u/crusty_skidmarks

Best time to cash out on picks

If you’re like me, you might find yourself with an abundance of picks in 2027 onward.

I’m curious if the ‘tried and true’ strategy of waiting until you’re on the clock to trade your picks is really the best practice, especially with this upcoming class.

Hear me out, because this is kind of against the grain. I’ve personally NEVER seen a class as hyped as ‘27 has been, and I want to capitalize on that in this new era of college football that sees players with early round draft projections stay for an additional year due to NIL. I’m worried that some of the marquee names in this class may stay for another year (hardy, arch?, sellers, etc) and hurt the overall strength of this class, and thus am considering selling a few of my picks now when they’re purely speculative.

Every year we see someone surprising choose to stay in school rather than declare (Henderson in ‘24, Beck in ‘25, Jordan Marshall ‘26, etc) and the back end of the rookie draft gets a little bit weaker. Last year, if you traded a projected late ‘26 1st you were probably expecting it to be someone like Hollywood Smothers or Jordan Marshall, which league mates may have paid a premium for when in reality it turned into someone like Jonah Coleman.

I do NOT want this to be taken out of context, I think that there are enough names in ‘27 that it will be a loaded class regardless, but if someone like LJ Martin gets pushed to an ADP in the 1st because of lack of declares, the picks definitely lose some value.

What do you guys think?

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u/crusty_skidmarks — 1 day ago