u/mwar123

Worlds 2026 Pick'Ems Crystal Ball - By the Numbers

It's that time again for Worlds and that means pickems! As a stats nerd, I just had to take advantage of this.

If you don't care about my opinion on each question and just want the full stats, go here: https://wards.lol/lol-esports/pick-ems/2026/worlds/


Champions

Highest Presence (picked or banned) across all drafts

  1. Orianna: 72.4% (54.5% ban rate)
  2. Varus: 59.7%
  3. Nocturne: 57.7% (nerfed going into Worlds)

My pick: Orianna. Probably the safest bet and still a stable midlane pick. Vi, Nocturne and Cassio are all good picks, but were nerfed going into worlds.

Highest Win Rate (minimum 5 games)

  1. Kled: 94.1% in 17 games
  2. Kha'Zix: 85.7% in 7 games (buffed)
  3. Kog'Maw: 75.0% in 12 games

My pick: Not sure what to pick here, but Kled seems like a fun option. Jinx also does well when it's picked late in fearless formats

Small samples at the top. Ashe (71.7% in 205 games) and Vayne (71.9% in 57) are the biggest-sample champions near the top.

Highest average Deaths per Game (minimum 5 games)

  1. Irelia: 5.80 (5 games)
  2. Tahm Kench: 4.40 (5 games)
  3. Camille: 4.36 (104 games)

My pick: I think Irelia is a bait pick. Nautilus all the way for me


Players

Highest average KDA

  1. Knight (BLG): 6.49
  2. Ackerman (LØS): 6.29
  3. Vulcan (C9): 6.18

My pick: Probably Knight or Chovy

Highest average Damage per Game

  1. Peyz (T1): 28,358
  2. Caliste (KC): 27,712
  3. Viper (BLG): 27,124

My pick: Peyz is the obvious choice for me

Highest average Kill Participation

  1. JoJo (FURIA): 77.2%
  2. Duro (Gen.G): 76.4%
  3. Vulcan (C9): 75.7%

My pick: Going with Duro, but a play-ins team is also a solid choice here.

Peyz vs Gumayusi: more total kills?

  • Peyz: 879 kills in 150 games (5.86 per game, best game 18)
  • Gumayusi: 582 kills in 135 games (4.31 per game, best game 15)

Total kills also depend on how deep T1 and HLE go. Both are good options. I honestly didn't like this question, feels like it's just there to stirr up drama.


Event

Will Faker reach 700 career Worlds kills? He needs 84.

  • At his 2026 rate (3.53 kills per game) that's about 24 games
  • At his Worlds 2024-2025 rate (4.15) about 21 games
  • Past Worlds: 110 kills in 24 games (2025), 60 in 17 (2024), 46 in 15 (2023)

My pick: Depends if you believe in the 4-peat

Will Teemo be picked at least once?

  • One Worlds pick since 2019 (Isurus, 2022 play-ins)
  • One pick in all of 2026, and that was in the Prime League. Zero in the major leagues.

My pick: I don't believe in the Scout's code, sorry Teemo

How many unique champions will be picked?

  • Past Worlds: 98 (2019), 88, 91, 109 (2022), 89, 95, 95 (2025)
  • 6 of the last 7 Worlds landed in 0-99, one in 105-109

My pick: This one surprised me A LOT. I usually go 110-114 or 115-119, but probably just going with one of the two lowest options.

More games before or after 32:00?

  • Worlds teams in 2026: 51.5% ended before 32:00, 48.5% after (average 32:25)
  • All teams in the same leagues: 50.6% before, 49.4% after

My pick: Riot picked a good timeline, it's about 50/50. Probably going after 32:00

Any pro with 15+ kills in a single game?

  • 1.43% of Worlds teams' 2026 games had one
  • At Worlds since 2019 it happened 3 times, all in play-ins: Shogun 16 (2022), TitaN 15 (2021), Raes 15 (2020)
  • The last three Worlds peaked at 14 (Ruler, Peyz, Aiming)

My pick: At first I was just looking at the % of games that had it, but then thought that it just needs to be 1 game, which isn't a lot. Altough there haven't been many at worlds with 15+ kills, it happens quite a lot in regular play, so most likely going with yes. (let me know if you want to see some stats on 15+ kills in regular play outside worlds)

Any pro with 450+ Creep Score in a single game?

  • 29 Worlds games since 2019 had one
  • Most recent: Gumayusi 468 on Sivir in the 2025 final

My pick: Yes. There is always one weird game that goes on for so long that someone has 450+ CS. Also Chovy is in the tournament.

Role of the Finals MVP (since 2014)

  • Top 3, Jungle 3, Mid 3, Bot 2, Support 1
  • Last three: Gumayusi (bot, 2025), Faker (mid, 2024), Zeus (top, 2023)

My pick: Don't pick support I guess is the message here, otherwise it's 25% chance.

How many regions in Knockouts? Six regions at Worlds 2026.

  • 3 or 4 regions every year since 2019 (average 3.3)
  • 2025: LCK, LPL, LEC, LCP

My pick: *Obvious answer is probably 3, maybe 4, but it depends a lot on swiss stage matchups and whether you believe 2 regions outside LPL/LCK will make it. There is a chance the answer is just 2, since those regions can full the entirety of playoffs. *

Will an LCS team reach Knockouts?

  • 3 of the last 7 Worlds: Cloud9 (2021), NRG (2023), FlyQuest (2024)
  • LCS teams won 21 of 47 games (44.7%) against other regions at 2026 international events

My pick: I think no (Sorry NA, EU fan all the way here), but there is always a chance, especially in Swiss


Teams

HLE or T1: who places higher?

  • 2026 head to head: HLE 6-3 in series, 16-12 in games
  • International results: HLE won MSI 2026 (T1 top 8). T1 won Worlds 2023, 2024 and 2025 (HLE top 8 in 2024 and 2025).

My pick: I didn't really like this question. It's T1 at worlds, but HLE have won most the Head-to-head, if they end up facing each other.

Which team wins the shortest game?

  1. Hanwha Life Esports: 19:20 shortest win (30:41 average win)
  2. Invictus Gaming: 19:47
  3. Anyone's Legend: 21:55

My pick: Obvious answer is HLE, since they have shortest and shortest average games, but something like Cloud9 at play-ins is also an interesting choice

reddit.com
u/mwar123 — 4 days ago

MSI 2026 Pick'Ems Crystal Ball - By the Numbers

I couldn't find anyone doing a by the numbers for MSI 2026 Pick'ems Crystal Ball.

So I took the stats from Oracle's Elixir and created a ranking based on the play-ins and MSI teams and their players.

There are some obvious answers like T1 being a go to for Play-Ins teams, but I was surprised by how high Caliste's KDA is, even though they lost the finals against G2.

Check it out and let me know if there are any more stats you'd like to see added / reflected.

https://wards.lol/lol-esports/pick-ems/2026/msi

reddit.com
u/mwar123 — 4 months ago

Next Clash (ARAM) is announced, Void Cup (& Ixtal Cup for NA)

Riot just announced their next Clash on June 20-21, it's an ARAM Clash with the theme Void Cup: https://support-leagueoflegends.riotgames.com/hc/en-us/articles/360000951548-Clash-FAQ

https://wards.lol/blog/clash-june-2026

However, in their API, NA has an Ixtal Cup theme. I wonder if that will be corrected later or NA has had exclusive themes before?

For those who don't like ARAM Clash, fear not: Riot also announced the MSI Cup for July 18-19, which is on Summoner's Rift!

Keep up to date with Clash Schedules, lock-in timers for each tier outside the client on https://wards.lol/clash/schedule/

reddit.com
u/mwar123 — 5 months ago