Chances of matching ortho?
I'm an M4 planning on applying ortho this cycle and feeling a little unconfident at this point given recent Step 2 score and clerkship grades. Wanted to ask here what people's thoughts are on my chances of matching and if I should dual apply.
M4 at a mid-high tier US MD medical school
Preclinical: P/F - Passed all courses
Step 1 - Pass
Clerkships: H/HP/LP/P/F grading: Honors in IM, Psychiatry, Neuro; High Pass in Surgery, OB/GYN, Peds
Step 2 - 248
Research - Currently ~20 total pubs, abstracts, posters, etc. with 6 fully published manuscripts. Have a few things in progress so expecting ~8-9 fully published manuscripts with ~25 research items by the time I apply
Sub-Is - Currently have an ortho sub-I at my home institution + 2 aways, secured. Hoping to secure 1-2 more aways. Heard these are the most important so I'm preparing to grind my ass off on these.
Letters - Have one decently close research mentor who will likely write me a good letter, hoping to get rest of my letters from home sub-I plus first away. Home program seems solid and sounds like students get good letters from here but I don't really know many people at a close, personal level yet.
ORM male if that matters.
Honest thoughts?