u/emeric_ceaddamere

A few key points:

"What the polls have been saying ever since Donald Trump was reelected [is] that the immigration issues and ICE raids are really not even a top five issue [for Latinos]... The anti-Trump numbers are overwhelmingly driven by economic priorities."

"In the same way that we saw a historic shift away from the Democratic party in 2024, we are now seeing an equally significant shift away from the Republican party in 2026. But I want to be very clear for your listeners, it's happening for precisely precisely the same reasons... Latinos were not becoming more Republican. There was no evidence of that. There was plenty of evidence they were moving away from and disillusioned by the Democratic party... The same dynamic is happening in reverse."

"It's important to understand why both parties are not grasping what is happening with the largest, fastest growing segment of the electorate that is also the only true swing vote in America. And it's because of this need, this habitual response to impart this caricature on our community, which is these are all immigrants or they're immigrant related and they're all lying awake at night worrying about ICE. It is important as a human issue for sure, but it is an unfortunate reality in our characterization of this community when 80/85% of our voters are second, third, fourth, and sometimes fifth generation voters who have been here very long time."

"The United States has a very different conception of what social conservatism is, and it's a very Protestant white evangelical understanding of what that is. Catholic theology, especially Mexican and or Latino Catholic theology, is much more focused on social justice and equality and equity. It's what you're hearing from Pope Leo right now. When when evangelical white evangelicals talk about social conservatism, they're talking about pro-life, opposing gay marriage, some of those hot button issues. I'm not going to say they're not resonant issues with Latinos. There is certainly some of that, but Latinos are pro-choice by wide numbers and becoming more so as the second, third, and fourth generation starts to take a bigger share of the Latino electorate. It is the recent migrant that tends to be the most socially conservative... [but] that dissipates immediately after the first generation and Latinos start to look a lot like the rest of the electorate."

(I'm most skeptical of that last point. Even if that's true of Catholic Latinos--which I'm not sure if it is--what about evangelical and charismatic Latinos, of which there are many? He doesn't even mention them.)

Covered on today's PSA: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/uNQB-lIpkts