u/No-Lab-7364

I know this seems crazy. It really isn't. It's understanding debt and derivatives.

I want to go back to 1933, Silver overnight was set to a GSR of 75 to 1. We know that the actual mining of Silver to be between 7-8 to 1 with Gold.

Based on mining, the GSR should be 7.5 to 1.... going to 75 is a full decimal move.

This is how the debt system creates derivative layers as well. Think about the fractional banking system. When it was first rolled out in the 1780s, the bank would issue debt and hold 10% of that in real money, Silver and Gold.

This becomes a credit derivative. It's important to understand everything now is a derivative of Gold.

In 1971, with the petro dollar, this became another derivative. By ensuring oil was traded in dollars, it secured dollar demand, and the demand allowed another exponential layer of debt to be issued.

Then came the massive debt expansions in the 2000s with the digital age developing, bitcoin was offered as a solution for securing debt based on energy, same as the petro dollar but now an evolved version, and the AI world became another derivative layer.

And what does AI need..... Silver. I've watched as those developing AI applications have to physically deliver the Silver as they get built and expanded.

When the whole system breaks, and it is breaking right now, in my opinion, with the Yen carry trade, Silver doesn't just go up it moves decimals. Think of each debt derivative layer collapsing as a 0 added to the price of Silver.

As Silver corrects to Gold, it will go from 65 to 650. Even taking Gold at 4500/15 you get 300, at 7.5 to 1, you're in the 600s.

As the oil markets trade outside of the dollar, the petro dollar and its demand for it collapse

Finally, the AI bubble popping, all of this sends the derived value it had back to what it first was built on in the first place.

Each layer of the derivative monetary system essentially adding a decimal to Silver as it fails because it all derived its value from Gold.

Silver goes from 65 to 650... from 650 to 6500.... 6500 to bitcoin 65,000.

I stand by this as wild as it seems, and right now, I believe we are on the verge of 650 dollar silver by year end.

I'm seeing the same patterns at 65 as I was seeing when Silver went on its run from the 30s to breaking 50 and shooting up to 120. But now, when it breaks up again, it looks like it will run from 65 all the way up to 650.

I could be wrong. This isn't financial advice. I'm just a guy on the internet, but I don't think I am. Also don't buy paper Silver. I know we still think in terms of dollars but if you think you will be able to trade dollars for Silver during this run up you will find out there's not much silver to buy. This is because Supply chains that were functioning on the debt derivatives collapse with it too.

You may order silver and it takes months to get or orders get canceled or shipping it physically becomes impossible. You need to own real Gold real Silver.

Despite China and much of the world demanding physical delivery, and despite supply chains being under attack, the US will continue its strategy to short both oil and metals as it promises debt stability with dollars.

Warsh will likely hold rates steady this week. The US will attempt to act as if everything is under control up until the last possible second, while strategic reserves across the board are being dwindled to critical levels.

I can't help but think about the Titanic and remark on the fact that even as it was sinking, people carried on as normal. Waiters continued with the orders, live music played as people danced, and life held to the illusions that all would be well and a solution would appear. After all, we are civilized people.

Then, the cold reality set in as the freezing water touched the top deck and the ship began to lift out of the water. Illusions could no longer hold sway over the freezing water as panic spread. Just moments before they were eating drinking laughing but now people hung to the boat as it was split in half, and as it lifted straight up, preparing for the final plunge, it pulled more than 1500 to their death beneath the freezing North Altanic waters. The dead out numbering the survivors 2 to 1.

We are sinking, the US economy is taking on water. World War is breaking out. Start using whatever time you have with the utmost seriousness.

There was part of me that really thought the US might work with China instead of doubling down on war. I was wrong. The US will go to war with the entire world over its debt rather than letting Gold be revalued. And that tells me it's far worse than I thought.

It's Monday, if you've been struggling with getting to the gym or a healthy diet or whatever goals and self improvement you've been procrastinating, don't. Don't waste time pretending everything is going to be ok. This is a warning, this ship will sink. Don't panic, just move with intent deliberate thought. I wish I had a timeline, will it be 6 months or a year, my gut is telling me by winter this year the writing will be on the wall. And then who knows maybe we can still tread water for a time. Pray 🙏

That's all.

Why is it different this time. One word war.

Let's start with oil. People buy and sell contracts 100 times over. Years' worth of supply in a day. As long as oil is flowing, people have been free to speculate. As long as the physical needs were met. And this is exactly a debt derivative. It's a promise deriving value from based on what it is known from experience.

For example, if you sold 10 cars a month and your commission earned was such and such. If you could guarantee that stable income the more stable it is the more you can guarantee a future, so you borrow from it.

You tell someone you will sell 30 cars by a date. You negotiate an amount to borrow against that reality. The more stable that reality is the safer it is. And maybe like the US with the petro dollar you've done this with stability for 50+ years. It's been so stable that you've now sold 50 years of future cars at the rate of 10 cars a month. Imagine a car salesman borrowing against 6000 future car sales.

We can take this a more dangerous step forward. What if the cars weren't always 10 per month. What if you've had sporadic months of 40 cars. And what if you decide to portray that as the average for the next 50yrs. Outright lie and keep lying to the point of selling futures that can't possibly exist and you know it. And you're just going to steal your way to billions, maybe even to be a trillionaire.. first ever. And you promise world's. Gold and Rare Earth's from planets you promise will be discovered. Asteroid farming, why not a Universe.

The US has sold oil futures so many times over injected itself with 100s of years of promises and accessed all that money in debt now,, Trillions on Trillions... and it's at war over it. Same thing with Silver. It's warring for its own debt and it's losing its future supplies every second the straight of Hormuz is closed down. And now another straight is closed. And China is live firing on another critical supply route with exercises around Taiwan. And the Russian Ukraine War has disrupted Trillions of supply access to Europe.

World War 3 is why it's different. This is real now. China moving out of paper gold exchange, that's real.

That's why it's different this time.

Just a reminder as the volatility starts up to buy physical. I know I'm crazy if you read through my post history a little, but I'm right to a degree. A time is coming when the market finally breaks, people will rush into Gold and Silver and it won't be there.

People will watch as the price goes up up up and they will awake to the reality that the dollar is failing, they will scramble all at once looking for Gold or Silver anywhere they can, to save what little buying power they can, and it won't be there.

When you realize there's only 3500 tonnes of Gold mined per year and there's 300 million people in the US, theres not even 1/2 an ounce per person available each year.

And that Gold is being mined..., is China and Russia mostly. Same situation with Silver as the mines south of the US are being caught in political instability and to the north in Canada as well.

The supply chains will break at some point, it's not if... it's when. And when they break and people are sitting with their digital dollars, and they are watching the buying power become worthless, there won't be an exit. Just FYI.

If you're in the paper Silver game buying and selling for dollar wealth right now you're already on thin ice. There's far more paper being traded than the real thing. As people realize they need to convert to real Gold real Silver, and they will, it will already be too late.

This time will be different. Straights being shut down over oil are already flashing this warning..

I know I'm just this tinfoil hat guy, or rather the silver foil hat guy as my family calls me, but this is the real deal. As they say FAFO if you're holding paper Silver.

Be safe Apes, don't FOMO,, convert within your budget. If you have even 20 physical ounces during this collapse it will still be life preserving and saving. The great depression will be a mild weekend in comparison.

Just a reminder to stay out of the casino, buy physical instead. I have no doubt Silver will start to swing again, and as it does, many will see opportunities to make dollars. But beware, this time may be different.

There are far more paper claims on Silver than actual physical silver, and as such, these claims will once again go through a sell off as Silver becomes scarce. This is due to the fact as people wake up to the fact paper claims can't actually be redeemed for physical Silver, it's better to sell those claims than hold a debt that can't be paid.

Silver hit over 120 this last year, and afterward, a sharp sell off that touched the 50s. Many may have wished they had sold near the top and bought back into silver after this sell off, potentially doubling their stack.

I expect a similar pattern to be seen in the next bull run, I also think this time instead of breaking 100, it's possible to break 1k. I know this seems high, but I don't think it is. I also think the sell off after could collapse the price right back violently as 100s of contracts are all claiming the same Silver.

The temptation will be there to sell Silver at the top again and buying it all back later at a fraction of the price, except for the real possibility that even though Silver price is crashing or has crashed, there's actually no physical Silver to buy afterwards.

There should be caution when buying etf Silver. It's great being able to sell instantly and accumulate dollars on Silver trade digitally, but Silver swinging violently should be a wake up call that the dollar system is reaching more and more instability. As such, there will be a time no matter how many dollars people hold, Gold and Silver won't be able to be purchased for them, regardless of a crash in price on a screen. Do yourself a favor, buy and hold physical Silver this bull run.

Silvers is sitting at 60.23 as I write this, Bitcoin is 60173 and change. Silvers sitting slightly above if you simply move decimals. Whether or not that's indicating anything, idk, but I believe decimals hold a clue.

The ability to speculate on price begins to be questioned as dollar debt itself starts to be questioned. Buying and selling digital items with no change of ownership and trillions of dollars of added debt chasing these digital or paper contracts through various exchanges begs the question... is it honest? After all, people really are just after dollars. When ownership is hardly needed and people would rather settle trades in cash, the paper market is free to speculate. But...

Is ownership attainable at the rate at which the economy can sustainably operate, or is the paper or digital promise being surpressed by too much money in the system itself? Is it counterfeit?

I believe this is what crypto ultimately is, a tool specifically, a derivative, of the dollar/debt that acts as another level of debt. Because it's block chain technology, it's secured by energy itself as more is needed each time to verify itself back so it can't be counterfeited... that's great, but what if the debt itself being restabilized through it is already counterfeited?

What if the dollar itself has already hyper inflated? What if we value everything in gold and find out? This is the question China is asking on July 24th as it establishes real ownership when trading. Not the promise of it.

I'm betting Gold might be a million dollars an oz.. and Silver might actually be the price of Bitcoin today. I dont think this instantly happens, I think as gold is physically exchanged, we will see a correction of price. I'm thinking it will be decimal moves. Silver to 600, possibly 6k, possibly 60k. I think the debt might be worse than anyone is told. Just my 2 cents. Not financial advice.

I love Gold backs, yeah there's a premium. But that's with everything the more it's fractionalized. Gold is 4500 an ounce, most people can't afford even 1/10 tenth of an ounce with how tight budgets are for families each month. But the ability to buy and own Gold for less than 10$ is so amazing for the average American.

Gold backs make Gold Ownership Attainable for even a homeless person, literally.

I first bought Gold backs for a little over 3$ a piece, and i would spend them slowly with friends. Those same Goldbacks have almost 3x in price today. This is the real value of the Gold backs, as people can begin exchanging real Gold and Silver as money, it reverses the loss of buying power from trading in debt notes. My friends can somewhat see that now but they still are trapped by debt as a money.

But here in really lies my question, how come Gold people hate Gold backs? I can't help but think that most people who own Gold are elitist and want to keep the population poor still. At least the Silver sub still talls about sound money, a Gold back is a form of sound money, but I don't think Gold stackers really actually believe or want sound money as a whole... what do you guys think??

I can't wait. Just know, when the debt system, the bond market, and the crypto debt transfer falls on its face And Gold... Not Debt becomes the real "Stable Coins."

Silver goes from 70 to 700/7000/70000... it actually is Bitcoin.