I know most environmentalists are against it but.
Even if we stop all fossil fuels today. And if we make the whole world go vegan and ban all flights. The current warming is still going to happen and be devastating for all of us. And I doubt we can do even half of that.
So my opnion it's not a matter of "if" but rather "how" and i think the sooner we start planning for it the better chance we have. Stopping fossil fuels won't be enough at this point. Especially with the fact america is not going to do any meaningful contribution until at minimum 2030
An essay about American wildfires that feels particularly relevant right now:
https://nsdavid.substack.com/p/the-age-of-arsonauts-witnessing-the?r=x4ua7&utm\_campaign=post&utm\_medium=web
Feeling hopeless - I live in a beautiful state that is being ruined by humans
As the title says, this study suggests a Climate Response of 1.9-2.6C, with the best estimate at 2.25°C for a doubling of CO2. The EEI based measurement is the less reliable but in my opinion more interesting finding & direction of research, but their reanalysis of past model runs and removing natural variability from the real-life data is also very valuable.