The Draft Pick - GW3
▲ 8 r/DraftPL+1 crossposts

The Draft Pick - GW3

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I feel like this week is pivotal in determining your players for the rest of the season. New transfers, but more importantly players that have started the season well and are still on your waiver wire just waiting to be picked up or bid on.

Transfer deadline didn’t disappoint this year, let’s face it the transfer market and the Premier League has truly lost the plot. I don’t understand how much players are worth these days and it seems that neither do INEOS as Man United weren’t tempted to join in with the deadline day shenanigans.

Monaco seemed to have fun at least, pissing off both Everton and Chelsea with both Florian Balogun and Lamine Camara transfers not following through. There’s not been this much drama since Real Madrids fax machine caused David De Gea’s transfer to collapse back in 2015.

I’m pretty buzzing not going to lie as I’ve started my season well, 2-0 in both my Fantrax leagues. Long may it continue, let’s get into some players.

DEFENDERS

Metrics are shown at the per 90 level and the length of petal is based on percentiles against all players in the league

Amar Dedic | NEW | 17% owned

Last GW: ~ (26-30) points vs. TOT (A) | Next GWs: BOU (H), LEE (A)

I’ve been really impressed with Amar Dedic so far, 3 games and 3 assists (two in the cup against West Brom). With Newcastle looking great so far under new boss Matthias Jaissle and their defence looking pretty solid, I think he is a must get if you can. Scoring ~30 points is a good indicator to his ceiling this year and with Tino Livromento made of glass, he looks likely to keep his place for a while.

Jorrel Hato | CHE | 18% owned

Last GW: ~ (11-16) points vs. BHA (H) | Next GWs: ARS (A), HUL (H)

Hato has averaged ~(8-20) points in the last two games and has looked bright at wing-back. Big question will be if he keeps his place when £47 million new signing Marco Palestra is fit again. Until that happens though, Hato could be a good pick. Especially with 5 goals conceded in two games and getting this good amount of points.

Reinildo | SUN | 10% owned

Last GW: ~ (12-14) points vs. FUL (H) | Next GWs: BRE (A), ARS (H)

Sunderland bounces back after a disappointing start to the season last week at Ipswich. Their defenders were solid assets last season and with such low ownership for Reinildo so far he could prove to be a steal if he continues his form from the first two games. If Sunderland perform well at Brentford then that will be a good sign to grab him.

Olivier Boscagli | BHA | 13% owned

Last GW: ~ (6-10) points vs. CHE (A) | Next GWs: LEE (H), COV (A)

Boscagli has looked pretty comfortable in his first two games playing at left-back and defensive midfield. I’m not sure if he’ll continue starting for the whole season, but if he does against Leeds at home and you’re desperate for an option I think he’ll be a good pick up. If it’s not him, look to Ferdi Kadioglu (58% owned) who will be looking to improve his performance from last week.

MIDFIELDERS

Metrics are shown at the per 90 level and the length of petal is based on percentiles against all players in the league

Kobbie Mainoo | MUN | 48% owned

Last GW: ~ (11-14) points vs. IPS (H) | Next GWs: EVE (A), MCI (H)

Watching Kobbie Mainoo on Sunday was a joy and I’m hoping, as a United supporter, that he shows Thomas Tuchel what he was missing not playing him this summer. His calmness under pressure and composure is something England missed and I can see him having a big season this year.

Malick Yalcouye | BHA | 3% owned

Last GW: ~ 10 points vs. CHE (A) | Next GWs: LEE (H), COV (A)

Whether or not you think he’s 20 or 35 years old, it doesn’t matter. Yalcouye had a great debut away at Chelsea. Yes, the result wasn’t great but Brighton did well to fight back and are missing some key players. Plus, Brighton quite often get their transfer right. Keep on eye on this kid or man.

Daichi Kamada | NEW | 10% owned

Last GW: ~ 11 points vs. MCI (H) | Next GWs: FUL (A), IPS (H)

Palace have had a tough start to the season, but now with some favourable fixtures coming up it might worth looking at some of their squad. Kamada has been consistent in his first two games and could be a steady option for your fourth or fifth spot midfielder.

Ross Barkley | ASV | 20% owned

Last GW: ~ 10 points vs. ARS (H) | Next GWs: HUL (A), NOT (H)

I don’t think Barkley was particularly great against Arsenal, but he has put up pretty decent ghost points so far this season (9 per game). I’m not sure what his playing time will be like this season with new signings Joāo Gomes and Leon Goretzka, but whenever he plays he seems so have a somewhat decent floor.He’ll be worth keeping on eye other the next few weeks.

FORWARDS

Metrics are shown at the per 90 level and the length of petal is based on percentiles against all players in the league

Dan Ndoye | NOT | 31% owned

Last GW: ~ 17 points vs. LIV (A) | Next GWs: TOT (H), ASV (A)

Could we be getting the Ndoye form which he quite often shows for the Swiss national team? It looks like he has started life well under Oliver Glasner, starting both games and scoring with a cool finish against Liverpool. Hopefully, he can rise to his potential this season and if he does you’ll want him on your team.

Charalampos Kostoulas | BHA | 17% owned

Last GW: ~ 13 points vs. CHE (A) | Next GWs: LEE (H), COV (A)

I think Brighton have a star in the making in Kostoulas and he’s been given an early start this season with Rutter’s injury and Welbeck moving to Chelsea. With an assist last weekend at home to Leeds this weekend I fancy him to get another start and I can see him scoring to. His per90 stats were very impressive last season with taking about 5+ shots a game and being in the top 10 percentile for expected goals and assists. Keep an eye on him.

Promise David | BHA | 16% owned

Last GW: ~ 13 points vs. CHE (A) | Next GWs: LEE (H), COV (A)

Can David Promise to be a successful fantasy asset? I don’t know, but he is massive though standing at 6’5” so he’ll definetly compete for aerial duels. He will be competing for that spot with Kostoulas and Rutter, so at home to Leeds might be an opportunity for him to show the league and Brighton what he has to offer.

Tyrique George | EVE | 35% owned

Last GW: ~ (6-7) points vs. BOU (A) | Next GWs: MUN (H), TOT (A)

I picked up George last weekend and he put again put up a pretty decent floor of ghost points (9per game) for a third choice forward this season. With Iliman Ndiaye leaving I’d imagine this increases George’s minutes a lot this season - even with Jack Grealish returning back to Merseyside. If he breaks out this season and starts adding goals, he’s gonna be some asset.

New Transfers

Metrics are shown at the per 90 level and the length of petal is based on percentiles against all players across the Top 6 European leagues

Bradley Barcola | LIV | -% owned

Transfered from: PSG | Next GWs: IPS (A), FUL (H)

Someone in one of my leagues, spent 99% of their FAAB on Barcola and I’ve got to admit, it would be pretty hilarious if he’s a bust. I don’t think he will be, but let’s face it Liverpool might take some time this season to get going. If he can improve on 11 goals, like he did last season for PSG, then Barcola might ignite a Liverpool resurgence, or if he doesn’t he might end up struggling like Wirtz.

Ibrahim Mbaye | ASV | -% owned

Transfered from: PSG | Next GWs: HUL (A), NOT (H)

Villa have been busy deadline day and have splashed out on 18 year old wonder kid Ibrahim Mbaye. He looks a very exciting prospect and although he’s still learning the game he could be a great third of fourth choice forward as I see Villa turning things around with some good fixtures coming up.

Matias Fernandez-Pardo | NEW | -% owned

Transfered from: Lille | Next GWs: BOU (H), LEE (A)

I did a little research on Fernandez-Pardo and some other young forwards a while back. He’s a pretty versatile forward who played across all three attacking positions for Lille. He registered 8 goals and 5 assists, not amazing, but something to work on and he’s only 20 years old. To be honest, £51 million sound like a lot of money, but lets be real in this market it sounds about right.

Leon Goretzka | ASV | -% owned

Transfered from: Bayern Munich | Next GWs: HUL (A), NOT (H)

Can the experienced Goretzka be the answer to Aston Villas woefully start? He got 5 goals and 3 assists from midfield last year and has knack of being in the right place at the right time. The 30 year old is the experience Villa needed to sign after losing so many key players this summer.

Thank for reading and good luck this weekend.

If you enjoy exploring players, teams and seeing how you can improve your fantasy team please feel free to use my Scouting-Radar tool.

craigheard10.substack.com
u/heardc10 — 10 days ago

The Draft Pick - EPL Newcomers

Hey everyone,

I know some of you might have drafted already, but hopefully you'll get some more information from this post about some of the newcomers. I posted the weekly waiver wire pick ups last season and apologies for lateness - good news I now have a second son!

link to substack

Draft season is upon us and although I see a lot of people suggesting who to pick, I think it’s more important to provide analysis on the players and let you decide.

Ultimately, Fantrax and Sleeper allow customization of scoring in leagues, so understanding the player and what they’re good at is important in determining whether or not you should draft them.

Typically, the majority of the players in the first 5 rounds will be similar from league to league, but those later rounds are the rounds you can pick up some gems that can really deviate your team from the rest of the league.

These is where picking the right transfers and promoted teams players is crucial. Transferred players don’t always hit the ground running and can be a bit of a risk. Hopefully more of these will turn out like N’Golo Kante and not Antony.

Note: all ADP round estimations are based off of 10 man league.

Defenders

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​Luka Vuskovic | BHA | Current ADP: 115 (11th+ Round)

Vuskovic scored 6 goals last season and made an insane amount of duels and defensive contributions. One thing is certain, Brighton rarely make mistakes in the transfer market and I think he will be top tier this year. I’m gonna try and get him earlier than 11th round for certain.

Jeremy Jacquet | LIV | Current ADP: 177 (15th+ Round)

I’m not surprised with Jacquet not being drafted very early as he’s currently not featured during pre-season and Liverpool’s leaky defense from last season is probably putting people off. Keep an eye on him as he may surprise everyone once he gets a run of games.

Tarik Muharemovic | LEE | Current ADP: 192 (15th+ Round)

Leeds new man looks quite impressive statistically as he’s in the top percentiles for defensive contributions per 90. He should slot in nicely with Pascal Struijk heading down to Brighton. He also contributed 2 goals and 2 assists last season.

Bobby Thomas | COV | Current ADP: 169 (15th+ Round)

Could Bobby Thomas be this seasons Danny Ballard? He definitely will be a goal threat this season (3 goals and 4 assists) which is great for a centre back. He’s likely to a bit lot busier at the back this season than last year, but he could end up having a big fantasy year.

Antonio Silva | BOU | Current ADP: 169 (15th+ Round)

Bournemouth rarely get their transfers wrong and another summer goes by where they need to replace a centre back with Marco Senesi going to Tottenham. Senesi was also a great fantasy asset last season. Can Silva fill in for him fantasy wise? He stats suggest him to be a ball playing centre back, but holding out on him until after the first game weeks might be the play.

Dara O’Shea | IPS | Current ADP: 169 (15th+ Round)

I think he’s got a similar profile to Bobby Thomas, however not as much as a goal threat. It’s going to be interesting to see how all the promoted clubs do this season and if they can be inspired by Sunderland and Leeds last year. Both those teams defenders ended up being good fantasy assets!

Leif Davis | IPS | Current ADP: 169 (15th+ Round)

Leif Davis was great at the beginning of the season a couple of years ago and every season a promoted team always seems to have some sleeper just waiting to be picked up. Ipswich have invested a lot in attack this summer, if Davis can be the beneficiary of that, then we’re looking at a great pick up for the season.

Milan van Ewijk | COV | Current ADP: 169 (15th+ Round)

Could van Ewijk be this seasons Leif Davis (I know he’s back) or Alfie Doughty? He got 8 assists in the Championship last season and you can see who contributes a lot in duels and in defensive stats too.

Midfielders

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​Johan Manzambi | AVL | Current ADP: 75 (7th+ Round)

It’s a shame Manzambi got injured in the World Cup and he’ll be hoping to get a few games in before the season starts at Villa. I think he’s got the potential to be a better fantasy asset than Rogers, however he is young and will most likely need time to grow into the league.

Marco Palestra | CHE | Current ADP: 166 (15th+ Round)

Palestra has looked bright in pre-season so far and with it still a little unclear what formation Xabi Alonso will play, Palestra at least looks like he’ll play some part.

Óscar Mingueza | CRY | Current ADP: 224 (11th-12th Round)

Mingueza seems to be a smart signing by Palace as he can play in both wing back roles and in a back 3. With new coach Pierre Sage impressively taking Lens to second place last season with a 3-4-3 formation, you’ll think Palace are suited to surprise people again this season.

Mamadou Sangaré | BRE | Current ADP: 229 (15th+ Round)

Sangaré had the 3rd highest Fotmob rating amongst midfielders in Europe last season and was also in the Ligue 1 Team of the Season. I think I’ll be trying to get him before anyone else even thinks about him In the draft, Brentford rarely recruit poorly.

Hayden Hackney | EVE | Current ADP: 151 (15th+ Round)

Hackney got a well deserved transfer to Everton after being the Championship Player of the Season last year contributing 12 goals and assists in the campaign. His expected assists was more than his assists total last season 7 vs 9, showing he’s a player that creates chances. If your league scores dribbles and duels, he could prove to be a solid pick up!

Anis Mehmeti | BHA | Current ADP: - (15th+ Round)

Mehmeti is another player who put up good figures last season (17 goals and assists). He’s an exciting player that loves to dribble at players and could end up being a great little pick up this season.

Gustavo Hamer | COV | Current ADP: 115 (15th+ Round)

Hamer returns home to Coventry as they return back to the Prem after 25 years away. He’s been a great Championship player, can Frank Lampard make him Premier League quality? He bagged 12 assists last season so is at least worth a gamble.

Victor Torp | COV | Current ADP: 115 (15th+ Round)

If you haven’t had the chance, go look at the goals Torp scored last season. Some absolute bangers and a few free kicks too. He scored 10 goals to 5xG highlighting this.He’s not really a passing midfielder, but one that likes to drive forward and shoot.

Forwards

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​Christos Tzolis | ARS | Current ADP: 150 (15th+ Round)

No one had more assists than Christos Tzolis last year in Europe, with 23 and 17 goals. The biggest question over picking up Tzolis is how much game time he’ll get and if he can repeat the numbers from Belgium. I think it’s at least worth a gamble, even if Vinicius Jnr comes in.

Victor Muñoz | LIV | Current ADP: 109 (10th+ Round)

Muñoz is one of those risks that if it pays off it genuinely could help you win the league. He’s explosive and honestly reminds me a bit of Dan James. So take that as you will. Six goals and two assists in La Liga is okay, I’m interested to see how Iraola will use him and I think Liverpool fans will love his energy.

Gonzalo Garcia | FUL | Current ADP: 115 (12th+ Round)

Garcia will be looking to make a name for himself away from Real Madrid and Fulham might be the perfect place to do so. With Arbeloa bringing him in you’d imagine he’d likely lead the line - especially with Raul Jimenez going back to Wolves. He seems like quite the technical forward so it will be interesting to see how is fantasy points square up.

Álvaro Rodríguez | BOU | Current ADP: 277 (15th+ Round)

With Kroupi injured and Evanilson, who struggled to find form last season, Alvaro Rodriguez could find himself a great opportunity to take the starting spot. Not a super clinical forward, but someone that gets involved with play and duels on the field. Could be good at getting ghost points. We will have to wait and see!

Bazoumana Touré | NEW | Current ADP: 211 (15th+ Round)

Another explosive winger who racked up 14 goals and assists last season in the Bundesliga looks to replace Antony Gordon. Big question will be how much time he gets with Harvey Barnes looking to take that starting spot currently. He’s a good dribbler and puts in a lot of crosses, which are great fantasy assets to have.

Abdul Fatawu | IPS | Current ADP: 149 (15th+ Round)

I drafted Fatawu two years ago when Leicester were promoted, which is mad to think they are now in League One. He was exciting and a decent fantasy asset, but unfortunately he got injured and missed the majority of that season. Despite Leicesters relegation, he was the one few bright sparks with 16 goal involvements. Pick him up if you can.

Daizen Maeda | IPS | Current ADP: 119 (12th+ Round)

Celtic fans will not only miss Maeda’s goal contributions, but his work rate and athleticism. He seems like a managers dream player as his defensive actions and duels for a forward are outstanding. Not sure how 20 goal contributions will convert from the SPL to the EPL, but I’m sure he’s gonna be fun to watch this season.

Emersonn | IPS | Current ADP: 256 (15th+ Round)

Who doesn’t love a Brazilian with a single name? I’ll be honest from the clips I’ve seen him he didn’t blow me away, but he is young, seems athletic and did ai mention he’s Brazilian? He seems to get himself about the pitch, hence his high duels and fairly high card rate for a forward. I don’t know what to expect, but he is new and maybe he ends up playing like Michu, or better yet Ronaldo.

Ultimately, some of these players go into the season with more unknowns than the others - can they adapt to the league, did they fit their new teams play style? Hopefully, you just have a little more information going into draft day or before your season starts.

If you liked the visuals from this analysis please explore the Scouting Radar tool and use the fantasy section to help prepare for your draft!

So who are your sleepers this season and who will you be reaching for?

reddit.com
u/heardc10 — 2 months ago
▲ 2 r/fplAnalytics+1 crossposts

[OC] Scouting Radar - Fantasy Player Comparison Tool

Recently I posted about the app/website I've created Scouting Radar, a tool designed to explore footballers from around the world. I have a section on here specifically for fantasy sports for both the Fantrax/Sleeper format and Fantasy Premier League (FPL) format.

The tool is mobile friendly, but for better analysis desktop is recommended (seen in screenshots below).

So if you still haven't drafted yet, hopefully this can help and if not I'm hoping it can help throughout the season!

Fantrax Format

https://preview.redd.it/79gv9ecspcih1.png?width=2246&format=png&auto=webp&s=bb60d17f64af13f0d9612a3d1fc1584cd5b7c37e

This dashboard allows you to modify custom scoring and even import the scoring system from your own league. In Fantrax/Sleeper mode, "Import from Fantrax" pulls your own league's real scoring rules straight from Fantrax's public API using just your League ID - no login needed, nothing stored on our end - and pre-fills the weight table above with them, fully editable afterward.

Input your Fantrax ID from your league profile or URL and have it connect to the dashboard

ADP and "Fantrax Proj" come from a separate export of your league's real draft data, and the Δ column is there specifically because that number and ours are expected to disagree - it's our stats-based estimate checked against Fantrax's own separate forecasting model,

Turning on "Real ADP adjustment" nudges our score toward what that real market data

Or you can customize scoring manually:

Customize your scoring more using this menu

Once scoring is customized we can make player-to-player comparisons. We can see who our selected players are similar too, customize the statistics we see and view players performance over the last 5 game weeks.

Note: once the new season has begun I'm hoping to add % owned to filters so you can see free agents live in your league.

https://preview.redd.it/kqdxhyp2qcih1.png?width=489&format=png&auto=webp&s=0383ae908a3aa5b77ebaf090400a120f1daff17a

Lastly, view the distribution of players fantasy points across positions to help with planning your draft and finding insight to drop off in certain positions.

https://preview.redd.it/y652pb34qcih1.png?width=1127&format=png&auto=webp&s=789590ddfaf088531d7464b2d44d289ff0e2d34b

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Format

The FPL formatted dashboard connects to the FPL API to pull in data relevant to the format that is globally played by everyone (draft and classic fantasy) . Similarly, to the Fantrax we can make player-to-player comparisons. We can see who our selected players are similar too and view players performance over the last 5 game weeks.

https://preview.redd.it/jpnlvdh5qcih1.png?width=2234&format=png&auto=webp&s=9b45101ec0e7e9450ac54eb00535312bb3a56f8b

https://preview.redd.it/32a8oxk6qcih1.png?width=2234&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4edefa7190ecadb7e4f9c9b36b7b7c115d3f6c8

Hopefully, this will allow you to make easier player comparisons as you plan your draft or use while drafting between picks. Good luck over the next few weeks and of course any feedback to improve this tool is very welcome!

reddit.com
u/heardc10 — 2 months ago
▲ 31 r/DraftEPL+1 crossposts

[OC] Scouting Radar Tool

We’ve all been there, our team gets linked with a player we know little about and start scrambling to find data or Youtube videos of them to discuss with our mates that we actually know what we’re talking about.

In just under three weeks the new Premier League season begins. These upcoming weeks will be filled with more transfer gossip and if you play normal fantasy or draft fantasy you will be trying to work out how to assemble your squad for the upcoming season.

I’ve developed, hopefully, a tool that allows users to explore and compare players performance a little easier. This tool is called Scouting Radar and contains two dashboards, Scouting and Fantasy, that display data visualizations that hopefully allow easier comparison. The main component being Radar Petal Charts that show us the profile of a footballer. This tool is mobile and desktop friendly.

https://preview.redd.it/b19pmhroktgh1.png?width=383&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e0afa2fc3232a87959c61f32e1301a12db1195b

The Data

The data is currently pulled from Fotmob, which if you don’t know what it is then I don’t know what to tell you. Download it. It’s the best football app out there. The data visualizations contain attacking, passing, possession, duels and defending statistics. Additional, biometric, contract and transfer value data is used too.

Both dashboards have relevant filter panels as well as toggles to switch between how the data is displayed.

You can also toggle between per 90 and totals for each statistic.

Scouting

https://preview.redd.it/21faqrdqktgh1.png?width=2246&format=png&auto=webp&s=0fb1e28b16ccf7c4d8c06796a1f3702f1c82ac2c

https://preview.redd.it/qh0v5yxrktgh1.png?width=2246&format=png&auto=webp&s=d6d1cb30bb4f9bdca777fd99f9cae146088d7df1

https://preview.redd.it/3k8pt13tktgh1.png?width=2246&format=png&auto=webp&s=0aa044ad0ba7a33e5d1931f64b9d0a7250d779f1

The scouting page allows you full player comparisons of up to 12 players in an easy and dynamic view. You can click on players to add them to the view or search for them. The next section focuses more on the selected player showing their most similar players and where they belong in comparison to other players in their position for key metrics. At the bottom of this page is a Player Explorer which gives a more comprehensive list of players, dynamic scatter plots and a top 10 of players for the chosen metrics from the scatterplot.

Fantasy

https://preview.redd.it/mw13q86wktgh1.png?width=1130&format=png&auto=webp&s=adfdf0efdf67b20bdb4dec7b403fae553e6fb7c1

https://preview.redd.it/6iebfylxktgh1.png?width=1130&format=png&auto=webp&s=20e563cd0edd76f67d341f8a9fe2676b044d96a9

The tool also has a fantasy section where users can explore players as they get ready for their draft. There is an FPL (Fantasy Premier League) format and a Fantrax/Sleeper format which contains customizable scoring. The data visualizations and analytics in the tool are dynamic to match your leagues system. The player comparison section shows radar petal charts allowing you to compare two players metrics side-by-side, a similar players view, and that players trending for the last 5 games.

https://preview.redd.it/p8fkej4zktgh1.png?width=390&format=png&auto=webp&s=30eed17e38b9ca2a6441b1cccfc6ed5f5ee6063a

Whether you use this tool for fantasy preparation, doing your own analysis or just exploration it’s up to you. I’m always open to feedback and I hope you find this useful!

This might be an easier read in substack.

reddit.com
u/heardc10 — 2 months ago

Final Thoughts - The Draft Pick

Premier League Fantrax Waiver Wire — Weekly Picks with Insight

Note: All stats mentioned are listed as values per 90 minutes played from Fotmob

Well another season over and I must admit it’s refreshing to see Arsenal win the league and two promoted sides stay up this season. Not going to lie, a little gutted with how my season ended. Last minute goals cost me last two gameweek and cost me top 3 too. I had average GW score of 117 points, next highest was 109 and my points against on average was 118. When you see the data you just have to accept the fantasy gods decided to punish you I suppose! Hopefully you guys had more luck than me and ended up getting that money.

I have to admit, although my fantasy season ended poorly, my last picks overall turned out alright:

Bernd Leno | (12-13) points vs. Newcastle (H)
Putting faith in Fulham this past weekend paid off, as in form Leno got his clean sheet!
Rating: Man of the Match

Timothy Castagne | (14-17) points vs. Newcastle (H)
Castagne continued his good form at the end of the season with another solid display and taking his average over the last 3 games to 13+ points. He might be a solid option next year for home games. It will be interesting to see how Fulham recruit this summer!
Rating: Man of the Match

Reinildo | (1-5) points vs. Chelsea (H)
No clean sheet for Sunderland or Reinildo, but European football will back at the Stadium of Light next year which I’m sure will create an unforgettable atmosphere. I’ll say this know and maybe it sticks, but with European football next season and second-season syndrome occurring for Sunderland be careful of picking there players.
Rating: Transfer List

Jacob Ramsey | (4-6) points vs. Fulham (A)
Not the output I expected from Ramsey in this game, however if he can have a good pre-season and with a lot of Newcastle players’ futures undetermined I think he could be a great mid-to-late round pick next season.
Rating: On The Bench

Zian Flemming | (12-15) points vs. Wolves (H)
If there is anything to come out of Burnley’s season, it’s Flemming can score goals. I’m sure there will be lots of clubs monitoring him this summer as it’s not easy to score 11 goals in the Premier League, especially in a promoted team that gets relegated.
Rating: Man of the Match

Valentin Castellanos | (14-17) points vs. Leeds (H)
Castellanos once again was there to score with his 6th goal of the season. I think there is a very smart forward here and if he remains in the Premier League next season I would be looking to draft him.
Rating: Man of the Match

Based on this season, here a few stats that covered my picks this season:

Points Distribution

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As you can see 53% of recommendations were less than 8 points, which isn’t great. However, since the recommendations were for players with less than 50% ownership I don’t think that’s too bad.

Top 10 Recommendations

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Mavropanos is the stand out recommendation this season with Dorgu, Okafor both getting above 30 points too! A total of 16 players recommended got more than 20 points. that’s one recommendation every other game week.

Worse 10 Recommendations

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Can’t show the good without the bad right? Aaron Wan-Bissaka was the worst call of the season for me.

Most Recommended

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If you followed along all season it comes as no surprise that Bart Verbruggen was my most recommended players. He turned up for me more often that not. Two goalkeepers at the top as well since these positions have the least amount of options. Both goal keepers averaged pretty well overall.
Noah Okafor was recommended 4 times, but only played twice, however when he did he turned up!

End of Season VAR Review

​
Man of the Match (MOTM): This player was a great pick up, scoring big and carrying your team.

That’s His Job (THJ): As Roy Keane would say “that’s his job’, putting up a decent score with no surprises.

On the Bench (OTB): this player might not have performed super well last week, but might be worth holding on to.

Transfer Listed (TL): This player wasn’t my finest recommendation.

If you’re like me you’re already thinking about the draft next season, so look out closer to draft day and I’ll probably have a little something coming out.
Thanks again for reading this season and enjoy the World Cup!

Come on England!

reddit.com
u/heardc10 — 5 months ago
▲ 19 r/FantasyPL+1 crossposts

Premier League Fantrax Waiver Wire — Weekly Picks with Insight

Note: All stats mentioned are listed as values per 90 minutes played from Fotmob

Did anyone else get “done over” by the blank gameweeks? I find myself needing a lot of luck in these remaining games to have any shot at the title, but since playoffs have pretty much been made in my other two leagues, it’s not all bad. It’s officially crunch time, and as a reminder: Crystal Palace and Manchester City have double game weeks coming up after next week, so keep that in mind for your upcoming pick ups!

Goalkeepers

Last weeks picks:

Mads Hermansen | 1-6 points vs. Everton (H)
+15% ownership change
The big ownership increase shows everyone starting to see the value in taking a gamble on Hermansen. Only one save against Everton, so points were limited this game and with Brentford away this upcoming week there might be better options.
Rating: Transfer List

This weeks picks are:

Karl Darlow (Leeds)

  • Last Game: vs. Bournemouth (A) (9-11 points)
  • Ownership: 39% of Fantrax squads
  • Next Fixtures: vs Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H)
  • Interesting Stat: 89% percentile for accurate long passes

Karl Darlow continued his excellent form in the double gameweek and currently stands as the second-highest scoring goalkeeper in the last 30 days, trailing only Bernd Leno. We are seeing a clear pattern emerge this weekend, and to no one’s surprise, it’s all about Leeds players. At home to Burnley and with a favorable run of fixtures coming up, the salvation of your fantasy season starts in the net with a much-improved Darlow.

Defenders

Last weeks picks:

Luke Shaw | 9-11 points vs. Brentford (H)
+8% ownership change
Luckily for Shaw fantasy owners he came off injured before Brentford so got that clean sheet bonus! I’ll be honest, United were extremely fortunate to only concede a goal, a wins a win though!
Rating: That’s His Job

This weeks picks are:

James Justin (Leeds)

  • Last Game: vs. Bournemouth (A) (0-4 points)
  • Ownership: 32% of Fantrax squads
  • Next Fixtures: vs Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H)
  • Interesting Stat: 89th percentile for goals versus other centre backs

The thing with James Justin this season is that he’s a bit of a rollercoaster when it comes to points. One week it’s close to 20 and the next it’s close to 0. But if you get him on a good week, it could win you the game week. With Leeds likely to dominate possession at home to Burnley in a game they must win to stay clear of the relegation scrap, Justin will likely help at both ends of the pitch.

Harry Maguire (Man United)

  • Last Game: vs. Brentford (H) (19-26 points)
  • Ownership: 39% of Fantrax squads
  • Next Fixtures: vs Liverpool (H), Sunderland (A), Nottingham Forest (H)
  • Interesting Stat: 93rd percentile for headed shots versus other centre backs

What a U-turn it’s been for Harry Maguire. Many United fans wanted him out the door a couple of years ago, but he is now considered an important first-team player who leads both on and off the pitch. He has completely earned his recent contract extension, and picking up an assist last weekend, shows his inevitable threat in the box. With Bruno Fernandes providing elite delivery from set pieces, Maguire is a could get some big points in the last gameweeks and lets not forget he’ll be wanting to get a crucial goal against Liverpool like he did at Anfield earlier this season.

Midfielders

Last weeks picks:

Habib Diara | (-1 -2) points vs. Nottingham Forset (H)
+14% ownership change
I’m really hoping you read my report on him last week and disagreed. I suppose you can be happy you’re not paying to read this!
Rating: Transfer List

This weeks picks are:

Kobbie Mainoo (Man United)

  • Last Game: vs. Brentford (H) (10-12 points)
  • Ownership: 39% of Fantrax squads
  • Next Fixtures: vs Liverpool (H), Sunderland (A), Nottingham Forest (H)
  • Interesting Stat: 89th percentile for successful dribbles versus other midfielders

It’s been a while since I’ve mentioned a United midfielder, but if you’re looking for one, Kobbie Mainoo is him. He’s looked very good since Michael Carrick slotted him back into the team, and his performance against Brentford was, in my opinion, his best yet. He was great at both ends of the pitch and racked up 10+ fantasy points. With Liverpool at home next, we know that Mainoo is a “big game” player who thrives under the lights at Old Trafford.

Mathias Jensen (Brentford)

  • Last Game: vs. Man United (A) (18-23 points)
  • Ownership: 42% of Fantrax squads
  • Next Fixtures: vs West Ham (H), Manchester City (A), Crystal Palace (H)
  • Interesting Stat: 95th percentile for expected assists versus other midfielders

Mathias Jensen scored a wonderful long strike to top off another impressive performance in the 2–1 loss at Old Trafford. He’s averaging about 12 points over his last three games, proving his technical floor is incredibly high right now. Please pick him up if he’s still available; he’s been very dependable, and Brentford continuously create chances. With a home clash against West Ham next, Jensen is the ideal candidate to spearhead your midfield while the bigger names are blanking.
Ryan Sessegnon (30% owned) scored the only goal of the game and looked bright once again against Villa as he currently keeps out Robinson. Away at Arsenal might not be the game to start him, but he could be worth holding onto if you have space in your squad!

Forwards

Last weeks picks:

Omari Hutchinson | 9-11 points vs. Sunderland (A)
+10% ownership change
Comments Hutchinson was heavily involved in Forests demolishing of Sunderland. He didn’t get a goal or an assist, but played well and still put up a decent fantasy haul. Igor and Wood both on the scoresheet too, so all three recommendations doing well!
Rating: That’s His Job

This weeks picks are:

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

  • Last Game: vs. Chelsea (H) (11-13 points)
  • Ownership: 49% of Fantrax squads
  • Next Fixtures: vs Newcastle (A), Wolves (H), Leeds (A)
  • Interesting Stat: 89th percentile for penalties awarded versus other wingers

Tottenham fans were in bits when Georginio Rutter scored his last-minute equalizer two weekends ago, and he followed that up with an assist against Chelsea. Not fully owned in most leagues, he could be a good option against a Newcastle side that has been inconsistent of late. If he’s picking up form for this last part of the season, he could be a great asset for anyone who needs a forward. The big question will be whether he plays instead of or alongside Danny Welbeck in Fabian Hürzeler’s attacking setup.

Fixture Spotlight

Leeds

  • Last Game: vs. Chelsea (N) L 1-0
  • Next Fixtures: vs. Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A)

Leeds will be gutted to miss out on what would have been their first FA Cup Final appearance since 1973, the year they suffered that famous upset against second-division Sunderland. To make matters worse, wins for Forest, Spurs, and West Ham last weekend have kept the pressure firmly on the Whites. However, their upcoming fixtures are definitely winnable, and that starts with a massive clash against Burnley at Elland Road. The following players are still below 50% owned: Gabriel Gudmundsson, James Justin, Ao Tanaka and Joe Rodon.

One to Watch

Mateus Mane looked impressive in his first 90 minutes in a while against Spurs, getting double digits in points. With Sunderland at home and the forward pool scarce, he could be a good gamble or at lteast keeping an eye out. These last couple of games could be an opportunity for Mane to show he’s a Premier League player as I’m sure he’ll get interest this summer.

Last Weeks VAR Review

Man of the Match (MOTM): This player was a great pick up, scoring big and carrying your team.

That’s His Job (THJ): As Roy Keane would say “that’s his job’, putting up a decent score with no surprises.

On the Bench (OTB): this player might not have performed super well last week, but might be worth holding on to.

Transfer Listed (TL): This player wasn’t my finest recommendation.

I’ll be keeping a record to track my accuracy. This is good for you too, if it starts getting bad you know not to read anymore!

Lastly

Who are you picking up this week? Do you agree with my suggestions? Or am I way off? Finally, good luck this weekend!

u/heardc10 — 5 months ago