u/MrSimpsonES

NBIS Bullish revelations from Nvidia’s earnings

$NBIS Nvidia’s Q1 FY2027 earnings are strongly bullish for Nebius bc they explicitly validate and accelerate the AI-native cloud thesis that Nebius embodies.

In the earnings call today, Stacy Rasgon (Bernstein) asked where “AI native clouds” sit and whether they grow faster.

Jensen Huang placed “AI native clouds” firmly in Nvidia’s faster-growing ACIE segment (AI Cloud, Industrial, Enterprise) alongside sovereign AI and enterprise workloads. He stated that while both hyperscale and ACIE categories will grow “incredibly fast,” he expects the second category to grow faster over time as it addresses a much larger economic opportunity! This was perhaps the most directly bullish statement pertaining to Nebius business model and growth trajectory

AI natives like Nebius were highlighted as ideal Nvidia customers because they require fully integrated, highly rentable architectures with rapid time-to-first-token and broad model support—precisely the strengths of Nvidia’s platform. This segmentation directly benefits Nebius, which operates as a pure-play AI-native cloud built from the ground up for high-performance compute rental rather than a retrofitted general cloud.

The broader earnings reinforce the tailwind. The ACIE segment grew 31% sequentially (versus 12% for hyperscale), with AI cloud revenue inside it more than tripling year-over-year.

Agentic AI demand was described as having “gone parabolic” because tokens are now profitable, aligning perfectly with Nebius’ deep partnership with Nvidia to build a best-in-class inference and agentic AI stack and Nebius acquisitions in inference/agentic (Eigen Ai, Tavily) will be the added rocket fuel and margin boosters for their in-house designed platform Token Factory.

Combined with Nvidia’s robust $91 billion Q2 revenue guidance, sustained ~75% gross margins, pricing power in cloud rentals, and ecosystem expansion (partner data centers >10 MW nearly doubling), the AI boom is only accelerating and the results confirm that demand for exactly the type of scalable, high-performance AI cloud capacity Nebius is building remains exceptionally strong and is broadening beyond traditional hyperscalers.

Credit: https://x.com/MB_Hogan/status/2057316121636671842

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u/MrSimpsonES — 16 hours ago

NBIS Token Factory will be a Goldmine. Inference +700% Growth YoY

From: Dylan (Nebius Token Factory)

Semianalysis published a table last night that does more for the demand side narrative than 6 months of analyst commentary lol.

Token cost vs human labor cost on 9 real internal workflows. and EVERY SINGLE ONE had ROI over 10x (most landed between 60 and 90x)

The workflow that stuck was an initiation note on $HPE, covering roadmap, balance sheet, and capex sustainability. The cost in tokens was 21,33$. The cost in analyst time, at 20 hours and 50 dollars an hour, was 2k dollars (so ROI of 93x)

You can argue about how generalizable a single workflow is but it's hard to argue with the moment the analyst sees the receipt. The workflow does not go back. The senior analyst will not return to a process that costs 90 times more, and the junior will not be allowed to.

The reason this is not cyclical demand is the reason the cotton gin did not roll back. Once the labor cost of a task drops by 90 plus percent, the unit of work changes.

The old workflow is not slow, its gone.
The buyers of intelligence at every desk in finance, law, consulting, and biotech are about to spend the next 2 years rediscovering that they have been paying 100x more than the new floor for the same answer.

The other line in the SemiAnalysis post that stuck out was that banks are not using this yet. Most enterprises are not. The token bill of the next 24 months is going to be funded by people who saw a 21 dollar receipt and could not unsee it.

The demand curve does not bend until the supply curve does

https://preview.redd.it/x2c92ze20a2h1.png?width=1847&format=png&auto=webp&s=1399e12bae67086312dfdcbcf677ab16d7fdfbef

My opinion: $NBIS This analysis changes everything. The moment decision makers understand this logic the paradigm shift happens at fast speed. Early adopters are already experiencing it but everyone sooner or later will catch up. AI has changed the whole game. We are still early.

Also yesterday Sundar Pichai (Google) made the inference case clear for all. Every year inference is growing at +700% YoY. This is wild. Token Factory will be a goldmine.

https://preview.redd.it/h5nxembf0a2h1.png?width=1702&format=png&auto=webp&s=8fd15d766653c80f368a835a3668c2094b6348b3

Credits: https://toptechstocksus.substack.com/

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u/MrSimpsonES — 1 day ago

NBIS The AI Native Hyperscaler

$NBIS 𝐀𝐧 𝐀𝐈-𝐍𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐫 𝐁𝐮𝐢𝐥𝐭 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐄𝐫𝐚

The strategic insight is that the AI cycle is moving from training (a one-time, capex event for a handful of frontier labs) to inference (a continuous, scaling opex that grows with every user, agent, and workflow). Nebius is purposefully building the asset base most leveraged to that transition.

𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐮𝐭𝐞 𝐃𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐝: 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝟓-𝐘𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐏𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞
Goldman Sachs projects agentic AI driving token consumption to 120 quadrillion per month by 2030,
a 24x increase with enterprise agents lifting consumption 55x by 2040, and consumer agents driving 12x by 2030.

JPMorgan estimates China's inference token consumption alone will grow roughly 370-fold between 2025 and 2030.

McKinsey forecasts inference workloads growing at a 35% CAGR over the next five years to more than 90 GW by 2030, surpassing training to become the dominant workload, over half of all AI compute and 30–40% of total data center demand.

Deloitte estimates compute demand rising four to five times per year out to 2030, faster than Moore's-Law efficiency gains can offset.

McKinsey's base-case capex scenario puts cumulative AI-related data center investment at $5.2 trillion through 2030, with global data center demand nearly tripling by 2030 and ~70% of that coming from AI workloads.

The future looks very bright for $NBIS shareholders as inference will take over & Token Factory will become a driver for growth as Tokenomics explode.

Credit: https://toptechstocksus.substack.com

u/MrSimpsonES — 3 days ago

Is NBIS the Fastest Scaling Public Tech company in history by revenue Growth rate?

NBIS reached ATH yesterday. It was the day of reckoning in the market.

The best call so far since we started this journey.

Nebius could potentially be the fastest-scaling public tech company in history by revenue growth rate.

Full analysis on Q1 ER review

https://toptechstocksus.substack.com/

u/MrSimpsonES — 7 days ago

$NBIS stock is up 641% in 12 months. New ATH $180.65 in Premarket !!

https://preview.redd.it/t5w697veihzg1.png?width=1206&format=png&auto=webp&s=1f4105bab509a6407ed5808c08592117753a7439

From a company that most institutional investors couldn't touch 18 months ago due to the Russia-Yandex stigma. That stigma is gone. They are building the 4th Hyperscaler.

What's left is a $44.8B AI infrastructure business growing at 500%+ per year with $46B in contracted backlog + new contracts coming up.

Q1 ER in 8 days... I expect at least two PRs of importance. Execution continues to be top. Expecting ATH to continue momentum, $200 is within reach.

If you add on top $7.6T for the 2026-2031 AI Infra Capex build up we are golden.

https://preview.redd.it/5afuhniasgzg1.png?width=1206&format=png&auto=webp&s=1d644e4754bfa0fb2b92746e37eb83bf3c4af3a9

Credit: https://x.com/TopTechStocksUS

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u/MrSimpsonES — 16 days ago

ClickHouse ultra fast growth is key for next funding round.
Speed, strategic partnerships & 25% Nebius stake potentially valued at tens of Billions in a few years.

Currently NBIS stake valued at $3.75B.

Databricks: $5.4B ARR | >65% growth |
$134B valuation | 12 yrs
ClickHouse: ~$160M ARR | >250% growth |
$15B valuation | 4 yrs

ClickHouse is laying the pipes for what comes next.

https://preview.redd.it/sd134thigzyg1.jpg?width=2984&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d37539537cd50f7358a87c2f33f2634a3cb56799

Credits: https://toptechstocksus.substack.com/

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u/MrSimpsonES — 18 days ago

NBIS has been on an absolute tear lately and the catalysts keep stacking. Here's your recap of the last few weeks — and why I'm still ultra bullish on Nebius.

Just yesterday major news in USA — Nebius announced a 643M acquisition of Eigen AI to supercharge their managed inference platform (Nebius Token Factory). New R&D hub in SF Bay Area. They're not just building data centers — they're building the full AI stack.

By my calculations & the optimization of inferencing

NBIS could recover the cost of acquisition in less than one year & Nebius in parallel has gained a world class talent team to lead their AI Research Lab in USA . A checkmate move in the AI Chess table.

Its the second acquisition after they bought Tavily for their real time Agentic AI search capabilities in a segment TAM will grow from ($7B to +$200B) by 2030

Last quarter Meta signed a ($27B) AI infrastructure deal with Nebius — ($12B) dedicated capacity + up to ($15B) additional compute over 5 years. One of the first large-scale deployments of Nvidia's Vera Rubin chips. Delivery starts early 2027. This is not a small contract. This is hyperscaler-level trust.

NVDA invested ($2B) directly into Nebius. Not a supplier deal — an equity stake. Nvidia is betting on Nebius as a core partner to scale full-stack AI cloud infrastructure to 5+ GW of capacity by 2030.

When Jensen puts 2B behind you, you pay attention.

Combined backlog now approaching ($50B) — anchored by Meta ($27B) and Microsoft ($19.4B). Two of the biggest tech companies on Earth are locking in Nebius for years of AI compute.

That's not speculation. That's contracted revenue + ClickHouse & Avride as strategic stakes worth multi billions in hyper growth mode. Toloka as gravy.

2025 revenue: ($530M)
2026 guidance: $3–3.4B
That's roughly 6x YoY growth.
Funded by a ($4.3B) convertible debt raise to back a $16–20B capex plan.

Nebius is building at scale and the money is already in the door.

Q1 2026 earnings drop May 13.
Q1 Guidance: ($374M to 401M)

Price Targets (12 months)
Arete Research PT $291
Northland Securities PT $232
Goldman Sachs upgraded from $160 to $205
BofA just raised PT to $175.

Stock hit ATH of $168.71 in April and is already up 71% YTD. New ATH are coming soon.

With this backlog, these partners, and this growth rate... I think we're still early. Generational wealth opportunity here folks. Don´t overthink it.

Peter Lynch's philosophy on concentration was pretty straightforward — he believed that if you've done your homework and truly understand a company, spreading yourself too thin actually increases risk rather than reducing it.

This is how I intend to reach 8 figures with this stock in 5 years, maybe sooner depending the speed of execution that so far is mind blowing. I know at least 3 people on FinX that are looking to achieve 9 figures !!

If you are on the sidelines my opinion is we have a multi bagger evolving & Nebius will become the leading AI Infra player with full stack platform capability.

Whats your strategy & which one will be your next multibagger?

Disclosure: 11K shares Long

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u/MrSimpsonES — 19 days ago