What is the probability to get same cards from The Hub?

I thought i am lucky to get Madame web to move cards to sanctum.

u/mrpo_rainfall — 1 month ago

Help me understand gambler's fallacy and law of large numbers

If I throw a coin 3 times, there are only 8 possible outcome

TTT,TTH,THH,HHH,HHT,HTT,THT,HTH

Getting 3 heads or tail in a row has the same 1/8 probability as other combinations, so gambler's fallacy is expecting the 3 head or tail combination to be rarer than others.

But why when tossing 1 million times and expecting 1 million head or tail in a row is suddenly expected to be very rare? Isn't it have the same probability as any other infinite combination? Why the law of large number expect it to have 50H 50T result?

reddit.com
u/mrpo_rainfall — 2 months ago