u/ajteitel

*Brissett logged a snap in two other games, but only looking at starts.

	Brissett 2025	Minshew 2024	NFL Avg 2025
Games started	12*	10
Record	1-11	2-8
Passing Touchdowns	23	9	25.3
Interceptions	8	10	11.9
Fumbles	5	6
Sacks	43	29	40.2
Completions/Pass attempts	315/484 (65%)	203/306 (66%)	64%
Pass attempts per game	40.33	30.6	32.1
Passer rating	94.1	81.0	91.4
Yards gained/pass attempt	6.9	6.6	6.5
Adjusted YG/PA	7.1	5.7	6.5
Rushing	lol	lol	better than both

In case anyone was wondering, 2024 average QB stats was better than 2025. Average passer rating of ~92

Also don't bother trying to waive it away with "it was garbage time". It totally was, but the Raiders we not any better. This is between two QBs and what how they played with a bad team.

You don't have to like Brissett, but you have to acknowledge that he is a competent QB. Not a good one, not one who will win you games, but one who can throw the ball often and well. Even if it is garbage time. Anyone who thinks that Minshew is even on Brissett's level, much less that of an actual QB is fooling themselves. If Brissett was cut, he'd get a job within an hour. Competent backups are very rare and very valuable.

If you want Beck to start, I don't blame you. But lets assume the most likely case that a 3rd round QB isn't a day 1 starter for a likely bad team. Here's a list of all QBs drafted in the 3rd round in the 21st century up to 2023. 32 of them total. Colt McCoy sighting.

So which outcome would you rather have for next year?

1. Nearly guaranteed the #1 pick with Minshew and save less than 2% of cap space without Brissett. The cost being that MHJ will fail to show he's worth building around thanks to fewer targets from a worse passer, never see if Wilson's breakout was real or not for the same reason, sapp Love's receiving abilities which is a big part of what makes him special, and McBride... well he does what he always does. A ton of garbage time, but it's not like option 2 would have much less of that.
2. Risk falling to pick #3, 4 with Brissett costing say an extra 5 million guaranteed. Letting him sling it maybe not 40+ times a game, but say 37. Which is about how many times Warner threw per game in 2008. MHJ will have a chance to prove he is worth being a franchise cornerstone, Wilson can show if the breakout was a flash in the pan or not, Love can use his receiving abilities far more often, and McBride... well he does what he always does. A ton of garbage time, but it's not like option 1 would have much less of that.

• Minshew total salary this year of 5.75 mil with 5.14 guaranteed.
• Brissett has a total salary this year of 5.44 mill with 1.5 mil guaranteed. Any reasonable raise won't be more than a drop in what is already a very empty bucket. Plus, it's not our money.

The #1 pick isn't worth losing an entire year of minimally competent QB play for the 10 other players on the field with him. Especially when both are likely getting you a top pick regardless.