u/No_Revenue1151

Chance me Statistics and data science

I’m not in the top 10% at my school (FISD, pretty competitive), so I’ll be holistically reviewed. If they applied a formula to estimate my rank I would probably be somewhere around top 15%.

Stats: 1530 SAT(800 math) 3.9 UW GPA, 18 APs + 2 dual credit classes (Calc 3 and Differential Equations).

Courseload:

Freshman: APHUG

Sophomore: Ap world, ap psych, ap pre calc, ap csp

Junior: ap csa, ap physics 1, apush, ap lang, qp stat, ap calc bc.

Senior: Calc 3, ap sem, ap lit, apes, ap gov, ap macro, ap physics c mech, ap physics c enm, differential equations.

ECs: Cross country for 2 years, varsity for around 1/4 of meets. 30 hours volunteering at a public library. I also helped my dad build the data analytics/design portion of his app, although it didn’t get much traction and has around 50 downloads. Also had 1 UIL math competition where I placed average. I am applying into statistics/data science.

I’m currently working on an independent project that’s going pretty well. It’s essentially a data analytics/statistics project centered around a specific research question. I’m analyzing data, drawing conclusions, and proposing potential solutions, with the final product being a website. Assume it won’t get much traction, but that the project itself will be fairly sophisticated. Assume it will be finished my the deadline

Assume essays will be above average by a fair amount (i can dedicate 60 hours applying to UT)

Im applying regular decision. IN state(obv).

reddit.com
u/No_Revenue1151 — 12 days ago
▲ 0 r/Ethics

Age Gaps are merely proxies for what is "acceptable" or "creepy" in dating, they are nowhere near absolutes.

What actually makes an age gap relevant?

Chronological age is obviously not the fundamental variable. Age matters because it correlates with things that actually matter: physical development, emotional regulation, psychological maturity, intelligence and judgment, experience, independence, vulnerability to manipulation, and so on.

In other words, age is a proxy.

And age is a decent proxy. If all I know is that one person is 15 and another is 18, that tells me something meaningful about their probable differences.

But it is still only a proxy, and there are progressively better ones. If I know their ages plus their emotional regulation, physical development, independence, experience, judgment, etc., I have a considerably better picture than age alone provides. You don't need some impossibly comprehensive psychological evaluation to improve upon age; even a moderate amount of additional relevant information can do that. Near-perfect accuracy is where things become extremely complicated.

This matters because variation within an age is substantial.

Take ten 15-year-olds of the same sex and broadly similar backgrounds. You could find large differences between the most and least developed among them in strength, emotional regulation, judgment, intelligence, independence, experience, and other relevant characteristics. On some dimensions, the difference between two 15-year-olds could plausibly be comparable to the average difference produced by several years of age.

So consider a rule like:

“A 15-year-old shouldn't date an 18-year-old.”

Maybe that is a decent rule of thumb. But if the underlying justification is maturity, vulnerability, experience, power, etc., then it cannot be treated as though the numbers themselves settle every individual case. Two 15-year-olds can differ substantially in precisely the characteristics that supposedly make the 15/18 distinction important.

Now take an extreme hypothetical.

Suppose a 12-year-old somehow has the physical, emotional, cognitive, and psychological development of an ordinary 16-year-old. Give them the same relevant experience, judgment, emotional regulation, independence, susceptibility to manipulation, and so forth. Suppose they even look 16.

This would obviously be extraordinarily rare. But that's irrelevant to the thought experiment.

If age matters because it predicts these underlying characteristics, and we stipulate that those characteristics are identical, then the chronological number alone cannot do all the moral work. If someone thinks it still does, they need to explain what morally relevant property chronological age itself contributes independently of all the characteristics for which it was being used as a proxy.

This also applies to the opposite cliché:

“They're both adults, so who cares?”

That is equally simplistic.

Suppose one person is 18 and another is 50. The fact that both fall into the legal category “adult” doesn't magically establish that differences in maturity, experience, financial independence, social power, or vulnerability are irrelevant. Maybe the relationship is perfectly fine; maybe it isn't. But “both are adults” cannot settle that question any more than “one is 17 and one is 18” can settle every moral question in the opposite direction.

If age is a proxy for morally relevant characteristics, then crossing a legal boundary doesn't suddenly make those characteristics disappear.

This becomes especially obvious with age-of-consent laws.

Suppose the age of consent is 18. What profound developmental transformation occurs between 17.99 and 18.01 years old?

Essentially none.

Human development is continuous, whereas the law must draw discrete lines. Someone does not undergo a sudden transformation in emotional regulation, judgment, physical development, or psychological maturity at midnight on their eighteenth birthday.

And there is substantial individual variation. A 19-year-old can be less mature than a 17-year-old along several relevant dimensions.

So the moral permissibility of relationships cannot literally be a binary function of whether somebody has crossed 18.0 years of chronological age. The underlying characteristics exist on continua.

This doesn't make age-of-consent laws pointless. Laws need clear, administrable boundaries, particularly where the consequences of exploitation are severe. Chronological age is attractive because it is objective, easily verified, and reasonably correlated with the characteristics we care about.

But that makes 18 a legal threshold, not a magical developmental threshold.

Why exactly 18? Why not 17 or 19? Different jurisdictions have, in fact, chosen different boundaries. And if we somehow calculated the exact average point at which people reached some specified combination of relevant developmental capacities, there is no reason whatsoever to expect nature to hand us the beautifully convenient number 18.000. It might be 17.6 or 18.3.

Whole-number thresholds are conventions imposed upon a continuous developmental process.

So my position isn't that age is irrelevant or useless. It is that people frequently confuse a proxy with the thing being proxied.

Age gives us useful information when we know little else. More direct information about someone's development can give us better information. And the more direct information we have, the less sense it makes to act as though chronological age possesses some independent, immutable moral significance.

Age matters.

But it matters primarily because of what it tends to tell us about a person—not because the number itself is sacred.

reddit.com
u/No_Revenue1151 — 2 months ago