u/Temporary-Koala974

Gold pumping hard

Gold pumping hard

With yields being down and DXY down like nearly 1%, Gold and Silver are having a nice day of rally, it's been non-stop at the moment...

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 16 hours ago

Brand new Polymarket - which month will Anthropic IPO?

Honestly, its a pure guess at this point, we've got no rumours, but given 4 months to go for 2026, I'm betting on the last 3 months

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 16 hours ago

What are these wild swings in SNDK lol

Was up like 9% yesterday...my perps position, made at 1619 was up big....now its nearly back to cost....we've got insane volatility right now

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 1 day ago

61% odds of next Mythos-Class model released by Sept 15

New market but odds are pricing in for 61% chance of a mythos type model released by Claude

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 1 day ago

Market is now at 71% odds for no change in rates in Sept meet

Honestly, this seems more like the truth after the latest CPI and oil market being flat despite gradual flaring up of tensions again in the middle east

i.redd.it
u/Temporary-Koala974 — 1 day ago

AOC got 3 points bump from yesterday

Well....she's now the prime candidate for presidential nominee as per the Polymarket

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 6 days ago

Hmmm....wild swings in this new market

Trump officials did say that they were considering capital gain tax cuts in lead-up to the midterm elections, held in Nov, so if they have to announce it, it'll be in next 2 months

Again...this will only benefit the wealthy

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 6 days ago

Should have bought the dip in $SPCX

I was bullish on SPCX as it kept dropping after earnings report and expiry of stock lockup, and here we go, its up 9% and what's more wild thing is that Morgan Stanley thinks it can hit a high of $600, that would be really bonkers imo....

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 7 days ago

Odds of Rubio were at just 9% at the start of 2026, now at 23%

Guy is gaining more cult and now trails JD Vance of Republican Presidential Nominee for 2028 elections

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 10 days ago

Odds fell for 25bps increase in Sep Fed meeting

After the latest job report where US lost 23k jobs in July, odds fell sharply for any fed rate hike

It was at 60% on Aug 1, but fell to less than 40% after the report, meanwhile odds for no change shot up to 63%

seems like gold and risk assets got more room for rally after this

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 12 days ago

Gold on absolute tear today

I had it, but took profit yesterday when it hit resistance of $4,100 and it did come lower after that but what it's been doing lately reminds me of January days when such days were common...good to see Gold coming back to its glory days

And this rally also gives me confidence of US-Iran issues resolving soon

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 15 days ago

Market pricing in very high odds of end of Iranian blockade by USA

So, we could have announcement from Trump in next week that there will be end of Iranian blockade

This all seems real for this time, and rally in Gold convinced me of it

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 15 days ago

I guess Oil will make a reversal once Iran denies any talks

So, far multiple US representatives and foreign ministers have confirmed of some ongoing talks to reopen the strait of hormuz, but we've heard nothing from Iran yet...and Iran has always denied any reopening without they getting financial commitments...so this seems like staged to me and we could see reversal in oil once Iran comes out and denies all of this

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 16 days ago

Apple got smoked

Tech stocks have seen wild swings this week and now it is Apple's turn

Apple is down more than 8% after its Q3, and it was the best ever quarter for Apple, beating expectations on all fronts

What got investors nervous was weaker than expected Q4 guidance, Apple is expecting revenue growth of around 9-11%, while analysts had estimated 12%

I'm buying the dip here though

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 20 days ago

WTF just happened

Yesterday, Apple was trading at 95% odds of ending up as the largest company by end of July, but odds flipped quickly once Apple announced lower earnings guidance, stock dropped over 7%, and NVIDIA's odds shot up

And all this happened on the last day of July, crazy market

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 20 days ago

Apple free money?

One day left for this market to resolve and Apple is clearly the winner here, NVIDIA has just 9% chances after recent selloff, and Apple is sitting at 91%, and with a day to go, odds seem like in Apple's favour with still 10% to be made on this market

u/Temporary-Koala974 — 20 days ago