Calgary Shaw by-election is critical for Nenshi to survive as leader of the NDP
Nenshi won the NDP leadership primarily on the promise he could win in Calgary.
Since then, the NDP poll numbers have tanked, and he’s barely made a ripple on the provincial scene. He’s been invisible, and Smith continues to do as she pleases with high levels of support:
In 2023, Notley’s candidate in Shaw got 44%. It’s hard to imagine the NDP winning the province without winning Shaw.
If Nenshi can’t win here, I have to think there’s little justification for him to remain as leader.