u/morriase

Image 1 — Stability after some light tuning 😊
Image 2 — Stability after some light tuning 😊

Stability after some light tuning 😊

Optimized the systems for least possible drawdown and I may be seeing some early positive signs.

By the way, the strategies being used in this challenge (Archonv3 and Aurum AI) are all production ready for those interested.

Looking forward to seeing the end of this.

u/morriase — 15 hours ago
▲ 1 r/auronauto+1 crossposts

FTMO

The deep learning (AI) EAs did the heavy lifting today.

u/morriase — 5 days ago

Close call 💀but,

Archon (an EA) held his ground without emotion.

u/morriase — 15 days ago
▲ 4 r/metatrader+3 crossposts

Been running my automated trading system across multiple pairs and wanted to share a quick real-time update.

Account Overview:

- Balance: $10,163

- Equity: $10,433

- Floating PnL: +$270

- Margin Level: 5,430% (very safe exposure)

Open Positions:

- XAUUSD (Buy 0.01) → +$55

- USDJPY (Sell 0.09) → +$14

- NZDUSD (Buy 0.51) → +$201

- AUDUSD (Sell 0.73) → +$0.7

What’s running:

- LSTM-based directional bias (Gold)

- XGB + Fuzzy logic hybrid entries (FX pairs)

System is handling multiple instruments simultaneously with controlled risk and decent short-term gains so far.

Still early, but this is the kind of consistency I’ve been building toward.

Curious — for those running EAs:

- Do you prefer single-strategy systems or multi-model hybrids?

- How do you handle drawdown control across correlated pairs?

Let’s discuss 👇

u/morriase — 23 days ago

This is a live snapshot from a multi-pair ML system running inside MT5.

Auron AI systems at work

What you’re looking at isn’t a “buy/sell signal” indicator—it’s a probabilistic model output:

  • q05 / q50 / q95 → distribution of expected returns (in bps)
  • Neutral state → model sees no edge (so it holds)
  • Uncertainty (~45 bps) → high dispersion = lower confidence
  • ATR-aware execution → position sizing and context, not fixed rules

Notice how:

  • It prints expected return ranges, not directions
  • It explicitly says when NOT to trade
  • Trades are already running across pairs (bottom panel), not cherry-picked

This is closer to how actual decision systems behave—estimate the distribution, then decide whether the edge is worth taking.

reddit.com
u/morriase — 1 month ago

Ever wish you could see what the market is thinking before it moves?

This chart tells a simple story.

ArchonV3 attached live to USDCAD

Imagine the market like a crowd of people deciding which way to walk. Some want to go up, some want to go down. Most of the time, it’s noisy and confusing.

But here’s what happened 👇

At the top, the system looked at everything—price behavior, volatility, trend strength, and sentiment—plus even upcoming news—and made a call:

👉 “SELL… and not just sell—STRONG SELL.”

It wasn’t guessing.
It had 93% confidence.

Think of that like 93 out of 100 times, it expects to be right.

Now watch the story unfold:

* The market hesitates a bit (like people unsure which direction to go)
* Sentiment turns negative (more “people” start agreeing on going down)
* Momentum builds
* And price starts dropping
* Faster… and faster…

Exactly what the system predicted.

💡 What made this decision strong?

* Trend strength was high → the market had direction
* Probabilities heavily favored selling
* Sentiment confirmed the downside bias
* Volatility (ATR) showed there was room to move
* News timing was considered, so it didn’t walk in blind

So instead of reacting late…
the system read the room early.

That’s the core idea:

👉 Don’t chase the move.
👉 Understand it before it happens.

When trend, probability, and sentiment all agree…
you’re no longer guessing.

You’re aligning with the market itself.

That’s what you’re seeing here.

reddit.com
u/morriase — 1 month ago

Traditional time series deep learning frameworks tend to struggle in financial markets—not because they’re poorly designed, but because the environment they’re applied to is fundamentally unstable. Price action isn’t just noisy; it’s constantly shifting between different behaviors, and those shifts break most assumptions these models rely on.

What we kept running into was this: even when a model performed well in-sample, it would degrade quickly once market conditions changed. Attention-based models, including transformers, were especially sensitive to this—they’d lock onto patterns that simply didn’t persist.

So we stepped back and questioned the foundation.

Instead of treating price as a single continuous process, we started viewing it as a system that moves through different states. That led us toward selective state space ideas and eventually to building out what became the TSK-S4 framework—something that could model longer-term dependencies while remaining stable, but more importantly, something that could adapt its behavior depending on the underlying regime.

A big part of that shift was moving away from raw price inputs and indicator-heavy pipelines, and focusing more on structure—how price evolves, not just where it is. From there, the architecture became less about prediction in the traditional sense, and more about alignment: identifying when conditions are favorable and stepping aside when they’re not.

The results reflect that.

TSK-S4 Research Framework - MT5 optimizer results spanning the month of April, 2026.

If you look at the attached optimization snapshot, the performance isn’t uniform across symbols—and that’s intentional. Some pairs carry most of the edge, with better profit factors, recovery, and stability. Others flatten out or underperform. Even the variation in drawdown and Sharpe across instruments tells the same story: edge is conditional.

This isn’t a system trying to force consistency everywhere.
It’s one that responds differently depending on what the market is actually doing.

That also means it’s still a work in progress. The signal is there, but the real focus now is on refining execution—risk shaping, symbol selection, and filtering out the conditions where the system shouldn’t be trading at all.

It’s less about building something that predicts perfectly, and more about building something that can stay relevant as conditions change.

If you’re curious about the full breakdown and how it all fits together:
https://bit.ly/4c3zcu0

reddit.com
u/morriase — 1 month ago