u/Nearby_Compote1714

▲ 19 r/redwire

Everyone's diluting, but why?

Almost every space and drone stock has been raising money this year. In the short term, it does sound horrible, but every company has its reasons. I believe RDW's ATM is about gearing up to accelerate production and meet the demand in the space and drone markets. Since the start of the year, the company has repeatedly said it has developed incredible technology across many niches, and that now it's time to scale it: the CEO told CNBC on June 2 that "now is the time to be scaling and gaining market share," and on the Q1 earnings call management said the ATM lets them "opportunistically fund emerging technologies" and put money into "high gross margin, high growth rate opportunities" across six named programs.

Overall, the hype that SpaceX allowed every company to raise money. What we really should be asking is, who is going to use it purposefully:

Company Amount Date (2026)
Rocket Lab $3.0B May 20
AST SpaceMobile $1.075B Feb 17
Ondas $1.0B Jan 12
Karman $854M Late May
Redwire $500M Jun 9
Intuitive Machines $500M Jun 3
Red Cat ~$225M May
Firefly ~$192M Late May
Unusual Machines $150M Mar 23
Sidus Space $100M Jun 1
Total ~$8B
u/Nearby_Compote1714 — 26 days ago
▲ 36 r/redwire

Redwire trades at 13.8x sales, while peers trade at 34-139x. We are beyond undervalued

https://preview.redd.it/qmy6pfbh134h1.png?width=1892&format=png&auto=webp&s=57fd02c3e7e0dcf2aacea1980be929684481fdb2

RDW trades at 13.8x sales, and less since the market just opened. Put it on the same multiple as its peers, and you get these fair values of RDW:

  • Drone Companies (~34x): ~$64
  • Both Sectors (~95x): ~$178
  • Space Companies (~139x): ~$259

We were not on the hype train with the rest because AE sold 60% of their shares whenever the stock was about to pop off (Now they are OUT). Everything aligns now, from the opportunities that exist in drones and space, for RDW to reach $50, $100, or even its average space sector value of $259 in the next few months.

reddit.com
u/Nearby_Compote1714 — 1 month ago