Well that’s a first for me! 6th of the month and a full set already… with no duplicates!
I did think the probability of that was going to be something really impressive but it turns out it’s only about 1:40, but I guess I should also factor in all the lucky spins I’ve had to get me the full set so soon.
So the Earth Day Challenge age is officially over. Niantic set goals of 1, 2 and 3 billion for the rewards - we hit 3bn within the first day of the challenge and finished at over 20bn.
How come Niantic set the goals so low? They've got plenty of data on how much all their users are regularly walking and planting every day, so even allowing for a bit of an increase for the challenge (which I don't think would have made a massive difference, maybe 10%?), they must have realised that 3bn was barely going to represent a challenge to the community.
Regular challenge targets are set a lot more appropriately, and IIRC when we've had community-wide challenges in the past they've always been a lot more... well... challenging to complete. So what happened this time round?