u/YanekKop

The government of New Zealand has agreed to move ahead with recommendations laid out in a recent sector review report covering small- and medium-sized solar installations for residential and commercial customers. Legalizing plug-in solar is also in the works.

Summary

Driven by the strongest El Niño on record, 2027 is almost certain to set a new temperature record by quite some margin, with a central estimate being +1.76C according to Zeke Hausfather. This is already on top of accelerated warming, driven by record GHG emissions and a reduction in atmospheric aerosols as Hansen and Hausfather noted.

More striking however is that Zeke puts 2026 at almost a 50% chance that 2026 sets a new temperature record (though some data sets will more likely put it in 2nd place) Hansen predicts 2026 will set a new record and has held that prediction since earlier this year. This super El Niño will give us a glimpse of what an average year in the 2030s may be like; an urgent reminder to cut our emissions fast.

Ultimately, how warm the next 18 months will end up will depend on how ENSO system plays out during that timeframe. After all, these are just informed predictions, Mother Nature has the final say.

Hi all, I wanted to ask given all the difficult news we’re confronted with in the climate space, especially with El Niño and the ongoing Canadian fires.

Sources I avoid are subreddits such as collapse and adjacent ones. Also deleted X months ago because of unavoidable doomer content, even with instagram, I see posts cherry picked from X and Bluesky that suggest impending collapse. I genuinely feel that people on those platforms try’s to ‘get it right’ for the worst possible outcome without separating fact from fear.

On the other hand, I give attention to sources that are reputable and balanced. Simon Clark and Just Have a Think on YouTube, Carbon Brief, OWID, and this subreddit just to name a few. They rightfully convey the magnitude of the situation without blowing things out of proportion and discuss solutions and actions that are making a measurable difference.

I’m not here to deny the gravity of the situation, but to highlight the prevalence and harm doomer content has online, and have a discussion on how we should inform the public about the seriousness of climate change and other environmental problems in a factual way.