r/Wallstreetsilver

β–² 260 r/Wallstreetsilver+5 crossposts

"SpaceX looks awful as an investment" Aswath Damodaran warns that SpaceX is an terrible investment at its $1.8 trillion IPO price, exposing a $500 billion premium built on hype rather than actual unit economics.

The fake space race is creating a situation where thousands of pounds of critical minerals are being turned into e-waste.

u/DumbMoneyMedia β€” 9 hours ago
β–² 37 r/Wallstreetsilver+5 crossposts

France tries to lock the UK out of EU defense funding but loses billions when its own rules backfire, sparking warnings that the dispute threatens Europe's grip on critical minerals.

Macron tried to ice out the UK from European Union military funds to boost French contractors. Instead, the move backfired completely. It cost Paris billions in lost contracts and immediately exposed how fragile the European defense supply chain really is without cross border cooperation.

The core issue goes much deeper than just lost money. Europe is scrambling to secure the critical minerals required to build modern fighter jets, drones, and missile systems. By alienating the UK, France isolated itself from key supply networks that process and distribute these exact materials. This political stunt revealed that building a unified defense network is impossible while actively locking out your allies.

To understand why this matters, look at how defense supply chains are shifting globally to avoid these exact bottlenecks. North America is heavily pivoting toward secure domestic sources for the materials required for national security. For example, Americas Gold and Silver ($USAS) operates the Galena Complex in Idaho, which stands as the nation's largest active antimony mine, securing a domestic supply of a critical mineral heavily utilized in military applications like munitions and night vision equipment. Establishing reliable domestic production prevents the exact type of supply chain fracturing currently seen in Europe.

Here is exactly what the current fallout in Europe looks like:

  • Billions in lost revenue: The initial lockout attempt immediately backfired on French defense firms that relied on UK joint ventures and shared resources.
  • Supply chain gridlock: Materials required for aerospace manufacturing are now delayed by bureaucratic red tape and retaliatory rules.
  • Geopolitical weakness: Adversaries are watching allied nations fight over funding rather than building a cohesive and unified defense strategy.

When politicians prioritize local optics over actual security, the whole system breaks down. We are watching a live demonstration of why secure and integrated supply networks are non negotiable for modern defense. If Europe wants to keep up, they need to stop the infighting and secure their material pipelines before the damage becomes permanent.

u/Then_Marionberry_259 β€” 10 hours ago
β–² 31 r/Wallstreetsilver+5 crossposts

The Pentagon guts its independent weapon testing office, sparking warnings that fatal flaws in advanced defense systems heavily reliant on critical minerals will go undetected before reaching troops.

The Department of Defense just quietly gutted its own independent weapons testing office, and the timing could not be worse. Congress originally set up the Director of Operational Test and Evaluation to act as a strict, unbiased check on new military hardware to ensure it actually works in combat. Now, deep staffing cuts mean less qualified oversight for highly complex weapons systems right as they are being pushed to the front lines. This is a massive red flag for troop safety and overall defense readiness.

Modern defense systems are highly complex networks of electronics, sensors, and guidance systems that require massive amounts of secure raw materials to function correctly. If you remove the testing experts who understand how these intricate systems fail under pressure, you are effectively flying blind. The hardware relies entirely on a steady, secure pipeline of critical minerals and base metals. Without proper stress testing, any weakness in those material components could cause a catastrophic failure in the field.

This lack of oversight highlights exactly why securing the actual physical building blocks of our defense network is an urgent priority. The military requires reliable domestic sources for the materials going into these untested systems to guarantee base level component quality. As a factual example of domestic sourcing operations within this broader supply chain, Gunnison Copper (OTC: GCUMF) operates an in situ recovery copper project in Arizona, focusing on the domestic extraction of a base metal heavily utilized in military electronics and aerospace wiring. When the Pentagon degrades its testing of the final product, the origin and physical quality of the raw materials become one of the only remaining fail safes.

This bureaucratic move creates several immediate problems that taxpayers and defense analysts need to watch closely.

  • Increased field failures: Weapons will likely bypass rigorous stress testing, meaning the first real test happens in actual combat scenarios where failure is fatal.
  • Wasted defense budgets: Catching a hardware flaw after full production costs significantly more than finding it during the prototype phase.
  • Compromised supply chains: Advanced systems require flawless integration of critical minerals, and a lack of testing masks underlying material weaknesses until it is too late to fix them cheaply.

Cutting the people whose entire job is to tell you when a weapon is broken is a dangerous way to save money. The defense industry is already struggling with supply chain bottlenecks and raw material sourcing. Stripping away the final layer of quality control just adds more risk to an already fragile system.

u/Then_Marionberry_259 β€” 9 hours ago
β–² 158 r/Wallstreetsilver+6 crossposts

Morgan Stanley sounds the alarm on massive AI malinvestment, warns chip stocks could face a brutal 30 percent wipeout

We have a hyper-capitalist tech sector that has spent the last few years throwing hundreds of billions of dollars into a speculative AI bubble, completely unmoored from any actual consumer demand or real-world utility. Now even Wall Street institutions like Morgan Stanley are looking at the math and admitting that this massive, overhyped infrastructure boom is a house of cards. It is a textbook case of corporate herd mentality, where tech executives are so terrified of missing out on the next big narrative that they are overbuilding data centers and hoarding semiconductor inventory they do not even have a long-term plan for.

But the real tragedy here is not just rich investors losing their shirts when the market inevitably corrects. The actual disaster is the staggering, unconscionable waste of literal physical resources. We are talking about ripping massive quantities of critical minerals like copper, lithium, and rare earth elements out of the earth at an unprecedented rate, all to power energy-hungry data centers that are functionally being used to generate speculative hype.

Instead of organizing our global supply chains to allocate these highly finite, strategically vital minerals toward actual necessary projects like green energy grids or public infrastructure, we are burning through the planet's resource reserves just to inflate the short-term stock valuations of a few tech giants. It is an ecological and economic nightmare driven entirely by corporate greed and a total lack of structural foresight.

u/DumbMoneyMedia β€” 14 hours ago
β–² 32 r/Wallstreetsilver+2 crossposts

THEY JUST WENT BANKRUPT! Trust is Earned | Rosland Capital

"Trust is Earned" huh! Rosland Capital has filed for chapter 11. Funny how they also got a BBB rating. Just ask their costumers who is owed metal or trusted their 401k's with them. Must have been the expensive ad's that got them busted and not hedging metals.

youtube.com
u/Silverlover1974 β€” 12 hours ago
β–² 42 r/Wallstreetsilver+1 crossposts

Japan Bankruptcies Surge To All-Time High As A Result Of Plunging Yen

More fiat currency follies as the Keynesian fraudsters at the BoJ lose control of the debt (bond) market. Japanese retail investor muppets are going to wish they would've traded their Yen for the shiny while the trading was good.

u/Boo_Randy_Revival β€” 16 hours ago
β–² 1.6k r/Wallstreetsilver+8 crossposts

"Parents work 60 hours a week and still aren't sure if they'll have lunch money": Senator Chris Murphy introduces bill raising the federal minimum wage to $25 an hour

It is hard to ignore the reality that working a full-time job in America no longer guarantees you can actually afford to live. Senator Chris Murphy is trying to change that with a new bill aimed at raising the federal minimum wage to $25 an hour. The push comes from a place of deep frustration, recognizing that parents are regularly clocking 60 hours a week and still finding themselves coming up short for basic expenses like their children's lunch money. It is a stark reminder that the current economy is leaving a lot of hardworking families behind.

The most interesting part of the proposal is how it handles the future. Instead of just setting a new static number that will eventually lose its value to inflation, the legislation includes a built-in mechanism for automatic wage increases. By pegging the minimum wage to two-thirds of the national median wage, the floor would naturally rise as economic conditions change. This setup aims to permanently fix the issue of stagnant pay, ensuring that people at the bottom of the income ladder do not have to wait decades for lawmakers to finally agree on another raise.

u/Then_Marionberry_259 β€” 1 day ago
β–² 34 r/Wallstreetsilver+2 crossposts

Trump allies double down on efforts to reshape Federal Reserve

The Fed since its clandestine 1913 establishment on Jekyll Island, GA, by the NYC robber barons of the era has had just one true "mandate": to serve as the oligarchy's chief instrument of plunder against the 99 percent. Any efforts by Trump's sociopathic grifter "allies" will be aimed solely at effecting the more efficient looting and asset-stripping of the productive economy by these apex parasites.

msn.com
u/Boo_Randy_Revival β€” 16 hours ago

Japan's central bank balance sheet is falling at the quickest pace in history as they attempt to stop the the rapid devaluation of the Japanese Yen. So far it has been ineffective at keeping the Japanese Yen above 160:1 USD and they appear to be losing control of their yield curve on Treasuries.

As Japan is one of the largest buyers of U.S. Treasuries, it's unclear what happens when Japan is forced to accelerate the drawdown in their balance sheet further. Will the Keynesian fraudsters at the BoJ - who have been even more reckless than the Fed when it comes to radical monetary experiments - be the first central bank to lose control of the debt market?

u/Boo_Randy_Revival β€” 1 day ago
β–² 46 r/Wallstreetsilver+1 crossposts

As Silver starts to resume volatility it may be tempting to buy paper Silver. Don't.

Just a reminder to stay out of the casino, buy physical instead. I have no doubt Silver will start to swing again, and as it does, many will see opportunities to make dollars. But beware, this time may be different.

There are far more paper claims on Silver than actual physical silver, and as such, these claims will once again go through a sell off as Silver becomes scarce. This is due to the fact as people wake up to the fact paper claims can't actually be redeemed for physical Silver, it's better to sell those claims than hold a debt that can't be paid.

Silver hit over 120 this last year, and afterward, a sharp sell off that touched the 50s. Many may have wished they had sold near the top and bought back into silver after this sell off, potentially doubling their stack.

I expect a similar pattern to be seen in the next bull run, I also think this time instead of breaking 100, it's possible to break 1k. I know this seems high, but I don't think it is. I also think the sell off after could collapse the price right back violently as 100s of contracts are all claiming the same Silver.

The temptation will be there to sell Silver at the top again and buying it all back later at a fraction of the price, except for the real possibility that even though Silver price is crashing or has crashed, there's actually no physical Silver to buy afterwards.

There should be caution when buying etf Silver. It's great being able to sell instantly and accumulate dollars on Silver trade digitally, but Silver swinging violently should be a wake up call that the dollar system is reaching more and more instability. As such, there will be a time no matter how many dollars people hold, Gold and Silver won't be able to be purchased for them, regardless of a crash in price on a screen. Do yourself a favor, buy and hold physical Silver this bull run.

reddit.com
u/No-Lab-7364 β€” 1 day ago
β–² 298 r/Wallstreetsilver+4 crossposts

On Wall Street, analysts increasingly don't believe the U.S. government's 'misleading' job numbers

Our Soviet-style BLS unemployment & CPI inflation data are completely non-credible, as the methodology deliberately understates the true rate of unemployment & inflation. As the "cost of living crisis" created by the Fed's debasement of the currency crushes the 99%, FedGov will have to lie even harder about its so-faux inflation numbers.

finance.yahoo.com
u/Boo_Randy_Revival β€” 1 day ago
β–² 26 r/Wallstreetsilver+4 crossposts

Sinda pushed its IPO at 12 dollars a share to raise 213 million. It opened at 10.80 and wiped out 10 percent of investor value immediately on the NYSE

I have been pounding the table on silver for months, but this Sinda debut is an absolute joke. They hyped up the IPO at $12 to scoop $213 million, only to open at $10.80 and immediately bleed out 10 percent on day one. The physical supply deficit is entirely real and Mexico has incredible mining potential, which is why my portfolio is still heavy on the metals. I am completely bullish on the sector long term, but watching Wall Street insiders dump on retail right out of the gate is exactly why I am not touching this specific stock until it actually finds a floor.

u/OfficialSilverWaifu β€” 1 day ago
β–² 2.0k r/Wallstreetsilver+3 crossposts

U.S. Ambassador accepts a massive gold ring encrusted with 321 diamonds to give to President Trump amid staggering corruption claims.

Soon you'll see people getting bribed with critical minerals. It would have been better if it was a suitcase filled with Antimony. This is basically just candy crush money, besides from the gold.

u/DumbMoneyMedia β€” 2 days ago
β–² 10 r/Wallstreetsilver+1 crossposts

NFP 57K Miss Was the Spark β€” Is the Metals Bottom Finally In? Weekly TA πŸ”₯

Aye folks. Big week. Let me break it down quick.

βšͺ SILVER

Weekly still below 50 MA, 8 EMA, 20 MA β€” we have work to do before calling a true reversal. The daily completed a H&S that dragged us under the 200 DEMA for 14+ days. Not pretty structurally.

Bottoming process is in place tho β€” the question is whether it needs more time.

πŸŸ₯ Resistance: $64-64.50 (20 DMA + 50 WMA confluencing), $66.30-67.30, then $71.70 & $73.70

🟩 Support: $55.75 / $50-48.70

🟑 GOLD

Gold bottomed before silver β€” called this weeks ago and it's shaping up exactly that way. Wanted $3,900-$3,850 as target, got close with $3,955 which closed as a clean weekly hammer at a key level. Gold has done more bottom-building work than silver at this point and is showing relative strength. TO NOTE, FRIDAY in holiday session futs closed at ~$4187 about 3-4bucks ABOVE THE 20 DMA πŸ”₯

πŸŸ₯ Resistance: $4,200 / $4,285 / $4,330

🟩 Support: $4,100 / $4,000 / $3,955 / $3,850

πŸ’€ DXY

Rejected 101.50 finally. Broke 101 on NFP data this week. Next support 100.7 β€” targeting 100.2 and below. Glad we broke 101 β€” metals need this to continue.

πŸ“¬ GSR

66.92, -1.10% today. Looked like a bull flag ready to pop above lol β€” first target below 66.7/65.85. When GSR compresses below 60 silver really starts to run. Not there yet but direction is right.

πŸ”₯ Side note worth flagging:

Platinum and Palladium both look like they bottomed already. Palladium closed above the 20 DMA with a gap this week β€” first of the whole metals complex to do so. When the laggards lead it's usually a tell for the broader complex. GDX Miners also bottomed just below $75 as called β€” entered small longs there.

πŸ“Œ Bottom line:

NFP 57K miss was the spark. Bottoming process is real but needs confirmation. Structurally we're not out of the woods on weekly timeframes β€” but the pieces are aligning: DXY breaking, GSR compressing, gold hammering, miners bottoming, platinum/palladium leading.

When it all lines up like this after a 5-month correction... you pay attention. πŸ‘€

Not financial advice. Just a guy with charts and timestamped calls.

πŸ“© Free Discord (Silver's Vault) β€” daily levels, trade setups, full metals & market TA: >>>>>

https://discord.gg/aWxs7ZUQ

πŸ’Ž Premium TA channels :>>>>>

https://whop.com/joined/silvers-vault-3/

u/PoetOfLight β€” 1 day ago
β–² 24 r/Wallstreetsilver+3 crossposts

South African miners are getting slammed by skyrocketing input costs as the Middle East conflict sends global energy prices out of control

Watching these South African miners get slammed by soaring energy costs from the Middle East conflict is wild, but it just proves the bull case for physical metals. Wall Street suits will probably use this news to shake out weak hands, acting like higher input costs are a reason to dump the entire sector. Meanwhile, the smart money is quietly accumulating because they know these operations are bleeding out from diesel spikes, which is only going to crush an already tight supply chain. The physical deficit in critical minerals is a mathematical reality at this point. Let the paper market manipulate the spot price while these miners struggle to find a floor on their operating expenses, because it just means the eventual supply squeeze is going to be that much harder.

u/OfficialSilverWaifu β€” 1 day ago
β–² 42 r/Wallstreetsilver+3 crossposts

Your 4th of July fireworks are just a critical mineral supply chain exploding in the sky

Millions of people are looking up at the sky tonight to watch the spectacle, but very few realize they are actually watching a massive display of global mining in action. Those blinding white flashes and loud bangs are powered by aluminum and magnesium, while the lingering glittering effects come straight from antimony. Even the classic red, white, and blue sequences rely entirely on extracted resources like strontium and copper to produce those vivid chemical reactions.

We treat these commodities like cheap disposable entertainment for a holiday weekend, but the reality is that securing the supply chain for elements like antimony and copper is turning into a high stakes geopolitical chess match. The exact same raw materials we are casually blowing up for fun tonight are absolutely essential for the next generation of energy, tech, and national defense. Enjoy the light show, but pay attention to the metals market when the smoke finally clears.

u/DumbMoneyMedia β€” 2 days ago