u/Substantial-Train668

Last night on The Lab, Josh had the TIR guys on. They all agreed that they think the FBI/LE knows who wrote the first two 'ransom' letters and might even know who the porch guy is, but that they were building a case.

The TIR guys actually said that because the FBI is involved, the case needs to be even stronger/airtight for a court hearing. Basically, they think they know exactly who did this, but they can't quite prove it.

What do you all think? What do you think the FBI/LE likely knows by now? And what do you think they are still trying to get ready to prove in court?

After TIR started to talk about Splinter, the non-profit where AG had her jewelry studio, I wanted to find out if A still had it there. For the record, I don't really buy TIR's unhoused person thread. But Splinter itself became quite interesting as I looked into it. They employ oracles and "chaos coordinator". Huh.

That deep dive then led me to a series of articles on Medium.com by someone named Niko Roswell aka RoswellSaid that are interesting. For the record, Medium is more like a blog site. So it isn't vetted in the way mainstream articles would be. But he's got a lot of his own references that seem legit and well researched.

I looked Niko up on Linkedin. He's an independent crime reporter in Tucson, as you would guess, but he's also in real estate, and an estate director:

Estate Director Self-Employed 2000 - Present · 26 yrs 6 mo. Specialist in the repositioning of luxury personal property.

I found that... interesting.

His bio also says I love to juggle a world of style, real estate, art and complex situations.

Anyway, Niko makes some interesting connections. Deep rooted animosity that people may have had against the Guthrie's in the circles of Splinter.

Full disclosure, this is all a little conspiracy theory - which I'm not really a fan of - but there are interesting ideas and Tucson political insider stuff that others aren't reporting.

https://medium.com/@niko.roswell/catch-and-release-in-guthrie-case-d653e390fb5a

https://medium.com/@niko.roswell/the-alleged-case-of-nancy-guthrie-cbac5e9d12a0

https://medium.com/@niko.roswell/savannah-the-coal-miners-daughter-amadon-the-cult-leader-s-son-9a2e5195fb7b

https://medium.com/@niko.roswell/savannah-guthrie-visits-tucson-chaos-follows-745173e2cd0d

I keep hearing that NG had a tenant who rented the Casita from her. Not at the time of her disappearance but before that. It seems strange to me, if true. Like, did she need the money? Was it a stranger? Or a friend of the family? Did family ever stay in there? What was it used for, generally? The placement of the casita being so near to the garage that NG used to get in and out of the house made me wonder if she could be watched from there. I don't know.

Porch guy seems to be coming from that direction when he walks up in the video. Wonder if someone was possibly hiding out there? There are sliding doors that seem to be in the direction of the garage ish.

It's just struck me as a security nightmare for an elderly woman living alone.

Thoughts?

I'm curious if the trial of D C aka Hawthorne man on June 23 in Tucson will be a nothing-burger or yield new information... What do you think? ETA: there is a brand new report that he is pleading guilty and his next court date is in July now. Could he have made a deal with LE?

I also reread the official court complaint from DC's arraignment, and I couldn't help but notice a few details. These are official documents, so I assume these can be considered 'facts'

1. Nancy was last seen inside her home (meaning T walked her inside)
2. At approx noon on Feb 1 family entered her residence (there's been speculation on time)