u/jaylee88y

Hey everyone,

I’m a Vancouver buyer who ordered a Model Y LR AWD on June 8. As many of you know, my EDD just got pushed from a tight late-September window all the way to Dec-Feb.

I’m trying to understand WHY this massive delay happens, and someone explained Tesla's "Quarterly Wave" logistics to me. I want to verify with you guys if this is actually true:

The theory I heard:

1. Giga Berlin completely stops making Canadian-bound cars in September (End of Q3) to focus 100% on European local deliveries for their quarterly financial push.
2. They resume building Canadian-bound cars at the start of Q4 (October).
3. Because of the physical transit time (ocean freight to Halifax + train to Vancouver), cars built in October won't actually arrive here until December.
4. Therefore, October and November are basically "dead months" for Canadian deliveries with almost zero new shipments arriving from Berlin.

Is this actually how it works? Does Tesla really just halt Canadian exports at the end of a quarter, causing a 2-month delivery vacuum?

If I missed the August/September shipment, is it a guaranteed fact that I won't see a car until December?

Would love to hear from anyone who tracks these ships or understands Tesla's export logic!

Order Details:
- Model: Model Y Premium AWD (Stealth Grey)
- Order Date: June 8
- Location: Vancouver (BC, Canada)
- Previous EDD: September 21 – September 30 (A tight 9-day window)
- Current EDD: December 12 – February 6 (Pushed today without a VIN)

Hey everyone,

I ordered my Model Y on June 8 in Vancouver. My EDD had narrowed down to a solid 9-day window (Sep 21 – Sep 30), so I was expecting delivery by the end of Q3.

However, out of nowhere today, my EDD was pushed back to Dec 12 – Feb 6. I still do not have a VIN assigned.

I understand EDDs fluctuate, but getting bumped from a 9-day end-of-quarter window all the way to Q4/Q1 seems extreme, especially for an early June order.

Has anyone else experienced an EDD jump like this recently?
- Is this just an algorithm glitch that usually self-corrects after a few days?
- Or did I miss the Q3 shipment batch and get bumped to the next production cycle?

Any insights or similar experiences from Vancouver/Canadian buyers would be greatly appreciated!

OD: June 8
Location: Vancouver / BC
Specs: Model Y Long Range / Stealth Grey / White Interior / Base Wheels
Current EDD: Nov - Jan

Up until late July, my EDD was steady at Sept 19 - Sept 30. But on July 28, it got pushed all the way to Nov - Jan.

I know EDDs fluctuate a lot, but seeing people who ordered in July get updated with September delivery dates while I'm stuck in November is making me pretty anxious.

Do you think I'm really stuck waiting until November or later, or is there a chance it jumps back to Q3 when the next allocation hits?