u/Scared-Flight9892

I’ve been in and out of $VNP since it was $8-10/share, missed out a ton cause I kept getting cold feet rather than holding, but overall very much positive. I’ll probably dip out as this approaches $48-50/share around late July/early August. Earnings call is scheduled on Aug 3.

159k on a margin loan. No, this isn’t 73% of my total investments as I’ve been doing a couple of match promos, but it’s definitely a sizeable portion of my overall net worth.

No point in posting an AI blurb, but in short, 5N Plus has:

• a moat with its purification processes
• has a large backlog through 2027
• owns Azur Space, which is also backlogged throughout 2027
• a ton of these space companies (RKLB, SPCX, etc.) utilize 5N Plus’s product
• is increasingly important against this whole China critical minerals export restriction
• the increasing spend on national security and defence

Risks:

• geopolitical, mostly USA and China relations, but also this past few months ISA/Israel/Iran made me pretty nervous since it dropped pricing back a ton for a brief period (initially I bought in at ~$42)
• Bismuth and Germanium pricing, but these seemingly are already priced in
• if any rockets that are launched don’t go well, the price seems to dip a bit
• $FSLR, which is $VNP’s biggest contract, was named in a lawsuit this past week for not handling USA’s tariffs as seamlessly as stated. This however seems to be priced in.