![[University mathematics: basic stochastic processes] Conditional probablities for Poisson processes????](https://preview.redd.it/mvgr1g4k2ijh1.png?width=140&height=15&auto=webp&s=462ee5190aabbb263df349cc9f5a4df35cf6280b)
[University mathematics: basic stochastic processes] Conditional probablities for Poisson processes????
I have an exam coming up, and the solutions manuals are pretty terrible, which wouldn't be an issue if the professor also wasn't. But I essentially have to relearn the entire course on my own, and it is not going well... Here's my question:
So I tried splitting it up as follows (P{X(1)=0, Y(1)=1, X(2)=0, Z(2)=1}+P{X(1)=0, Y(1)=1, X(2)=1, Z(2)=0}+P{X(1)=1, Y(1)=0, X(2)=0, Z(2)=1}+P{X(1)=1, Y(1)=0, X(2)=1, Z(2)=0})/P{Po(4)=1}
But after that I think I'm doing something wrong, because I get each of the terms in the numerator to 2/e^(2) and the final probability to the same. The solutions say it's 1/e.