▲ 23 r/CarltonBlues
Carlton's Wildcard permutations - every scenario, and when we'll actually know
AI did the heavy lifting but I think this covers every scenario.
While a number of scenarios are highly unlikely there may be some weird results with teams resting players and having little to play for.
Here's what AI thinks:
| If Carlton… | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | 9th, play Collingwood | 74% |
| 10th, play Melbourne | 17% | |
| 10th, play Adelaide | 9% | |
| LOSE | 10th, play Adelaide | 68% |
| 10th, play Melbourne | 17% | |
| 10th, play Brisbane | 7% | |
| 10th, play Hawthorn | 5% | |
| 10th, play Geelong | 3% |
UPDATE:
Draws. A drawn Melbourne v Bulldogs game puts Carlton 10th whatever they do; the opponent then follows rows 5–14. Any other draw falls back to the general rule: 7th goes to the lowest of Adelaide, Geelong, Melbourne, Hawthorn and Brisbane on points, ties split on percentage.
u/fort000 — 2 days ago