I’m making this post because I am genuinely sick and tired of seeing this sub constantly filled with absolute brainrot. Every single day, someone throws a couple thousand spins into a weekend event, gets completely shafted, and runs straight to Reddit or Discord to cry that the gacha is "fake," "rigged," or a "scam."

It’s completely exhausting. If a family is literally labeled a Mythic, it means it’s supposed to be catastrophically hard to get. What do you think the word "mythic" means?

The chances aren't fake. Most of you just don’t have a basic grasp of probability or didn't do the math for yourselves, and you're letting clickbait content creators that are milking AOTR content dry rot your brains.

1. Stop letting YouTubers warp your reality

First of all, stop basing your expectations on content creators. These AOTR creators are milking this game into the ground for views. They title videos "I SPENT 20,000 SPINS AND THE RATES ARE BROKEN?!" because it gets them clicks and ad revenue from gullible kids.

Every single time you spin for anything in a gacha game, it’s an independent roll. Think of a 2x weekend where the Mythic rate is 0.05%. If you convert 0.05% into a fraction, it is exactly 1 in 2,000.

The game’s RNG script is literally just rolling a 2,000-sided die every time you click spin. You need to hit a 1 to win. Because the game doesn't remove losing numbers after a spin, every single roll is a fresh start. Spin #1 is a 1-in-2,000 chance. Spin #1,999 is still a 1-in-2,000 chance. Just because you roll that die 2,000 times does not mean you are mathematically guaranteed to see the winning face. The game isn’t counting down a timer for you.

2. To get a precise number, you need way more than a few thousand spins

People do 5k spins, don't get a Mythic, and think they just proved the game is broken. In statistics, your sample size is completely pathetic. To actually see a drop rate stabilize and prove whether a 0.05% or 0.025% rate is "correct," you need a sample size of well over 50,000 to 100,000+ spins.

If you haven't sat down and recorded the exact outcomes of 50k consecutive spins yourself, you have absolutely zero statistical ground to stand on. You're just reacting out of emotion because you got unlucky.

3. The Math of the 2x Weekend (Why you actually fail)

Because it’s an independent probability, your chance to hit a Mythic over a long session looks like this:

• 1,000 spins: ~39% chance to get it. (61% of players get NOTHING).
• 2,000 spins: ~63% chance to get it.
• 4,000 spins: ~86% chance to get it.

Look at the 2,000 spin mark. Even during 2x luck, nearly 4 out of every 10 people who do 2,000 spins will walk away with absolutely zero Mythics. That is just raw, unfeeling math. You aren't being targeted by the devs, you just ended up in the unlucky 37% of the player base. Even at 6,000 spins, a flat 5% of players will still miss the drop. With thousands of people playing this game, hundreds of players are bound to get hit by that terrible RNG.

Also one last thing:

If the devs were actually falsifying their gacha percentages, they would be in direct violation of Roblox TOS and consumer laws. The whole community has been babbling and crying about these "fake rates" for months, but notice how absolutely nobody has the spine or anywhere near enough proof to actually report the devs or take action. Why? Because the rates are exactly what they say they are: just catastrophically low.

If you don't have the stomach for a 63% coin-flip after grinding 2,000 spins, stop gambling your gems on the gacha. Stop watching clickbait YouTubers who profit off your anger, and just use the trading economy to buy what you want safely.