Variance My.....
After putting some serious time in at Euchre 3D. After years of casual rated. Playing very scarcely. With more casual than anything until this past rolling calendar year. I have some numbers for you to think about. Plus I have my own firm conclusion about this app now. That I am completely confident about.
Mind you when I say days. I dont mean culmative days played on the app. I mean days as in Monday through Sunday. Type days. As in consecutive days played. Or total days played. If there was a break and there was.
Ok down to business.
I've played at all sorts of websites and apps over the years. I've attained the highest rung and or rating at all of them. I can now say 3d rated. Is hands down the worst with its quirks. Every site has them. If you play long and often enough you'll see it. I've said this on numerous occasions.
People like to talk about variance in the game and I understand that. There is variance. However to get the type of variance I've experienced. Something has to be very wrong. I've never seen it so wrong at one place.
Starting from my peak on Feb. 26th at 2965 to March 7th 2593. Nine days of play. I dropped. -372points. 9days!!!
Then I had my accident on that day and I had a life re-adjustment. I didnt play for a long time. Thanks to Lefty. I started to play last week again. From August 4th to today. I've continued to drop another -129 pts. Although Im starting to make some progress from my bottom. The day isn't over yet. It's not as bad as the first 9 days, but these last at are still brutal.
In these brief days of play, it's barely half a month of play. I've seen my 56% win percentage go down to 53.1% plus my call percentage from 30% to 28.1%. I have about 4k total lifetime played on the app, only 3k and change on this phone. I've been losing a ton of games. Sure, everyone loses. No matter who you are but at the rate, I'm losing games to adversely affect my numbers like they have. I've never seen it before since I've become a consistently steady player. You will have ups and downs, but the type of downs Im experiencing is something crazy. Well, maybe I'm not as good as I think I am? Maybe I have too many flaws in my game? So that's why this is happening? I think not. Do I have flaws? Yes. Everyone does. However, my flaws are not so bad to cause such a high Variance. So what is it then? Good question. With what I've seen in card distribution, loners, and hand structuring. Plus, you factor in all the subpar play by partners. Which is part of the game and creates its built in variance coupled by how good one plays themselves. That will contribute to it. I believe algorithmically there is an issue that might be tied to rating of the players on the tables and perhaps the time of day as well. There certainly is definitely a pattern inbthe algorithm. That if you are in it. Unless you are on the favorable side. There is nothing you can do. There are too many first hand loners. Too many loners for the overall part. Plus too many hand configurations that give you an automatic calls regardless of skill. There are times that you'll have games more even and skill does rule the day. I find that is later at night and with higher rated. Mid day is completely different play it seems. Anyways I'm going on for a bit. These are my thoughts.
These thoughts, perspectives, observations and ramblings is not from someone new to the game. Nor new to the up and down nature that Euchre can be. Take it for what its worth.
VarianceMyButt
Edward