Right now ETH has approached an important buyer interest zone where local position building may begin. After the recent drop, the market is slowly moving into an area where buyers could start becoming more active again and liquidity may begin forming around a potential local bottom.

The $1,980–$2,100 range looks interesting because strong demand could appear there. Price has already reacted to this zone before, and overall it still looks like an area where buyers may try to build positions.

Tonight the market will also be watching the FOMC meeting very closely. The main focus will not only be on the interest rate itself, but also on the Fed’s tone, inflation comments and any signals about future monetary policy.

For now, the main upside target remains around $2,250–$2,300. This area could easily become a strong resistance zone where profit taking and increased seller activity start appearing again.

At the same time, I still wouldn’t rule out one more move down toward the $1,800 area before the market forms a cleaner recovery structure.

⚠️P.S. This is an analytical review, not financial advice. Manage your risks and make trading decisions strictly within your own strategy.

I used to think psychology was just an excuse people used after bad trades. But after a few years in crypto I realized your mood changes everything. When I’m tired or stressed I overtrade, enter too early and start forcing setups that aren’t even there. Same strategy, same charts, completely different results depending on my headspace. Edge matters, but mindset can still ruin a good system fast.

Now if I feel emotionally off, I’d rather miss a trade than force one. Funny enough, staying out of the market sometimes saves more money than being in it ..

The good part is that after the Fed leadership change, liquidity finally started flowing back into the system. Around $16–25B is expected to enter the economy over the next month alone, and markets are already slowly reacting to it.
But the problem is that processes like this never work instantly. Even with a strong liquidity foundation, the market still needs time to rebuild confidence and absorb new money.

At the same time, headlines about a possible new escalation with Iran are starting to spread again, and crypto honestly looks pretty shaky rn. BTC and altcoins are back testing major global support zones, and if we lose these levels with confirmation, the market could easily enter another painful stress-test phase short term.
One of the more interesting developments lately is that Iran reportedly launched a platform for collecting taxes for passage through the Strait of Hormuz and is accepting BTC payments. The US already pushed back against taxing shipping routes, which adds another layer of tension to the situation.

Right now a full recovery still looks tied to geopolitical stabilization. Until then, the market may continue drifting in a nervous sideways range with periodic selloffs.
Structure still doesn’t look very convincing atm. If buyers fail to show strong reactions soon, this slow bleed and choppy sideways phase could continue longer than many expect.

Yesterday Bitcoin dropped to $78,713, and today buyers are trying to push the price back above $80,000. Overall, the latest inflation data turned out far from positive for the crypto market. Institutions clearly understand this, which is reflected in spot Bitcoin ETF flows on the 13th alone, outflows reached $630.4 million.

Right now BTC has no strong bullish catalysts or positive news to support a major rally. The pressure is slowly shifting toward sellers, and every move upward is becoming harder for buyers to sustain.

It’s also becoming increasingly clear that rate cuts are unlikely this year. The Fed continues fighting inflation and keeping financial pressure high. For the crypto market, this remains another obstacle for growth.

At the moment Bitcoin is trading around $79,820, and the next major downside zone sits near $76,000.

After a strong week of upside momentum, the market is starting to move into a local correction and profit taking phase. The latest impulse higher was very aggressive, so the current structure looks more like a natural pause before the next move forms. After such an overheated short term rally, the probability of a pullback is gradually increasing and over the next few days I expect continuation of the corrective move.

The main downside target right now sits around $87. This area could become an important support zone, a liquidity sweep area and potentially a place where buyers start rebuilding positions again. That’s why the reaction around this level will matter a lot. Especially important will be the speed of the decline, volatility and overall buyer activity.

After strong expansions like this, markets often need time to cool off a bit, redistribute liquidity and clear weaker positions before continuation higher. Corrections like this can happen even inside strong bullish trends and do not always signal a full reversal.

Additional pressure is also coming from the macro side. Recent inflation data increased concerns across financial markets, while traders are beginning to price in a more aggressive Fed stance again. Inflation remains elevated and expectations around tighter monetary policy are starting to grow.

Right now it probably makes more sense not to chase price after such a strong move and instead focus on how the market reacts near key support zones.

P.S. This is only a market analysis and not financial advice.

Hi everyone,

Today the new US inflation data came out and just like I mentioned in previous market reviews, the numbers were not in favor of the bulls.

CPI came in at 3.8% versus the 3.7% forecast. Just two months ago inflation was sitting at 2.4%.

The main driver was energy prices. They jumped 3.8% in a single month and accounted for nearly half of the total increase. Gasoline rose 5.4% while electricity prices climbed another 2.1%. Military conflicts under the Trump administration became one of the direct catalysts behind the inflation spike.

Stock indexes reacted with weakness, but Bitcoin still hasn’t shown major volatility yet.

BTC is currently trading around $80,890. Price action still looks very cautious and honestly doesn’t inspire confidence for a continuation of the rally.

Right now BTC remains stuck around the massive $80k zone. If price loses this level, sellers could fully regain control and drag the market toward $76k pretty fast.

I still lean bearish for now and don’t really see strong reasons for upside continuation yet. CPI data only strengthens that view.

The market continues moving within a bullish impulse, and the first upside target has already been reached successfully.

The $82,000 level has been tested, while the $83,800 target is currently being worked through.

At this stage the structure still looks strong, and buyers continue holding control of the move. Even though price already reached an important resistance area, the upside potential still remains open.

The next likely target sits around $86,000. This zone could become the final stage of the current impulse and potentially attract heavier seller activity alongside larger profit taking.

From a technical perspective the market still shows no confirmed signs of a full reversal, which makes opening shorts at current levels look way too early. Even despite the overheated conditions, buyers are still controlling momentum and the bullish structure has not been broken yet.

For a real short setup the market still needs a cleaner formation such as weak reaction at resistance, visible loss of momentum, a reversal pattern or a breakdown of local structure.

At the same time there are several fundamental factors that could start putting pressure on the crypto market later on.

The first concern comes from inflation fears. Markets are increasingly worried that inflation could accelerate again, which raises the chances that the Federal Reserve may keep rates higher for longer, delay future cuts or even discuss another hike if macro conditions worsen.
Additional uncertainty is also coming from growing discussions around hantavirus risks. It is still far too early to compare the situation to previous global events, but markets are already starting to price in potential instability and broader economic concerns.

If fear around this topic continues growing, it could increase investor nervousness, trigger capital rotation into safer assets and create stronger volatility across global markets.

What we got from the latest sentiment check is actually still pretty optimistic. Around 55% expect more downside while 45% still believe the market can recover.
I also added a screenshot from another large crypto channel where a similar poll showed a much heavier 70/30 split in favor of continued dumping.
Too many people simply don’t believe growth can start from here.
And even those who believe in a recovery already ask where they should take profits and re-enter lower later. That’s usually how people end up watching the trend without a position.
Months of chop and slow bleeding completely destroyed confidence in the idea of a fast and aggressive rally. But the moment momentum finally returns, interest in crypto will come back insanely fast.
Right now the market still feels dead. Apathy, disappointment and almost zero attention from the public. But it also feels like we’re slowly approaching the point where sentiment starts breaking in the opposite direction.
Markets usually climb when the majority refuses to believe it. The stock market did exactly the same thing.
While everyone was screaming about global war, collapsing markets and $200 oil, stocks kept printing all time highs almost every single day.
Crypto can start moving the exact same way. Against expectations. Against dominant shorts. Against fear.
And now there’s this growing feeling that some global conflicts and macro problems could suddenly begin resolving much faster than expected, giving markets a real window for expansion.
A new Fed chair with softer monetary policy, the possible approval of the Clarity Act, the end of the Iran conflict and maybe even movement toward ending the war in Ukraine for the first time in years, tariffs flowing back into the US economy, fresh liquidity injections and corporate buybacks all of this could become fuel for the next wave of euphoria.
That’s why I see the current recovery as the first signal that people’s attitude toward the market may finally start changing.
Let’s remember this exact sentiment snapshot and see whether the market follows the majority opinion once again… or completely destroys it.

Every trader says they gonna be calm till they see some random coin doing +120% in few hours. Then the brain just melts.

Chats go insane. Twitter starts screaming about “next 100x Candles look parabolic af. You start feeling like everybody making money except you.
And boom. You ape in exactly where smart money starts taking profit.

Then market dumps 30% overnight and suddenly you become long term investor against your own will.
Most people dont lose money because of bad TA. They lose cuz they cant control themselfs.
Truth is simple. You will never buy exact bottom and never sell exact top. Nobody does. Not even those fake gurus posting screenshots with 5000% gains every week.
Good traders wait. Degens chase candles.
If you dont have a plan before entering trade then emotions will make decisions for you. Thats where people get cooked.

Sometimes best trade is literally doing nothing and touching grass while everybody else screaming BULLRUN CONFIRMED
Market always gives another setup. But FOMO makes people think this is the last chance on earth.
And thats exactly why they become exit liquidity.

ETH 4Н

Looking for continuation to the upside from current levels. Trend structure already shifted and price pulled back into the OTE zone where buyers started stepping in again with volume.

Main targets for now are 2422 and 2463 if momentum holds.

ETH/USDT 1D

At this moment the market is still moving inside the scenario that was discussed back on April 22.

The overall structure remains valid for now, while price keeps slowly approaching the main resistance zone where the next major direction will most likely be decided.

Despite the local upside move, opening shorts right now still looks prematue.

The reasons are:
buyers still keep control of the market, momentum remains bullish and price still has not tested the main resistance area yet.

Shorting before confirmation in this type of structure basicaly means trading against the current market trend.

The most important level right now is 2480$.

This zone can become:
profit taking area, place of increased seller activity or even the point where the market starts slowing down or reversing.

A short setup only starts making sense if price reaches 2480$, buyers show weakness and the market starts forming signs of rejection from higher levels.

Only after confirmation of weak buyer reaction the short setup becomes technicaly justified.

At the same time opening longs at current prices also does not look atractive.

The reason is weak risk/reward.

Part of the upside potential has already been realized, price is moving directly into resistance and the probability of a correction slowly increases.

Because of that, entering longs here may become much less efficient from a trading perspective.

P.S. This is only a market overview, not financial advice. Manage your positions based on your own

Everyone’s still bullish on Bitcoin despite the ongoing geopolitical noise. Today the asset broke above $80,000 and is currently trading around $81,600.

In previous reviews I mentioned that price was approaching a level where a reaction was inevitable. Above $80,000 there was a CME gap, so it made sense to sweep liquidity there. At the same time, the overall move looked like a weak grind within a channel, with $80,000 acting as the upper boundary.

Eventually, buyers managed to break through, taking that level and fully closing the CME gap above it. Capital is now actively rotating into Bitcoin, and we’re seeing inertia-driven growth alongside strong moves in equities.

However, as I pointed out before, this rally still doesn’t inspire confidence. The main issue is uncertainty around upcoming inflation data and future Fed decisions. Inflation data comes with a lag, but the direction is fairly clear and it’s not improving. That puts the Fed in a position where they may have to react, which could become a pressure point for an already fragile crypto market.

As for the current zone, it remains critical for Bitcoin’s next move. The level has been taken, liquidity above has been cleared, and shorts got squeezed hard.

From here, there are two paths. If buyers hold above $80,000, it confirms a breakout from the channel that’s been forming since the $60,000 area. If price rejects and drops back below, then this becomes a false breakout, likely followed by a move down a classic shakeout of late longs who already believe $100,000 is next.

Right now the market is at a crossroads. But with key macro data approaching, I lean toward a weaker, red summer for Bitcoin.

The scenario outlined on April 6 has played out cleanly, with price reaching the projected levels step by step. The structure held, and the market respected liquidity zones throughout the move.

At the moment, BTC is showing a strong bullish impulse. Buyers remain in control, while sellers are being pushed out of the market. In this environment, pullbacks tend to be shallow and short-lived, which makes early short positions risky.

With momentum still intact, continuation toward the 82,000–83,800 range remains a valid expectation. This area could act as the next zone of interest, where profit-taking increases and selling pressure starts to build.

Another important factor is the market’s reaction to негатив. Despite geopolitical tension around Iran, BTC has not shown any meaningful downside response. Demand remains stable, suggesting that buyers are confident and willing to ignore short-term pressure.

P.S. This is not financial advice, just market analysis.

Everyone laughed at $10K. Then at $20K. Now even $10K sounds conservativ to some.

But here’s the uncomfortable part no one wants to say out loud . Ethereum still struggles with clear positioning. L2s fragment liquidity. Fees drop but so does value capture.

So what exactly are you pricing at $100K?

A global settlement layer? The backbone of tokenized finance? Or just another liquidity-driven cycle?

Because if ETH ever touches $100K it won’t be because retail believed in it. It’ll be because the system had no alternative.

do you actually believe that happens?