

CMV: Higher female college graduation rates directly drive lower global fertility rates.
South Korea has currently the world’s lowest birth rate (0.72) .
However South Korean women (Ages 25-34) are the most educated people on the planet with a 76% college graduation rate.
In 1955, South Korea was mostly agrarian and one of the poorest nations. Female college rate was 1% (men were at 5%).
However, South Korean birth rate was at a massive 6.33 children per woman.
While wealthier nations generally have lower birth rates, the link between GDP and fertility isn't strictly linear.
Female education rates serve as an even more precise indicator than raw economic wealth.
Childbearing Aged Women (Ages 25-34) College Attainment and Birth Rates by Nation
| Country / Territory | % College Educated Females (Ages 25–34) | Difference to Men (Percentage Points) | Birth Rate (Total Fertility Rate) |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea | 76% | +13% (More Women) | 0.72 |
| Taiwan | 70% | +8% (More Women) | 0.85 |
| Urban China (Tier-1 centers) | 70% to 75% | +5% (More Women) | 0.90 |
| Japan | 66% | +3% (More Women) | 1.20 |
| Hong Kong | 65% | +5% (More Women) | 1.24 |
| Singapore | 64% | +8% (More Women) | 0.97 |
| Spain | 58% | +12% (More Women) | 1.10 |
| United Kingdom | 57% | +12% (More Women) | 1.56 |
| United States | 56% | +14% (More Women) | 1.62 |
| Sweden | 54.4% | +17.2% (More Women) | 1.33 to 1.44 |
| Germany | 40% to 43% | +5.6% (More Women) | 1.35 |
| Italy | 38.5% | +13.5% (More Women) | 1.18 |
| Iran | 30% to 35% | +10% to 15% (More Women) | 1.35 to 1.66 |
| Brazil | 26% | +6% (More Women) | 1.59 to 1.64 |
| Mexico | 24% | +2% (More Women) | 1.84 to 1.97 |
| India | 19% | -2% (More Men) | 1.90 to 2.09 |
| Pakistan | 8% to 9% | Near Parity (-0.5% to +1%) | 3.09 to 3.50 |
| Tanzania | 4% to 5% | -2% (More Men) | 4.41 to 4.52 |
| Ethiopia | 3% to 4% | -4% (More Men) | 3.59 to 3.72 |
| Niger | 2% | -3% (More Men) | 5.79 to 6.22 |
Source: https://webfs.oecd.org/els-com/Family_Database/CO_3_1_Educational_attainment_by_gender.pdf