u/Impossible_Bonus2008

I-140 final stage waits look like they've dropped from ~58 days in February to ~21 days last week. Can anyone confirm this matches reality?
▲ 4 r/EB2_NIW+1 crossposts

I-140 final stage waits look like they've dropped from ~58 days in February to ~21 days last week. Can anyone confirm this matches reality?

https://preview.redd.it/6jhqom0cgp1h1.png?width=1474&format=png&auto=webp&s=c87a4e9426c1982a74244f6f63e9bf2dac335b8c

Been tracking I-140 approval data from public receipts going back about 12 weeks. The trend has been steadily improving and last week looked unusually fast, so I wanted a reality check from people in the pipeline.

In mid February the weekly median sat around 58 days. Last week it came in around 21 days. That's been a pretty consistent downward drift over two months, not a single week blip.

The slow end has come down too, not just the easy cases. Roughly speaking, the top quarter of waits has gone from around 6 months back in February to closer to 3 months last week. So it's not just the fast cases clearing faster while the hard ones pile up.

One thing that surprised me: cases with an RFE response on record cleared almost as fast as cases without one last week. Usually the RFE pipeline lags noticeably. Last week it was basically a tie.

Caveats: last week's sample of approvals was on the lighter side so the 21 day figure could revise upward as more get logged. And new receipts are still pouring in (the pending pile grew about 6% in one week), so throughput is up but so is intake.

Anyone with a recent I-140 receipt actually seeing approval movement inside 3 weeks of their last status update? EB1, EB2, NIW, whichever. Curious if the data matches what folks are experiencing on the ground.

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u/Impossible_Bonus2008 — 5 days ago

I-130 monthly approvals fell from ~19,600 in May 2025 to ~2,860 in December 2025. Anyone with a recent receipt actually seeing movement?

https://preview.redd.it/g1atxaiwfp1h1.png?width=1522&format=png&auto=webp&s=65fa5f3d84d5bebea5f543e26e729a60862da30b

Been pulling monthly I-130 approval counts from public receipt status data going back about a year. The shape of it is unsettling enough that I wanted to ask if it matches what people are actually seeing.

Back in May 2025, roughly 19,600 I-130s were getting approved per month. By December 2025 that monthly count was down around 2,860. So roughly an 85% drop in monthly throughput across seven months, and it didn't recover in early 2026 either.

The piece that worries me: USCIS hasn't announced any policy change big enough to explain a slide of that size. The published processing time bands haven't moved nearly as much as the actual approval volume has. And the active pending pile I can track grew by about 7% in a single week recently, so receipts are still coming in normally, they're just not coming out the other end.

Most of these (~99% last week) are electronically filed, so this isn't a "they shifted everything to a paper center" story either.

Anyone with an I-130 receipted in late 2025 actually seeing movement on their case? CR-1, IR-1, F2A, whatever category. Trying to figure out if approvals just stopped, or if approvals are happening and people aren't updating their statuses, or if it's something else entirely.

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u/Impossible_Bonus2008 — 5 days ago
▲ 30 r/DACA

I-821D renewal wait times are up 57 days since February. If the trend holds, median lands near 177 days by late May

Pulling 12 weeks of public I-821D receipt data, the median final-stage wait has gone from about 100 days (mid February) to 157 days this past week. That's a 57 day swing in 12 weeks, with an 8 week slope showing no sign of leveling.

The piece that worries me: USCIS's stated processing window is 120 to 150 days. The trend has now pushed the median above that. People filing renewals on the "file 5 months out" guidance are inside the buffer, but barely.

Anyone else seeing their renewal RFE / approval timing slipping recently? Curious if the trend matches what people on the ground are experiencing.

https://preview.redd.it/gb0hsobxmi1h1.png?width=1656&format=png&auto=webp&s=477340dcbdf92f8ead35a9f379b9c04d29ddc53f

reddit.com
u/Impossible_Bonus2008 — 6 days ago