Would you consider this a strong Amazon FBA product opportunity?
I’d like to get some honest opinions from experienced Amazon sellers, especially anyone with experience selling women’s footwear.
I have access to a shoe manufacturer in Gaziantep, Turkey, and I’m considering launching one of their products on Amazon US.
Here are the numbers:
- Manufacturing cost: ~$5 per pair
- Current Amazon selling price of the closest competitor: ~$54
- I’m considering a launch price around $39.99–$40
- Amazon fees at my expected selling price: ~$12.20
- Current estimated shipping cost: ~$5 per pair
- I believe I can reduce shipping to around $2.50 by optimizing the packaging
- That leaves approximately $17.80–$20.30 per unit before PPC, returns, storage and other expenses
The interesting part is the existing competition.
I found a very similar product being sold by a seller whose Amazon store is approximately 1.5 years old, and based on the data I have access to, they appear to be selling 2,000+ pairs per month.
The product is a women's shoe with beaded / embroidered / embellished detailing. It has a relatively distinctive appearance, but there isn't an obvious single keyword or model name that perfectly describes it.
That is actually one of the things I'm trying to understand.
My main question:
Do you think a product like this has the potential to become a strong Amazon seller, or could the competitor's sales be misleading?
If you were evaluating this opportunity, what would you look at before deciding whether the product is worth launching?
I'm particularly interested in your thoughts on:
- Is 2,000+ monthly sales from one competitor a strong enough demand signal?
- How much weight would you give the competitor's sales history?
- Is a $5 manufacturing cost enough of an advantage to make this opportunity attractive?
- Is $39.99–$40 a reasonable price against a competitor selling around $54?
- How difficult is it to launch a similar footwear product from zero reviews?
- Would you be concerned about returns because it's footwear?
- What would make you decide NOT to launch this product?
- If you were in my position, would you test it or walk away?
My current thinking is to test with approximately 100 units first, measure the actual conversion, PPC performance, returns and sales velocity, and then decide whether the product deserves a larger investment.
I’m not looking for generic advice like "Amazon is saturated."
I’d really like to hear from sellers who have actually launched products and can look at these numbers and tell me:
Is this a product you would personally test with your own money? Why or why not?