Wildebeest migration update, since a few people here have asked about July timing this year.
The front of the herd has reached the Sand River on the Kenya side, which is the first of three crossings the migration makes (Sand River, then Talek, then the Mara River).
The Sand and Talek crossings are shallow and fairly undramatic. The Mara River crossing, the one with the steep banks and crocodiles that most people picture, usually starts building from mid-July and runs through August.
The actual trigger is rainfall. New grass growth carries a short-lived spike in nitrogen right after it rains, and wildebeest seem to track that signal rather than following a fixed route or date.
That is why nobody, guides included, can predict an exact crossing day. Early July is generally a quiet window for river action, though game viewing elsewhere in the Mara is still strong.
Happy to answer questions if anyone is timing a trip around this.