STX, WDC
May LITE, MU, SNDK, STX, WDC
June INTC, MU, SNDK, STX, WDC
July INTC, MU, SNDK, STX, WDC
August CRWD, CSCO, DELL, GOOGL, PANW

I’ve been live trading my own AI-assisted stock model since March and wanted to share an update. The live portfolio is up 41.3% from Mar 23 to Aug 7.

The live account has real fills, partial sizing that does not perfectly match the model weights, timing differences, and manual execution friction. I am just a person who logs in the day before then buys at 'market' price. Could it be optimized further.... yeah, probably, but it is really easy to get the decision at night after the last day of the month, then set the sell order for the morning, then buy and go about my day.

If anyone is interested, it is a momentum based model that only uses public data. I found that news and other sentiment did not add value. SEC filings are interesting, but I could not make them work for me. I believe there is value there though.

I am exploring if I can just fully port this into a raspberry pi and let it run on its own with minimal oversight.

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u/Homebody_quant — 14 days ago

I built a monthly decision making model - includes backtesting and stats

Hello - I am reposting this since the last one had incorrect stats, and I wanted to refresh this.

Always enjoyed the idea of AI and algo trading, and I wanted to share my results. This has been trading live since 1 April where its currently up +65%. It has only been 3 months which is too early to tell how things will go, esp since it currently holds AI / semi / memory stocks that could easily go up or down 15%+ before the end of the month.

It is primarily a momentum strategy that compares itself to SPY and cash. It has a predictor that determines whether or not the momentum strategy can outperform SPY and cash. If it can beat both, it selects up to 10 stocks and holds them for up to a month, and if it thinks that SPY is better, then it will choose SPY for the month. If both fail, it goes to cash. The longest we hold is 1 month before another decision is made.

This model has been in development for the past 5 months or so, and uses OHLCV data. I am still trying to find ways to improve it. It seems unlikely to see any more modest gains or drawdown improvements though.

Thanks!

Metric Value
Sample window 2007-08-31 to 2026-05-06
Number of periods 226 months
Total return 9011.9%
Total multiple 91.12x
CAGR 27.1%
Monthly alpha 1.38%
Mean monthly edge vs SPY 1.23%
Max drawdown -20.2%
Max drawdown date 2020-03-31
Beta vs SPY 0.85
Sharpe ratio 1.18
Sortino ratio 2.26
Alpha t-stat 3.96
Alpha p-value 0.0001
Edge t-stat vs SPY 3.59
Edge p-value 0.0004
Information ratio vs SPY 0.83
Win rate vs SPY 46.0%
Best period 2026: 110.0%
Worst period 2011: -7.4%
u/Homebody_quant — 1 month ago

I built a monthly decision making model - includes backtesting and stats

Hello! Always enjoyed the idea of AI and algo trading, and I wanted to share my results. This has been trading live since 1 April where its currently up +65%. It has only been 3 months which is too early to tell how things will go, esp since it currently holds AI / semi / memory stocks that could easily go up or down 15%+ before the end of the month.

It is primarily a momentum strategy that compares itself to SPY and cash. It has a predictor that determines whether or not the momentum strategy can outperform SPY and cash. If it can beat both, it selects up to 10 stocks and holds them for up to a month, and if it thinks that SPY is better, then it will choose SPY for the month. If both fail, it goes to cash. The longest we hold is 1 month before another decision is made.

This model has been in development for the past 5 months or so, and uses OHLCV data. I am still trying to find ways to improve it. It seems unlikely to see any more modest gains or drawdown improvements though.

Thanks!

u/Homebody_quant — 2 months ago

Singapore Finance Meetups?

Not sure if this is the right place, but looking to meet up and discuss finance, and strategies with others.

I checked meetup.com but only found 1 group. Are there any others that I have missed?

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u/Homebody_quant — 2 months ago