So finally, after 8 consecutive bearish weeks, we finally witnessed a bullish weekly candle last week, which was exactly in line with our weekly analysis expectations. Along with that, Gold also managed to close strongly above our key institutional level of $4085. Overall, the weekly candle has formed a hammer-like structure, which is another positive sign.

Keeping all these factors in mind, one thing is becoming clear: in the short term, Gold can start showing bullish pressure because the market has already created several traps, and even last weekend it finished by setting up another sellers' trap. Understanding these traps will be very important before trading next week.

Now let's talk about what traps have been created in Gold and what direction the market could take next week.

On Friday, Gold made a high of $4195. After that, the market spent most of the session consolidating before closing lower. Because of this, many traders have once again entered fresh sell positions. The main reason is that on June 23rd, the market produced a strong selling move from almost the exact same area. Looking at that historical price action and the overall higher timeframe structure, sellers have once again become aggressive around this zone since the $4200 round number is acting as a major psychological resistance.

As a result, many traders have already opened short positions around this level and are holding them overnight with their stop losses placed just above $4200.

But are these sellers actually safe below $4200?

In my opinion, absolutely not.

I believe the market intentionally behaved this way last Friday. After giving a strong upside move during the Asian session, Gold spent the rest of the day consolidating just below the $4200 resistance. Since Friday was also a bank holiday, the market makers simply needed time to create liquidity, and that's exactly what happened. Round numbers naturally attract a large number of traders, making them perfect liquidity zones.

So overall, I have no doubt that many traders are currently sitting in sell positions with their stop losses above $4200, and I believe the market will target those stops once Monday's session begins.

My expectation is that Gold will either open flat or with a gap up, and soon after the opening, we could see a breakout above $4200, triggering a sellers' trap.

So during the Asian session, if Gold manages to sustain above the $4165-$4172 area after the market opens, I believe buying opportunities can be considered with targets at $4203, $4217-$4224, and if momentum remains strong, we could even witness a one-sided bullish move towards $4234 on Monday itself.

At the same time, once Gold approaches the $4234 area, I will start watching volume very carefully. If buying momentum begins to slow down there, I would expect another decent selling move around Tuesday or Wednesday. The purpose of that move would not necessarily be to start a new bearish trend, but rather to trap the buyers who entered after the breakout above $4200.

Think about the psychology behind it.

First, the breakout above $4200 traps all the sellers. Then, once retail buyers become confident and start buying above the breakout, the market could temporarily move lower to trap those new buyers as well. That decline would convince everyone that selling has resumed, encouraging fresh sellers to enter the market. Once enough liquidity is created again, the market could trap those new sellers too and continue the larger bullish move.

This is the type of price action I am expecting during the upcoming week.

Overall, my upside target for next week remains around $4275. If the bullish bias becomes even stronger and smart money continues to show aggressive buying interest, then I believe Gold could even trade above $4300 next week.

One thing to remember: this entire bullish plan remains valid as long as Gold stays above $4085.

Personally, I don't expect a major decline next week because the market has already spent several weeks in a bearish phase, and the strong buying that appeared last week clearly suggests that smart money has started showing buying interest for the short term.

So based on the current price action, market psychology, and liquidity structure, I remain bullish on Gold next week. My primary focus will be on trapping the sellers positioned below $4200. Even if we get a fresh selling move during the week, I will treat it as a potential trap and look for confirmation before assuming the bearish trend has returned.

I hope you enjoyed this psychological trading analysis, found it logical, and learned something valuable from it.

Good luck to everyone for the upcoming trading week. I hope you all have a profitable week.

By the way, what's your trading plan for Gold next week? Let me know in the comments! ⬇️

So, in this week's analysis, I clearly mentioned one important point. For the past several weeks, Gold has been forming bearish weekly candles, and most of the major liquidity has already been swept. Because of that, I believed Gold was due for a short-term reversal, and that's exactly what we witnessed this week.

No doubt, the market initially spent some time below $4080 just to confuse traders and create the impression that sellers were still in control. However, over the last two days, we finally saw the strong upside move that I had been expecting.

Most importantly, the key level that I've been talking about for the past several days, $4080, has finally been reclaimed with a bullish close. This clearly tells us that the bulls have taken control of the market. As long as Gold remains above this level, I believe we can safely focus on the bullish side.

Now, since today is the last trading day of the week, let's discuss my market observations and plan of action for Friday.

During the Asian session, Gold delivered a strong upside move and is currently consolidating near the higher levels. In my opinion, this consolidation is mainly happening because of the left-side price action. If you notice, when Gold traded in this same area around June 22-23, the market created confusion before eventually breaking below $4200 and producing a strong sell-off.

However, I don't believe history will repeat itself this time.

The reason is simple. Most of the sellers who entered the market out of panic are now trapped, and many of them are still looking for re-entry opportunities to short Gold. According to them, selling below $4200 feels safe because last time the market collapsed from this exact area. Keeping that previous move in mind, many traders have become aggressive sellers around this zone.

But in my opinion, they are ignoring the current price action.

The structure that Gold has built over the last few sessions clearly suggests that the bulls are now in control, which is why I prefer staying on the buying side.

If you compare the current situation with June 22-23, you'll notice an important difference. Back then, Gold also opened below $4200, but it immediately continued falling because sellers were extremely strong and the selling volume on June 23 was very aggressive. Buyers simply couldn't trap them at that time.

This time, I believe the opposite can happen.

Even today, Gold tested a high around $4195 before showing some rejection. However, if you carefully observe the price action, the selling pressure is relatively weak and coming with much smaller volume. On top of that, today is a U.S. bank holiday, which means the market is likely focusing on liquidity creation around this zone rather than making a major directional move.

After that process is complete, I expect buying momentum to continue, and I still believe a breakout above $4200 is possible.

For now, I'm simply waiting and watching because entering at the current price would likely make me part of the liquidity. Instead, I'm waiting for a sudden spike or a liquidity sweep before entering the market.

My preferred buying zone remains around $4151-$4162.

If you're an aggressive trader, you can also consider buying above the current price around $4174. In that case, the first target would be $4200, and if momentum remains strong, you can trail the trade toward $4209-$4220.

So, based on market psychology and the current price action, this is my trading plan for today.

I hope you found this analysis useful and that my plan makes sense.

Good luck to everyone for the last trading day of the week!

What is your Gold trading plan for today? Let me know in the comments.

Thanks!

So, if you read my market analysis in detail yesterday, I clearly mentioned one important thing. Throughout June, every buying move in Gold, no matter how strong the volume looked, has eventually failed. The market simply isn't respecting bullish price action anymore.

According to basic price action principles, whenever a strong buying move appears, the market usually respects it by either giving a healthy retracement or continuing the upside because strong buying volume has entered the market. However, if you study Gold's price action throughout June, you'll notice that no matter how aggressive the buying or liquidity sweep is, none of those moves have been able to sustain.

The main reason is that the nature of the market has completely changed this month. It's very similar to what we witnessed in January 2026. Before that, the market remained in a strong bullish trend where we saw continuous gap-up openings, buyers dominating every session, and sellers getting trapped repeatedly as Gold kept making higher highs.

Now we are witnessing the exact opposite.

Since the beginning of June, Gold has experienced relentless selling pressure. Sellers are controlling the market while buyers continue getting trapped on every recovery. Panic selling has now started, and during these conditions, traditional price action rules, liquidity concepts, and trading psychology often stop working the way they normally do. That's why it's important to focus on what the market is doing right now instead of what should happen according to textbook concepts. My overall bias remains strongly bearish.

Now let's talk about my plan of action.

First of all, as long as Gold remains below $4086, my bias stays strongly bearish. Every rally should be treated as a selling opportunity. Simply wait for pullbacks and continue looking for short positions because the overall trend still favors sellers.

Yesterday, after sweeping the liquidity around $3960, Gold produced a decent buying reaction. However, even that move completely failed, and after today's market opened, selling pressure returned once again.

The reason behind this is very simple.

Gold has already broken below the extremely important psychological level of $4000. Below this level, both buyers and sellers are actively participating, creating a highly manipulative environment where the market is more focused on trapping both sides rather than respecting clean price action. Understanding the current market conditions is much more important than blindly following textbook setups.

Plan for Wednesday

For now, yesterday's low around $3942 is very important. Gold has shown a small reversal slightly above that level. The buying reaction started from around $3960, which was also last week's low.

Because of this, many traders are becoming emotional and entering fresh buy positions. Usually, when price reacts near the previous day's low, traders place their stop-loss below that low and expect a strong reversal.

However, based on the current market conditions, I don't think that's going to happen.

If you notice carefully, Gold is forming a price action structure that looks very similar to yesterday. After yesterday's sharp Asian session sell-off, the market recovered strongly. Because of that, many buyers are expecting the exact same recovery today.

But markets rarely repeat the exact same behavior on consecutive days.

That's why I believe today's recovery is simply attracting more buyers before another selling wave begins. My expectation is that Gold will spend some time moving sideways, lure more buyers into the market, and then resume its bearish trend.

Talking about the important trading levels, $4010 will be a very important resistance. I believe Gold is likely to revisit this area because it will attract maximum buyers before another strong selling move starts.

My expectation is that Gold will eventually break below $3950, and by tomorrow we could see selling targets around $3924, $3909, and finally the $3892-$3877 zone.

So my trading plan for today is very clear.

My overall bias remains bearish, and I will continue looking only for selling opportunities until the market proves otherwise.

I hope you enjoyed this detailed analysis and that it helps you prepare your trading plan for today.

Wishing everyone the very best of luck.

Have a profitable trading day!

Now tell me in the comments — what's your trading plan for today?

For the last two weeks, gold has been under continuous selling pressure, which has caused many traders to panic sell. The big question now is whether gold will continue its decline this week or if we are about to see a reversal. Let's break it down in detail.

To be honest, the area from which gold found support last week is likely to act as a temporary support zone for now. If you study gold's price action throughout this year, you'll notice a recurring pattern: whenever an important support level breaks, the market often stages a short-term recovery before continuing its larger trend. This usually happens because the market needs to attract buyers and create fresh liquidity before making its next move.

Recently, gold broke our important $4024 support level. After that breakdown, the market spent some time consolidating around the $4000 area before finally showing a strong upside move on Friday. In my opinion, this wasn't a random bounce. The $4000 level is a major psychological price, and once it broke, many traders aggressively jumped into short positions expecting a much larger decline. The market then pushed higher to trap those late sellers. At the same time, buyers started stepping back into the market, which is another reason why we saw strength after the consolidation. Because of this, I believe gold still has the potential to move higher in the short term, mainly to trap the traders who randomly entered selling positions last week and are still holding them.

One of the biggest reasons behind my bullish short-term view is the overall market psychology. The last time gold broke the $5000 level, we witnessed a major sell-off. That previous move has made many traders extremely aggressive around the $4000 area, with most expecting another significant decline after the recent breakdown. However, I don't believe the market will repeat the exact same behavior this time. Instead, I think it will first focus on trapping those aggressive sellers before deciding its next major direction.

Last week itself, I noticed several signs of a potential sell trap. From Monday onwards, the market never swept any significant highs and continued forming lower highs throughout the week. Even Tuesday's opening was below $4200, and from there gold experienced a straight decline. On Friday, the market closed around $4096, which is just below the important psychological level of $4100. Markets often attract a large number of traders near psychological levels, especially before the weekend, because many prefer to build overnight positions with stop losses placed around those round numbers. Looking at last week's overall behavior, I have very little doubt that a large number of traders entered overnight short positions near Friday's close.

What's interesting is that on Monday, gold started moving lower again without first sweeping last week's high. This strongly suggests that those overnight sellers are still confidently holding their positions. Whenever I see this type of positioning, my attention immediately shifts toward the possibility of a seller trap. Markets often move against the majority before making their real directional move, and I believe that's exactly what could happen this week.

My Monday trading plan is very straightforward. As I've mentioned before, the $4025 level is extremely important. As long as gold remains above this level, my overall bias stays bullish. The $4034-$4044 zone is my primary support area, and I'll be looking for buying opportunities there with proper confirmation. At the same time, if you're a conservative trader, I'd recommend avoiding trades between $4044 and $4067 because, based on the current price action, momentum remains choppy within this range and the market can easily produce false moves. However, if gold delivers a strong breakout above $4067 with solid momentum, I'll be comfortable buying the breakout and will look to target the $4080, $4096, and $4128 levels. The only thing I want to see before chasing those targets is a clean breakout supported by strong bullish momentum.

Because of this, my overall bias remains bullish above $4020. As I mentioned last week, the $4084 level is extremely important. If the market can hold above $4020 and then deliver a strong close above $4084, I believe sellers could get trapped very quickly, leading to a sharp zig-zag upside move. Once that confirmation arrives, the market should have enough momentum to begin a stronger directional rally.

Overall, I'm expecting gold to eventually move towards the $4280 region in the coming sessions. The only condition for this bullish outlook is that the market continues holding above $4020 and successfully reclaims $4084 with a convincing close. If both conditions are met, I believe we could see a very clean upside move from there.

I hope you found this analysis logical and helpful. Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead.

What's your plan for gold this week? Are you bullish, bearish, or waiting for confirmation? Let me know in the comments!

🚨 GOLD BELOW $4000 — WHAT’S NEXT? FULL PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS 🚨

We have been witnessing very strong selling pressure in gold over the past several weeks. There is no doubt that panic selling has now started in the market. Many traders who were planning to go long on gold, and even those involved in physical gold investments, are now under stress because gold has corrected nearly 29% this year, which is a massive move.

But the most important question is: Why is gold selling off so aggressively? How long can this selling continue? And when can we start looking for long opportunities again?

Let's build a detailed probabilistic analysis to get a clearer picture.

At the beginning of this year, I mentioned that gold could enter a long consolidation phase, and that is exactly what we are seeing now. Along with consolidation, we are also witnessing a deep correction, which could actually be beneficial for the market in the long run.

For the past few years, gold had been in a strong uptrend. During that period, most traders were looking for selling opportunities while the market continued moving higher. This year, however, the situation completely reversed. Most traders became interested in buying every dip and holding gold for the long term.

As a result, the market repeatedly gave buyers hope and then liquidated them. In my opinion, there is no doubt that gold will eventually move higher in the future. However, based on the way gold has behaved this year, I do not believe a major bull run will begin anytime soon.

I think a meaningful upside move will only start once the hype around buying gold disappears and most traders lose interest. That future rally would likely represent a fresh beginning for gold. Right now, the market is focused on removing excess liquidity, and as a psychological trader, I believe the reasons behind this decline are largely psychological, as explained above.

This week, I was expecting some bullish pressure in gold, mainly because additional buyers entering the market would create more liquidity for the next leg lower. There was no doubt that $4000 was a very important level.

My expectation was that the market would allow buyers to enter above $4000, encouraging traders to place their stop losses below that level. Then, after sufficient liquidity had been created, we would see a breakdown below $4000 and a continuation lower.

That was my personal plan and observation.

If you study gold's behavior this year, you will notice a recurring pattern. After the major decline in January, the daily low formed around $4410. Later, on March 23, the market formed a low around $4100, after which buyers briefly stepped in and created liquidity. More recently, we saw a low around $4024.

Based on this repetitive behavior and market psychology, I expected the market to pause above $4024, attract additional buyers, and then form the next major low. It was a reasonable scenario. I never suggested that gold would rally directly from that zone because the market was already trading very close to the critical $4000 level, where many traders likely had stop losses positioned.

Eventually, those stops needed to be hunted.

However, selling pressure remained extremely strong, which resulted in continuous downside momentum, and gold is now trading below $4000.

So what is my next trading plan?

Earlier this week, I highlighted two key support levels: $4134 and $4084. As long as gold remained above those levels, I maintained a bullish bias. However, both of those important support zones have now been broken.

The plan is now very simple:

As long as gold fails to produce a daily close above $4084, I will not adopt a fully bullish bias. Instead, my focus will remain on identifying and trapping weak buyers.

If selling pressure continues, then the following downside targets become extremely important:

📉 $3945
📉 $3907
📉 $3876
📉 $3813
📉 $3768

These are the major levels on my radar.

If gold fails to reclaim and close above $4084, I believe these targets have a high probability of being reached.

At the same time, if you backtest the chart, you will notice that the $3876–$3907 area has historically shown buying pressure. Keeping that in mind, we could see a temporary buying move emerge from this zone.

However, I view that potential rally as another liquidity-generation move designed to attract buyers. A bounce is certainly possible because the market has been heavily bearish for several weeks, and traders naturally become optimistic after a prolonged decline.

Even then, my plan remains unchanged:

If gold cannot achieve a daily close above $4084, I will continue expecting selling pressure to dominate.

Today, gold is trading below $4000, which is a very important psychological level. Many traders are buying simply because they expect a breakout and daily close back above $4000.

But based on current chart behavior, I don't think the market will make things easy for buyers. Instead, I believe gold may continue drifting lower, trapping traders who are emotionally fighting the trend.

Personally, today is a no-trading day for me.

I prefer observing the market rather than taking positions because selling aggressively below such a major level carries its own risks. Around these key zones, market makers often focus on heavy liquidation and stop hunts, which can create extremely volatile conditions.

I hope this simple probabilistic market analysis helped you understand the current situation and gave you a logical perspective on what might happen next.

Good luck, trade safely, and have a profitable day.

What is your trading plan from here?

Let me know in the comments. 👇📊🔥

I’m still bullish on the market. Right now, the market is deliberately trying to shake buyers’ confidence and attract sellers at lower levels.

On Monday this week, we saw strong buying from around $4135. Ideally, that move should have continued, but instead, the market broke down below Monday’s low. The reason, in my view, is simple — a lot of price action traders were actively buying in that area, which made it a perfect zone for the market to trap them. This buying interest was justified as well, because after the breakdown of $4100, we saw strong buying volume coming in (clearly visible on the left side of the chart).

Even on the 4H timeframe, bullish volume is strong, and the daily candle has formed in a very solid and clean structure. This is something that should be respected. However, the market is intentionally shaking confidence so that buyers give up and shift their bias toward selling.

One strong reason why I still expect upside movement is this: the market has already broken down below $4100, and we’ve been seeing continuous downside for the past few weeks. From this zone, it makes sense for the market to pause and move upward. Also, the sellers entering randomly at lower levels need to be trapped.

If you look at the chart, selling came in around $4370 on June 9, and again around June 17 (last week), the market showed rejection from the same area and continued downward. To me, this looks like a well-formed trap — a perfect setup to attract sellers at lower levels.

As long as the market is holding above the support zone of $4040–$4075, I don’t think we should give up on buying. As I mentioned, the market has repeated similar price action from last week by rejecting $4370, forming a lower high structure. Because of this, many price action traders are now confidently in sell positions, expecting a bigger swing toward $4000 or even lower.

No doubt, the breakdown of $4000 is very likely — but since it’s such an important psychological and technical level, I don’t expect it to break easily or immediately. Before that happens, the market may move up, bring buyers back in, and build liquidity for the next major move.

So as long as the market stays above my marked green support zone, I’ll maintain a bullish bias.

What’s your plan? Let me know.

Next week is looking very interesting to me because market makers have already set a strong trap. Based on the current structure and price action, the market is now appearing highly bearish to most traders.

Last week, many traders expected that after the breakdown of $4100, the reversal would continue to the upside. However, those expectations failed, and buyers were heavily liquidated. Because of the strong downside move, a large portion of traders have now shifted their bias toward selling.

As a result, many traders will prefer selling on pullbacks next week, targeting the key psychological level of $4000. But the real question is — will the market actually allow sellers to achieve this so easily?

Last week, after sweeping liquidity around $4366, the market showed a sharp rejection from around $4383. This area is important because it has already acted as resistance before.

If you look back, on 17th October 2025, the market formed a high around $4380, and from that level we saw a major drop of nearly 11.30%. Interestingly, last week during FOMC, the market again rejected from this same zone, which has increased seller confidence.

From a broader perspective, the market has been consistently making lower lows over the past few weeks. However, one important detail is that last week did not sweep the previous week’s low and instead closed on the upside.

This shift is important, and because of that, I am expecting a bullish weekly candle next week.

Now coming to an important technical observation:

If you look at the daily timeframe, the 11th June candle (liquidity sweep candle) is very strong. Based on my experience, such strong candles are rarely broken directly.

Most of the time, the market first focuses on liquidity generation (creating traps and building positions), and only after that does it break down or move beyond such strong candles.

This further supports the idea that the market may not move directly toward $4000, and instead will spend time trapping traders before the actual move.

Since the market has been falling continuously, sentiment has turned strongly bearish. Most traders are now expecting a direct move toward $4000, but this is a major psychological level, and the market usually does not allow such obvious targets to be achieved easily.

For me, the $4136 – $4084 zone is a very important support area.

As long as gold is trading above this zone, I am not interested in selling. Instead, I expect the market to show small pullbacks to attract sellers, and then gradually move higher.

From a higher timeframe perspective as well, this zone is strong. Until we see a strong 1-hour candle closing below it with volume, selling remains risky, especially after such an extended downside move.

Also, considering the rejection from the $4380 area and the recent FOMC move, many traders who sold from that zone are likely holding positions and targeting lower levels.

However, I expect that the market may break above $4383 (last week’s high), especially because it is very close to $4400, where many traders typically place their stop losses.

If that happens, it can trigger a liquidity grab and push the market higher.

Final Plan

Overall, I am bullish on gold for next week.

As long as price holds above $4084 – $4136, my focus will be on looking for buying opportunities rather than chasing sells.

I hope this analysis gives you clear direction for next week.

What’s your plan for gold? Let me know 👇

A very interesting psychological game is likely to unfold in the gold market over the next few hours due to the current price behavior. There is now little doubt that most traders who were buying gold since the beginning of this week have already given up. Many of them are now waiting for a breakdown below the previous week’s low at $4024, planning to enter short positions on any pullback.

But the real question is — will the market actually fulfill their expectations, or is a bigger game about to unfold?

Let’s break it down using market psychology and key institutional levels.

As per my last analysis, the fall we were expecting in gold has finally played out today (Friday). The reasoning behind this move was quite simple. I had already explained that gold took support from last week’s closing price and moved upward on Thursday, which attracted a large number of buyers into the market.

Additionally, the strong upside move after last week’s liquidity sweep made many traders believe that a reversal had already begun. Based on that belief, they continued buying on retracements and support levels. However, they failed to understand the market trap, and as a result, many of them got trapped badly over the last two days.

Last week, we saw a downside move first, followed by a reversal. This week, the price action has been the opposite — first an upside move, then a strong downside move. Currently, gold is trading below $4200 and is near an important institutional level.

Now let’s talk about the plan.

In my weekly analysis, I clearly mentioned that $4136 is a very important institutional reversal level. As you can see, after a sharp fall into that level, gold is now showing signs of reversal from there. This is a good sign, as it shows the market is respecting our planned level.

From this area, I am expecting a strong upside movement. I also anticipate a breakout above this week’s high at $4383 in the coming sessions.

The logic behind this is based on classic market psychology.

For the past few weeks, gold has been consistently bearish, and even this week has shown strong bearish pressure. Because of this, many traders have again started selling randomly, targeting levels around $4000.

However, in my view, the market will play a more interesting game. Instead of directly breaking the previous week’s low at $4024, it is more likely to move upward first without sweeping that low.

This will create two major effects:

• Traders who were buying at the start of the week and got stopped out will feel regret and confusion if the market moves strongly upward.
• Traders who recently entered sell positions will also get trapped, as their stop losses will be hunted during an upside move.

This confusion is exactly where the opportunity lies.

Also, note that sellers have already entered the market from higher levels. Around $4366, there is an important resistance zone from where the market has already shown selling pressure this week. Many sellers, especially those who sold from $4384, have placed their stop losses near $4400, targeting a bigger move toward $4000.

However, $4000 is a major key level, and the market rarely gives such levels easily. Before reaching there, it will likely shift sentiment and trap both buyers and sellers.

That’s why, in my opinion, as long as we do not see a strong 4-hour bearish close below $4136, we should not focus on targets like $4024 or $4000. Instead, we should look for buying opportunities and focus on trapping weak sellers.

Intraday Plan (Friday)

My simple plan for today is to focus on trapping intraday sellers and prioritize profit booking through buying positions.

Since it’s Friday, I do not expect a clean, sharp reversal in a single day. Due to the weekend factor, the market is likely to keep both buyers and sellers engaged and confused.

The real structured move is expected to play out next week.

Key Targets for Upside (Profit Booking Zones)

• $4224
• $4280
• $4383
• $4418

This provides a very strong swing opportunity.

You can take direct entries, but my recommendation is to wait for a pullback during Friday. This will allow more sellers to re-enter the market. Once we see rejection and confirmation on lower timeframes (15M–30M), we can look for buying entries targeting higher levels.

The goal is simple — trap retail sellers and ride the upside move.

That’s my trading plan for today. Hope you found this analysis helpful and that you’re now ready to approach the market with clarity.

What’s your plan in the market? Let me know your view.

When the market starts consolidating, it’s usually a sign that something big is about to happen. And no doubt, this week is going to be very important. Within the next 17 hours, we have the FOMC press conference, which will be the first conference led by Kevin Warsh. Along with that, all eyes are on the Iran peace deal expected to be signed on 19th June (Friday).

Because of these major events, the market is intentionally moving sideways and keeping traders stuck in a range. This is creating confusion among retail traders, while big players are quietly generating liquidity. So let’s break down how we can plan gold trades using market psychology and key institutional levels.

Looking at the current price action in gold, I don’t see strong confirmation for further buying right now. As discussed earlier, the market opened with a strong gap-up this week, which didn’t give most traders a proper buying opportunity. Because of this, many traders entered buys at higher levels and are now trapped — especially after the breakout and liquidity sweep around $4366.

Also, notice how the market respected $4300 as support twice — once on Monday and again on Tuesday. On Tuesday, price even opened slightly above $4300 and moved upward without sweeping it. This led many retail buyers to place stop losses below $4300 and hold their buy positions with hope.

Because of this positioning, I expect gold to slowly move downward today. Both price action and market psychology support this view.

Currently, the range between $4300 – $4366 is very important. Buyers are active at the bottom, while sellers are strong at the top. Until we get a proper breakout from either side, we won’t see a clear directional move.

For today:

• If the market sustains below $4335, there is a strong chance we will see a breakdown of $4300.
• Based on current price behavior, I don’t expect a strong buying move today. Instead, gold may move in a slow, low-volume zigzag pattern toward the downside.

Once $4300 breaks with a strong 30-minute candle close, we could see a sharp decline. After that:

• Monday’s low may get swept
• First target: $4270
• Further downside is possible as the gap below still remains unfilled

This move could happen either before or after the FOMC event.

If this downside move plays out, many traders who are currently holding buy positions will lose confidence and start believing the trend is still bearish. With the Iran peace deal news coming on 19th June, more traders may start building short positions expecting further downside, especially since the previous weeks have been bearish and no strong upside breakout has been sustained.

But this is where things could get interesting.

The level around $4134 is very important — it’s a strong institutional level. From there, gold has the potential to reverse and create a powerful upside move. This could become a major trap for sellers going into the weekend, and that’s something I’ll be watching closely.

For now, my bias remains bearish:

• Below $4366, I am not looking for buys
• Below $4335, my daily bias stays bearish
• I will prefer selling and targeting $4300 and below

I will only consider upside trades if we get a strong 15-minute candle close above $4335.

So this is my short and simple plan for today. This week is extremely important due to major global events, so trade carefully and focus on precision entries. The reward potential is high if executed correctly.

What’s your view on gold right now? Let me know in the comments.

Tuesday Gold Analysis & Trading Plan

Monday’s market played a very interesting game. It intentionally opened with a gap-up so that traders wouldn’t get a chance to buy from lower prices. Overall, only those who held buy positions over the weekend were able to capture significant profits.

Just because the market opened with a gap-up, the resistance zone that I had previously mentioned between $4270 - $4300 was completely bypassed. Since the market opened above that resistance area, we naturally saw overall buying pressure throughout the session. However, according to my weekly plan, my overall outlook remains unchanged. The market has simply reacted to the gap-up opening, but my broader trading bias is still the same. Now, let's understand what the plan is for Tuesday and how I will be approaching the market.

In yesterday’s analysis, I specifically mentioned that Monday and Tuesday would likely be used to trap buyers at higher levels, and that is exactly what happened after the gap-up opening. I also highlighted the importance of the $4366 level. On June 9, the market faced resistance from this level, which caused many random sellers to enter there. Monday’s move appeared to be designed to target those sellers. As soon as the market swept the liquidity above $4366, it showed a strong reversal, which was expected because the market created a very interesting buyer trap. Keeping that trap in mind, I’ll be planning my trades accordingly today.

What Happened on Monday?

During the London session, the market retraced from exactly $4300 and then continued its upward movement. This likely encouraged many traders to buy because whenever strong momentum appears around a round-number level, traders often enter without much hesitation, placing their stop losses just below that level.

I believe that after seeing the gap-up move and the strong buying trend from last week, many traders are currently holding buy positions with stop losses around $4300 or slightly below it.

Interestingly, the market opened above $4300 today and spent a considerable amount of time consolidating above that level during the Asian session before moving higher. Whenever the market spends a lot of time around a major round number, it often means that market makers are giving retail traders an opportunity to build positions so they can later be trapped. In simple terms, liquidity is being generated, and that is clearly visible right now.

Considering the current market conditions, it would be somewhat unpredictable for the market to continue rallying aggressively after such a strong gap-up opening. Also, just because the market moved higher from $4300 yesterday does not mean it will repeat the exact same move today. Markets rarely repeat identical price action. Even in a bullish trend, when buying or selling previously occurred from a specific area, a similar move from the same area later often turns into a trap.

My Trading Plan for Tuesday

Keeping all these factors in mind, I prefer looking for selling opportunities today and targeting levels below $4300.

My key selling zone is:

• $4338
• $4346
• $4350

If price reaches this area, I will look for a 5-minute timeframe confirmation before entering a sell trade on Gold.

My primary target remains a move below $4300.

At the same time, $4303 is also a very important level. If the market closes a strong 30-minute candle below $4303, we could potentially see a downside move toward $4270.

Invalidation Level

This selling plan remains valid as long as the market stays below $4366.

However, if the market manages to break and hold above $4366, then this bearish outlook becomes invalid. In that scenario, I would shift my focus to buying opportunities, with potential upside targets around $4400 - $4419.

Please pay close attention to all the levels mentioned above, as they are significant areas in the market. Always wait for proper confirmation before entering any trade to improve your risk management and overall profitability.

Good luck everyone for Tuesday. I hope you have a profitable trading day! 📈🔥

By the way, what’s your Tuesday trading plan? Let me know in the comments! 👇🏻💬

Last week in gold was extremely interesting. At the start of the week, we saw a strong sell-off in the market. But as soon as the key support level around $4100 broke down, gold delivered a sharp and aggressive reversal.

To be honest, this reversal was necessary. Gold had been in continuous selling pressure for several weeks, and in such conditions, when an important support level breaks, many traders start selling randomly. They assume that a major crash will follow just because a key level has been broken.

However, markets don’t work that way. Instead, what usually happens is a liquidity sweep and reversal, where those late sellers get trapped — and that is exactly the move we witnessed toward the end of last week.

Now the most important question is:
Is this reversal sustainable, or is the market still strongly bearish?
Should we start buying aggressively, or does selling pressure still dominate?

Let’s break this down through market psychology and build a plan for the upcoming week using key institutional levels.

The move after the $4100 breakdown was clearly strong. If you look at last Thursday’s 4H candle, it shows powerful bullish volume entering the market. Because of this, I strongly believe that gold will continue upward after the market opens.

My expectation is that on Monday, the market will move higher and invite buyers at elevated levels. Once price breaks the $4270 zone (around $4270–$4300), we could see another selling move from that area.

This move will likely be designed to trap those traders who entered buying positions at higher levels. After trapping them, I expect gold to move down toward the $4130–$4160 zone.

This will create a scenario where:

• Buyers from Friday get trapped
• New buyers from Monday get trapped
• Market sentiment turns bearish again

At that point, many traders will believe that the downtrend is strong and will shift back to selling.

But here’s where things get interesting.

I expect a fake Change of Character (ChoCh) this week.

For the past several weeks, gold has consistently broken previous weekly lows. So naturally, if the market moves up first and then drops again, traders will expect another breakdown of the previous week’s low and will jump into selling.

But I believe the market will deceive traders this time.

Around the $4134 level, I expect a strong upside move. From there, gold could push toward $4225, $4271, and $4304, and eventually even break $4366.

Now, if you observe carefully, the $4366 level acted as resistance last week and triggered a sell-off. Previously, it was also a strong buying zone that failed.

While it’s true that strong trends respect resistance, I do not trust publicly visible resistance levels — because they often turn into traps.

That’s why I believe gold will eventually break $4366. But after that breakout, a bigger game could begin.

Below this level, sellers will continue trying to catch the top. But once price moves above $4366, market sentiment will shift, and traders will start buying aggressively at higher levels. That’s when the market could reveal its real intention.

For now, above $4134, I see a large upside range available — potentially up to $4410 in the coming weeks.

Why? Because:

• There are many random sellers in the market
• They need to be trapped
• Fresh sellers also need to be hunted

Only after a proper sentiment shift will the market make its real move.

Coming back to the recent recovery from $4100, I still consider it a liquidity sweep and reversal, not a confirmed trend shift or a strong base.

This year, we’ve seen multiple strong bullish moves in gold, but the market has repeatedly returned to selling. The reason is simple psychology:

For years, gold moved in a one-sided uptrend, and many traders missed that rally. Now, after the recent crash, those same traders are trying to find buying opportunities — and the market is continuously trapping them.

Until weak hands are fully liquidated and traders lose confidence in buying, I don’t expect a clean trend reversal.

Now, the most important level for me is $4410.

This is my key decision-making zone.

• If gold sustains above $4410, it could signal a long-term bullish continuation
• But if we see a sharp rejection from that level, it will confirm that the market is still in a trap phase

In that case, gold could eventually break the $4025 low and even drop below $4000.

My Trading Plan for the Upcoming Week:

• If gold breaks $4225, I will look for buying opportunities
  • Targets: $4247–$4268
  • I will close my buying positions in that zone
• The $4270–$4300 zone looks choppy to me
  • From there, I expect a reversal
  • I will look for selling opportunities with confirmation
  • Targets: $4150–$4130
• Around $4134, I consider it a strong institutional buying level
  • From there, I expect a strong buying move for bigger targets

Why I Expect an Upside Move at Market Open:

If we analyze Friday’s price action, it clearly favored buyers. That’s why I expect bullish pressure at the start of the week.

Also, if the market moves up directly:

• Traders will jump into buying at higher levels
• These buyers can later be trapped easily

At the same time, I don’t expect the market to drop immediately, because many traders were holding selling positions at the close. Trapping those sellers is important.

If the market drops first toward $4134 and then rises:

• It will give traders a comfortable buying opportunity
• They will believe the liquidity sweep is real

But I believe that assumption would be wrong.

The market should not give easy entries at the bottom early in the week. Instead, it will likely move up first, then drop sharply — creating fear among buyers and confidence among sellers.

That’s where market makers take advantage.

That’s my complete view for the week.

I hope this detailed psychological analysis along with key levels helps you understand the market better and gives you something valuable to learn from.

Volatility is increasing, and volume is strong — which means there are good opportunities ahead. The goal now is to capture clean moves and aim for bigger targets.

Let me know your market view as well — I’d like to hear your perspective.

As per our last analysis, after the breakdown below $4100, we were expecting a reversal — and we got a very strong confirmation of that yesterday.

Gold delivered an excellent one-sided “rocket” move during the late New York session, just a few hours before the market closed. This move trapped a majority of sellers who had entered positions at lower levels. Their stop losses were hit aggressively, which created a sharp stop-loss hunt rally.

At the same time, the minimum target I mentioned — around $4173 — was also cleanly broken, confirming strong upside momentum. Overall, it was a very impressive bullish move.

But the real question is:

Has gold changed its direction, or is it still bearish?

Let’s break it down.

There’s no doubt that we saw a proper liquidity sweep and reversal yesterday. Honestly, this move was expected. For the past few weeks, gold has been consistently bearish, and when a major support like $4100 breaks, it naturally attracts panic sellers.

Many traders jumped into selling positions randomly — and this is exactly the kind of liquidity the market needed. To trap those sellers, the market makers pushed price strongly upward.

Current Market Psychology

Right now, the situation is very interesting.

Most traders will hesitate to buy because:

• The recent fall in gold was very strong
• The overall trend has been bearish for weeks

So naturally, the majority of the crowd will still prefer selling, expecting further downside.

But here’s the key insight:

Since a major liquidity sweep has already happened, continuous downside from here becomes less likely.

Instead, the market’s focus now will likely be:

• Trapping remaining sellers at lower levels
• Trapping fresh intraday sellers

Important Comparison

We saw a similar strong upside move around May 28, but back then, gold couldn’t sustain because bearish pressure was very strong. Eventually, the market continued downward.

Because of that past behavior, many traders will again expect the same outcome — more downside.

But this time, the outcome may be different.

This time:

• Sellers below $4400 could get trapped
• The market may push higher before deciding the next major direction

Today’s Intraday Plan

For today, my plan is very clear:

I will prefer:

• Waiting patiently, OR
• Taking small scalps

Because after such a strong move, the market usually doesn’t continue in one direction immediately.

What I Expect Now

Right now:

• Traders who missed yesterday’s rally will see today’s retracement as a buying opportunity
• At the same time, sellers are also getting opportunities due to the formation of lower low structure in the short term

Because of this mixed behavior, the market is creating confusion on both sides.

Key Level to Watch: $4208

As long as gold does not give a strong breakout above $4208:

• I expect a zigzag selling move
• Sellers will keep entering
• Buyers (who are entering early) will keep getting trapped
• Their stop losses will be hit repeatedly

Eventually, buyers may lose confidence and believe:

>

And that’s exactly when the market could again deliver a strong liquidity hunt move on the upside.

Upside Potential

There is still room for gold to move toward $4278.

As mentioned in my previous analysis:

• Below $4420, many sellers’ stop losses are still pending
• The market may target those levels

Key Buying Zone

I am watching $4132 – $4146 as a critical zone.

From this area, I expect:

• A strong buying reaction
• Potential move toward $4200+

If gold gives a strong breakout above $4208, then:

• I will directly target $4278

Final Thoughts

• Weekly volume is strong
• In such conditions, it’s better to aim for bigger targets
• Be patient, wait for confirmation, and execute with confidence
• Manage risk properly and hold trades with conviction

That’s my complete plan for today.

I hope this detailed psychological and technical breakdown helps you understand the market better and prepares you for trading.

Good luck for the last trading day of the week — hope you close it in profit.

Also, I’d like to know your view —

what’s your market analysis? Share it in the comments.

Gold trading is about to become extremely interesting because the situation has changed significantly. Gold has finally broken down this year’s low around $4100, and now traders are confused — whether we will see a strong liquidity sweep and reversal from here, or if the downside will continue further.

No doubt, many traders were buying above $4100, believing it was a strong support and that gold would hold above it. But overall, it seems like this year the market has been focused on removing weak hands — and market makers are doing this aggressively. The more weak participants they eliminate now, the stronger and healthier the market structure will be for future growth.

If I explain the reason behind this fall in simple terms — gold has been in a strong uptrend for the past few years. Everyone knows gold is real money with limited supply, but that doesn’t mean it will keep going up in a straight line. It is still a tradable asset, so both upward and downward movements are natural.

In the long term, gold will likely continue higher due to high demand and limited supply. However, due to geopolitical factors, gold had already seen a massive rally. So, a healthy correction and consolidation phase was necessary — and that is exactly what we are seeing in 2026.

Most of the crowd missed the previous bull run. So when gold started correcting this year, people aggressively started buying, expecting continuation. But the market understood this retail psychology — that most traders were biased toward buying — and slowly trapped them by creating hope and then pushing the market lower.

Now, the situation is different:

• Many traders are already in loss
• Some are confused about direction
• Some are panic selling

This is where things get interesting.

Current Market View

As per my analysis, gold has broken below $4100 and is currently trading under this key level. We are seeing small selling moves, which is attracting late emotional sellers expecting further downside.

But in reality, there is always a right time to buy and sell.

Smart traders who sold near $4400–$4500 have likely already booked profits after the $4100 breakdown. However, retail traders usually enter after major support/resistance breaks — which is exactly what is happening now. After such a strong selling move and breakdown, most people are now selling at the bottom.

That is why, based on this behavior, I am planning buy setups today.

Key Level & Plan

I have an important institutional level at $4085.

• As long as no 4H candle closes below $4085, I believe further downside is limited for now.
• Gold has already given a major breakdown, so immediate continuation selling becomes difficult.
• Instead, the market may focus on trapping late sellers who entered after the breakdown.

Possible Scenario

If a liquidity sweep and reversal starts:

• Gold can move upward toward $4278 to $4420
• This move will attract buyers again (especially those who were previously trapped)
• Once enough liquidity is built on the upside, market makers may again push the market down

Because trend is still bearish — just because we see a bounce doesn’t mean a full reversal has started.

Psychology Behind My View

Right now:

• Sellers are entering late
• Buyers are trapped
• Market is creating confusion

In my opinion, a true bullish reversal will only happen when most people completely lose hope in buying gold. When everyone becomes fully bearish — that’s when a real reversal can begin.

Thursday Plan

For today (Thursday):

• I am bullish intraday
• My focus is to trap sellers
• I will follow my marked levels and structure on the chart

This is my overall gold market analysis. It should give you clarity on what’s happening and what could come next.

Now I’d like to hear your view — what’s your analysis on gold?

So as per my weekly analysis, the structure we expected in gold is playing out exactly the same way in the market. Along with that, I clearly mentioned in my analysis that above $4277, the market could show a small upside move just to create liquidity. Due to strong bearish pressure, the bearish trend would continue, and we would see a sharp decline after the breakdown of $4277—and that’s exactly what is happening right now.

You can read the detailed psychological breakdown of this entire move in the repost shared below. Now let’s understand what the next move in gold could be and how we can plan our trades.

Right now, a panic situation has been created in gold, which is clearly visible in the price action. There is aggressive one-sided selling happening in the market. At lower levels, sellers are still building positions for further downside continuation, while aggressive buyers are also buying, assuming it’s a discount opportunity, with a stop-loss around $4100, which is the yearly low.

At the same time, traders who previously bought from $4100 are now squaring off their positions. Because of all these factors, panic is clearly visible in the market.

In this kind of price action, taking direct buying entries would be pure stupidity, in my opinion. After such a strong fall, buying randomly without any key level is something only emotional retail traders do. Small buying moves will happen, but they will be used as liquidity by the market.

We are currently near $4100, which is the yearly low. Because of this, many people are trying to buy at every small bounce, thinking it’s a good opportunity. But I believe that even after such heavy selling, most traders are still trying to buy—and that will be their biggest mistake.

I strongly believe that in the next few hours or by the end of the day, the market is likely to break $4100, and most of the buyers’ stop-losses will get hunted. Along with that, a big psychological trap is about to be set in the market.

Let me explain that trap briefly:

As gold slowly approaches $4100, most buyers will get wiped out. Since we are near the yearly low, people are continuously buying small dips. But in my opinion, until the market hunts all liquidity, no real move will happen.

So once $4100 breaks, we might see a strong reversal during off-hours (like market closing time or the Asian session), driven by market makers. This reversal will be designed to trap late sellers who entered during the fall.

Another trap I noticed today is the $4265 resistance, which the market respected. Last week, we saw a strong buying move from this level. Many traders likely sold from this resistance, expecting continuation.

If I’m right, after sweeping liquidity below $4100, gold might show a temporary strong upside move to attract buyers and scare sellers. If such a reversal happens, many traders will assume gold is heading toward a new ATH and will jump into buying again.

But after a small sideways movement, I expect gold to continue its downtrend again.

Because as I clearly mentioned in my weekly analysis, until gold gives a proper bullish daily close above $4412 on a major timeframe, my bias will remain bearish.

For today, I prefer to stay on the selling side.

According to me, gold will most likely break $4100 in the next few hours.

Any intraday buying happening above $4100 or around $4132—if we see a small timeframe buying move of around 100–150 pips—we will wait for it to complete. Then, as soon as we see selling pressure returning, we will look for fresh sell entries targeting $4132 and $4110.

I am not expecting any strong recovery today because selling has already been very aggressive since market open. Only if market makers decide to manipulate heavily can we see a full recovery without breaking $4100.

So overall, based on market psychology and price behavior, I remain bearish and will focus on trapping buyers and taking selling opportunities.

I hope you liked this analysis of gold’s next move based on market psychology and key levels.

Trade with clarity and avoid emotional decisions, because many traders are already emotionally affected in this phase. Stay focused and trade practically.

Good luck to everyone—wishing you a profitable day.

By the way, what’s your view on the market? What are you expecting in gold in the coming sessions? Let me know in the comments 👇

So last week was extremely shocking for many gold traders and for the overall global market. We saw a major drop in gold again, which created a strong panic environment in the market.

According to price action, most traders were expecting gold to move into a buying trend because of the May 28 low. From that level, we saw a strong bullish move, so respecting that momentum, gold should have continued higher. But instead, gold broke down.

To be honest, the $4590 level was very important last week. Gold kept getting rejected multiple times from this level, clearly indicating that it was not interested in moving higher. Along with that, another key level was $4454. Gold should have taken a strong retracement above this level, but it failed. As soon as $4454 broke down, we saw a sharp fall, trapping all buyers badly.

The biggest psychological trap was created near the $4365 level (May 28 buying zone). If you backtest the chart, you’ll notice that a strong reversal also happened around the same area on March 27. Because of this, many traders marked it as a strong support and planned buys from there for big targets.

But in a bearish market, previously tested supports don’t act as support—they act as resistance. Instead of holding, they become liquidity zones. Buyers become liquidity, and that’s exactly what happened last week.

Now, if we understand the overall psychology of gold in 2026, it’s clear that the market is continuously trapping buyers. I believe that until gold completely wipes out maximum buyers or destroys their hope of big upside targets, we won’t see any real bullish trend.

All the buying happening right now is just liquidity generation. The overall trend remains bearish, even on higher timeframes. A few years ago, when gold was continuously rising, no one was ready to buy—everyone wanted to sell. But now, after a strong bullish run till 2026, when everyone has turned bullish, the market has started exiting liquidity.

Weak hands, random traders, and even physical investors are all getting trapped. Most of the crowd now wants to invest in gold for big targets, and the market is giving them opportunities again and again—only to trap and liquidate them later. That’s the current market psychology.

Now let’s talk about the plan for next week.

There’s no major red folder news, except CPI on Wednesday—so keep that in mind.

Last week, gold formed a low around $4311 before closing. Since this is near a round number, many traders likely placed their stop-loss around $4300 or slightly below. Considering the selling pressure, I expect a flat or gap-down opening to trap overnight buyers holding positions near $4300.

There’s a strong level around $4277 where I expect some buying. Based on past price action (March 23–24), buyers may again try to enter from this zone. So yes, a buying move is possible from $4277—but I believe this will again be for liquidity generation, not a real trend reversal.

After a temporary upside, there’s a strong selling zone around $4408–$4452. From this zone, I expect a strong rejection that could push gold down toward $4184–$4129.

$4277 may act as temporary support, but once it breaks strongly, we can see another sharp downside move.

Also, the $4408 level (marked on my chart) is very important from a weekly timeframe perspective. Until a daily candle closes strongly above this level, no valid bullish trend will start—this is very clear to me.

Yes, buying is possible above $4277, but again, only for liquidity. And since last week ended with heavy selling, if Monday starts with selling, we might first see an upside move to trap aggressive sellers (because panic is already in the market). After liquidity is generated, gold can continue its downside move.

I hope you liked this detailed psychological breakdown along with key levels. Get ready for next week’s trading.

Good luck to everyone—may your week be profitable!

By the way, what’s your trading plan? Let me know in the comments 👇

So for the past 4 hours, the market has been mostly ranging, and traders are confused about the next direction. At the same time, NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) and the unemployment rate news are due within the next hour. Because of this, the market is intentionally moving sideways to trap as many traders as possible—whether they are placing buy/sell trades or setting buy stops and sell stops.

Now the big question is: who will win, and what can we expect from NFP? Let’s quickly understand this through market psychology.

At the moment, a lot of liquidity has already been built in the market—and that’s exactly what the market wants. But from my perspective, sellers are more visible right now. If you look at the structure of this week, the market has been forming a top almost every day and then continuing downward, sweeping previous day lows.

However, today is different. The market gave a strong upside move without sweeping Thursday’s low, and now it is showing a reversal below Thursday’s high. Overall, higher lows have already been formed this week. Due to this reactive price behavior, many traders have entered sell positions again around the 4470 zone. Based on market psychology, it’s quite clear that a majority of traders are currently biased toward selling.

According to me, during NFP, gold might first hit sell stops and then push upward, breaking Thursday’s high. This could trap most of the sellers. At the same time, traders who placed sell stops will also get trapped as the market moves upward after triggering them.

Then, because of the volatility during NFP, random buyers may jump into the market. To trap them as well, the market could show a small downside move after the pump.

So overall, I’m expecting a pump followed by a small dump during NFP, with the market potentially closing near or below the 4500 level.

Personally, I don’t prefer trading late today. I’ll either trade after NFP or at the start of the NYC session. Since it’s the weekend and considering how the market has behaved this week, I don’t expect a very big move today. Instead, the market might invite more sellers into the weekend and then deliver a strong upside move on Monday.

For that, a strong closing above 4503 is important. Sellers have been entering based on lower highs, and there’s a lot of liquidity sitting in the market. So at some point, a strong bullish move is likely to happen to sweep that liquidity.

For now, I remain bullish on gold above 4442. As long as there is no strong 30-minute bearish candle closing below this level, I will not shift to a bearish bias.

So I hope you liked this short and simple NFP plan. NFP is a highly volatile event, so trade carefully. If your capital is small, it’s better to avoid trading.

Good luck for the last trading day of the week—I hope you all close the week in profit.

By the way, what’s your NFP plan? Let me know in the comments.

No doubt, this week gold has been behaving very range-bound and choppy, especially on the higher timeframes. A roller-coaster type of price action has been clearly visible — the market is moving straight up and then straight down without any clean continuation.

Gold is still holding around the 4500 level. There hasn’t been any strong bullish move above it, nor any clear bearish move below it. This consolidation is happening due to ongoing geopolitical factors as well as market psychology, which is keeping price stuck in this zone.

Now, there are some interesting psychological observations here.

If you notice this week, gold has been sweeping the previous day’s low almost every day, but it has not been sweeping the highs formed since Monday. This indicates a lower high structure on the weekly perspective. Because of this, most traders are trying to sell from the top, believing the market is bearish.

Even today, many traders are expecting the same — a push up followed by a reversal. But in my view, the market might play a different game.

As of now, the market did not sweep Thursday’s low and instead showed a strong reversal from above it. This has trapped sellers who were targeting a breakdown of the day’s low. Despite being trapped, many of them are still holding their positions or even adding more sell trades.

According to my plan, the market may first show a buying move. After that, a small pullback (selling) could happen, which will attract more sellers thinking it’s another lower high. But once a reversal appears after that, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities.

Also, since today is Friday, I’m not planning for very large targets because the market may keep both buyers and sellers confused around the 4500 zone.

Key level:

4442 is important. As long as there is no strong bearish 30-minute candle closing below it, I won’t target lower levels.

On the 5-minute timeframe, I will treat selling as retracement. If sellers get trapped, I’ll look for buying setups targeting 4462 → 4488 → 4502.

In my view, the ideal selling (if it comes) should happen near 4500. That’s where many traders will enter sells with stop losses above it. Then, next week (possibly Monday), the market could deliver a strong upside move and target those sellers.

Because of the current lower high structure, many traders are already stuck in sell positions — and the market often moves sharply against such crowd positioning.

So for today, this is my simple analysis with key psychological insights and important levels. Hope you found this plan useful and are ready to trade the last day of the week.

By the way, what’s your trading plan? Let me know in the comments. ⬇️

Gold is still playing its dirty game near 4500, a level it has been respecting for the past 3 weeks. No doubt, 4500 is a very important level, and since it’s near the lower side, many traders are still trying to build swing buy positions from here. Because of this, the market keeps breaking out above 4500, shows a bit of momentum, and then reverses — creating a roller-coaster situation.

Right now, the market is not even respecting price action. As you all saw last Thursday, we got a strong upside move. Ideally, the market should have continued immediately due to strong bullish pressure. However, random buyers also entered the market, and to trap them, the market is currently showing selling pressure. The goal is to either force these buyers to book small profits or close trades out of fear and switch to a selling bias. After that, just like last Friday, we could see a strong upside move. This is my view — I am still completely bullish. Yes, selling is happening, but it looks like a trap to me. This move is mainly to shake traders’ confidence and mindset.

If you observe, last week’s closing area acted as resistance on Monday, leading to a downside move. Then again on Tuesday, the market reacted from the same area without breaking Monday’s high and moved down again. Many traders entered sell positions on Tuesday with stops above Monday’s high, especially after seeing a retracement. So clearly, a lot of random sellers have entered the market. The market will likely trap them too — but before that, it may push further down to wipe out buyers first. Once Tuesday and Monday lows are broken, most buyers will exit their positions and shift to a selling bias — and that’s when a strong reversal could happen.

Right now, you can see the market has taken support multiple times near Tuesday’s low, which suggests a breakdown is likely soon. Very close to that is this week’s low (Monday’s low around 4447), which also looks likely to break — mainly to trap maximum buyers. On the 4H timeframe, there is a large red candle with a big wick, which indicates many retail positions are built there. Remember: when gold takes support with large wicks, it’s often fake. A valid support usually has a small wick and a strong body.

From a price action perspective, I don’t expect a reversal from Tuesday’s low. As I said, after breaking Tuesday and Monday lows, I expect a reversal around 4440. Also, the market is currently trading below an important zone of 4488–4503. As long as price is below this, sellers will appear strong. But once this zone breaks, I believe we will see a strong continuation on the upside in gold.

So this is my simple plan for today. Hope you all find it logical and helpful. Good luck for Wednesday.

By the way, what is your trading plan? Do let me know in the comments.